Montpellier on course Tou-louse

The title run-in is reaching a climax in France with Montpellier looking to consolidate their position at the top of the standings and justify 5/6 outright favouritism in what could be a pivotal weekend.

The Stade de la Mosson outfit of course were a founder member of the first division in France but have still to taste the glory of being crowned champions, and may possibly not get a better opportunity.

However, the run to the line does not appear to be the easiest for La Paillade – on paper at least, despite closing their campaign against basement dwellers Auxerre.

A trip to Stade Rennes is sandwiched by home clashes against Evian TG and Lille, while the league leaders start the charge by travelling to seventh-placed Toulouse on Friday night, kicking off at 1800.

It provides a real opportunity for Rene Girard and his men to really take control of Le Championnat as a victory would pile the pressure on their rivals with third-placed Lille hosting second-placed Paris Saint-Germain on Sunday night.

MHSC currently hold a two-point advantage over the capital club, with Lille a further five points back so a win on Friday could turn out to be crucial in the final outcome.

However, it will not be easy at the Stadium Municipal and that is reflected in the betting with TFC priced as marginal 13/8 favourites, wtih Montpellier at 7/2 and the draw at 2/1.

Toulouse have hit the buffers of late and have slipped to seventh in the table, three points behind fourth-placed Lyon, but will be glad to be back on home soil, given their record at the Stadium Municipal.

Alain Casanova’s men have lost three of their last four but those defeats came on the road and they thrashed Lyon 3-0 the last time they played in front of their own fans.

In fact, Les Pitchouns have been beaten just once at home since the turn of the year (1-0 Saint-Etienne in February) and only twice all season so Montpellier will have it all to do – with their patchy away record.

Goals have not been a problem on the road for the league leaders – with Olivier Giroud and Younes Belhandra the men to watch out for – but that has been the same at both ends of the pitch.

Montpellier have won six and lost and drawn five on the road but they have only taken maximum points once in their last six games, and have lost three of the last four.

With that in mind, Toulouse look a good shout to continue their excellent home form and make Montpellier sweat over other results this weekend.

Friday’s other match sees Lorient take on 2010 champions Olympique Marseille, with the home side desperate for points to pull away from the relegation zone.

Christian Gourcuff’s men are only two points above Brest in 18th place and that could well the motivation they need to secure the three points.

Marseille are in the midst of a disastrous run of results – their Coupe de la Ligue success aside – and have nothing left to play for with the players seemingly having holidays on their mind.

Lorient have a decent home record, given their position in the table, with just four defeats at the Stade du Moustoir all season and can secure their eighth home on Friday.

Gourcuff’s men are favourites at 6/4 to do just that while the draw is priced at 2/1, but the more fanciful amongst us can get 19/10 on Marseille securing their first league win since the end of January.

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Bilbao have a Sporting chance

Athletic Bilbao will be confident of overturning a 2-1 first-leg deficit when they play host to Sporting Lisbon in their Europa League semi-final second leg on Thursday, while Valencia will be aiming to claw back a 4-2 away leg defeat against Spanish rivals Atletico Madrid in order to book their place in the final.

Bilbao created a stir earlier in the competition when they comfortably disposed of Manchester United with home and away victories notched up against Sir Alex Ferguson’s men.

However, while many fancied them to go far in the tournament, the Basque side lost out to Manchester City’s conquerors Sporting in Lisbon last week so have their work cut out to reach next month’s final in Bucharest.

Coach Marcelo Bielsa’s Athletic Bilbao side have never won a European competition, but they will be confident of progression given that they have won every Europa League match on home soil this season, while they are the second most prolific side still in contention in the Europa League, with 25 goals to date.

They will be boosted by the news Javi Martinez is available after he missed the match at the Estadio de Alvalade through suspension, while Iker Muniain is expected to feature despite missing out against Racing Santander because of an eye inflammation.

The stats do not make good reading for Sporting as they have yet to win a European game on Spanish soil and have failed to win in any of their last 10 away matches.

But, Ricardo Sa Pinto’s men only require a draw so they could be tempted to try and frustrate Bilbao and keep the door shut at the back while seeing what they can get on the break.

Sporting, who defeated Bilbao 4-2 over two legs in their last European meeting in 1985-86, will be without the ineligible Elias, while Fito Rinaudo and Alberto Rodriguez are both injured.

But, Chilean Matias Fernandez, who has missed the club’s last two games, is ready to feature from the start.

We expect a close game, but with Athletic Bilbao only needing a 1-0 win to progress, they should have too much firepower for the Portuguese and ensure an all-Spanish final.

Prediction: Athletic Bilbao Home Win 90 Minutes @ 8/15
Value Bet: 4 Goals – Goals 10-band @ 9/2

Atletico Madrid, who won the Europa League in 2010, will feel they have one foot in the final following a handsome 4-2 first-leg victory last week.

However, Valencia’s two away goals will give them hope that they can pull the tie out of the fire at Estadio de Mestalla on Thursday.

Ricardo Costa’s late away goal could be the key for Los Che and they warmed up nicely for the match with a 4-0 thumping of Real Betis at the weekend, in which Real Madrid playmaker Sergio Canales made a welcome recovery from a serious ligament injury and could start against Atletico.

Roberto Soldado is set to retain his spot in attack, with Jonas supporting him in the final third.

Valencia won the Primera Division fixture 1-0 in September on home soil so will need to add another goal if they are going to progress to the final.

Atletico Madrid arrive in a good run of form which has seen them win three successive matches with the first-leg victory sandwiched between domestic successes against Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano respectively.

The omens are mixed for coach Diego Simeone, who has selected the same squad of 18 players that successfully defeated Espanyol at the weekend, as Atletico have never won a European tie away from home in Spain.

However, a defeat on Thursday could still see them through, while they also have the psychological boost of their two-legged victory over Valencia at the quarter-final stage on their way to winning the trophy two years ago.

Valencia’s home form is good in Europe and Atletico don’t travel well so we fancy a home win, but the two-goal cushion from the first leg could be just enough to get the visitors into the final.

Prediction: Valencia Home 90 Minutes @ 5/6
Value Bet: Valencia 2-1 Correct Score @ 7/1

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Ставки на матч «Реал Мадрид» – «Бавария».

Футбол. Лига Чемпионов. 1/2 Финала

Реал Мадрид – Бавария. Что лучше, когда вы злые или когда «на ходу» и понимаете свою силу? Это к вопросу комуReal  diMaria happy 11 300x207 Ставки на матч «Реал Мадрид»   «Бавария». легче играть, тем, кто выиграл Эль Классико и практически чемпион Испании или тем, кто все это упустил? Вопрос дискуссионный и однозначного ответа не имеет, но от этого не менее интересный.

Если вчерашний план «Челси» был понятен еще после окончания матча в Лондоне, то вот ситуация у баварских парней весьма скользкая. Да, они обладают небольшим преимуществом, но любой гол забитый «мадридистами», поставит их в крайне тяжелое положение. Скромные 1:0 вполне устроят подопечных Моуринью.

Победа Мадрида кажется весьма очевидной, но вспомните вчерашний вечер. Когда Кейхилл получил травму, а Джон Терри совершил самый необъяснимый поступок в своей футбольной карьере, все подумали, что судьба «Челси» решена, но….

Между прочим Терри получил первое удаление за все время выступления в Лиге Чемпионов.

«Бавария» будет всеми силами стремиться попасть в финал, так как он будет сыгран на их домашней арене, а это серьезный стимул! Баварцы проиграли национальный чемпионат, а следовательно, победа в Лиге Чемпионов им нужна «как воздух». Правда, тоже самое мы говорили вчера про «Барселону», что из этого получилось напоминать не надо.
Криштиану Роналду прекрасно понимает, что лучшего момента для того что «вырвать» «золотой мяч» из рук Лионеля Месси может и не наступить, так что он точно постарается выиграть этот матч.

Так уж получилось, что в этом сезоне все ожидали Эль Классико в финале Лиги Чемпионов. Но, как видим, “Барса» уже уперлась в «автобус Челси», а «Реал» должен еще победить «Баварию» 5.50. Одно можно сказать с определенность, что «Челси» вышел в финал очень сильно обескровленным, в ключевом матче сезона не смогут принять участие: Терри, Рамирес, Иванович, Мейрелеш плюс травма Кэйхилла может не позволить ему сыграть в Мюнхене. Так что сегодня в Мадриде будет решена судьба фаворита Финала!

В сегодняшнем матче победит «Реал Мадрид» 1.50, если только Франк Рибери не совершит еще один спортивный подвиг. Но думаю, что запас футбольных чудес вчера израсходовал «Челси».

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  2. Ставки на матч «Барселона» – «Челси»! Футбол. Лига Чемпионов. 1/2 Финала Барселона – Челси ( счет…
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Mourinho magic to inspire Madrid

Two-time winner of the competition, Jose Mourinho, has the know-how to help nine-time European winners Real Madrid overturn a 2-1 Champions League semi-final first-leg defeat by Bayern Munich in the return tie at the Santiago Bernabeu (Real 8/15, draw 10/3, Bayern 5/1 – Match Betting) on Wednesday.

There are few better at coping with this kind of pressure than the former Internazionale and Chelsea manager and games don’t come much bigger in club football than Wednesday’s encounter in the Spanish capital.

Real find themselves a goal down after the first leg in Munich but have what could well be the all-important away gaol already in the bag ahead of the return leg.

Mourinho’s men look like they will be crowned La Liga champions this season, after a gutsy performance against Barcelona at  Camp Nou last weekend.

That will have given the Real squad plenty of confidence going into their clash with Bayern, as their smash-and-grab, counter-attacking performance in Catalonia was perfect considering the free passing opposition.

Once again it was that man Cristiano Ronaldo (5/2 first goalscorer) who bagged the winner against Barca and he is someone Bayern will be fully aware of but the question is will they be able to stop the former Manchester United star again?

The Bundesliga outfit managed to keep the Portuguese international off the scoresheet at the Allianz Arena in the first leg and they will be desperate to do the same again but it will be difficult, considering his presence in the air and his ability to shoot off both feet.

Bayern (7/2 Champions League outright) looked like a real threat on home turf and the duo of Frank Ribery and Mario Gomez got themselves a goal each in an impressive 2-1 win in Bavaria.

The big question will be how Munich head coach Jupp Heynckes looks to approach this game considering his team’s slender lead after the first leg?

Striker Gomez (6/1 first goalscorer) has insisted Bayern will be looking to attack and if they were to get the first goal at the Bernabeu it would be a real hammers blow for the Spanish giants.

Sitting back is not really an option for Munich, as Real with the likes of Mesut Ozil, Karim Benzema and Ronaldo will just pile on the pressure and over 90 minutes, you would expect a Bundesliga side to concede at least one goal, especially against a side with quality of Mourinho’s men.

Bayern have a very slim chance of claiming their domestic title this season and so all their focus will be on getting a result in Madrid and securing a place in the final of the competition at their very own ground.

However that away goal from Ozil in the first leg may come back to haunt them and it would not be surprising to see Real (5/2 Champions League outright) produce another smash and grab performance, to edge themselves through to the showpiece event of the European club season.

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Ставки на матч «Барселона» – «Челси»!

Футбол. Лига Чемпионов. 1/2 Финала

Барселона – Челси ( счет первого матча 0:1). Я не знаю, что будет звучать в наушниках у футболистов «Челси»Puyol Ronaldo 1 300x219 Ставки на матч «Барселона»   «Челси»!        перед этой встречей, но это явно должны быть песни в стиле «нас ждет огонь смертельный». Ну а на самом деле, «аристократам»  предстоит вкусить весь гнев «сине-гранатовых» после проигранного ими классико.

Хосеп Гвардиола прямо и безапелляционно заявил, что уверен в победе своих подопечных! Очень сильный ход, но если взглянуть на события последних 6 дней, то я бы не был настолько уверен в этом. Тренер «Барселоны» таким приемом хочет поддержать свою команду. Но как чуть позднее выразился Пеп, для него эта серия матчей- самый большой вызов в его тренерской карьере.

И впрямь, поражение в Эль Классико оставило «Барселону» на втором месте в чемпионате Испании, а сегодня есть шансы остаться и без Лиги Чемпионов. Для «гранатово-синих» это будет означать проваленный сезон. Вот так неожиданно за столь короткое время можно потерять все то, ради чего сражался целый год, а отыграться можно только в следующем…

У «Барселоны» 1.25 всегда была возможность понадеяться на Лионеля Месси, который может сотворить гол из ничего, но есть одна проблема. Месси, уже семь матчей подряд!!! Не может забить мяч в ворота «Челси», а это выглядит уже тенденцией.

Ну а что же «Челси»? Роберто ди Маттео дал отдохнуть в чемпионате восьми игрокам основы, так как вся ставка сделана на Лигу Чемпионов. По неподтвержденным данным Роман Абрамович пообещал итальянскому специалисту миллион евро за победу в Лиге Чемпионов. Но думаю это не самое главное, так как выиграть такой турнир – это мечта! А мечта бесценна…

Как выразился Жозе Моуринью полуфиналы Лиги Чемпионов – это матчи длинной в 180 минут. В первом матче в Лондоне команды выложили «все карты на стол». «Барселона» будет атаковать, а «Челси» 10.00 будет играть на контратаках. Как мы видели Дидье Дрогба достаточно всего одного момента, чтобы забить Виктору Вальдесу, а любой гол забитый «синими» на чужом поле заставит «Барсу» забивать три мяча…

Нас ждет один из самых напряженных матчей сезона! Лэмпард и Терри будут играть как в последний раз, и ведь это будет не метафорой.

«Барселона» победит 1.25, но может и не попасть в финал.

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Villa faithful set for rough ride

Aston Villa fans will be starting to be get slightly hot under the collar as they see their beloved side dangerously close to the relegation zone as they get ready to host fellow strugglers Bolton Wanderers on Tuesday night (Villa Evs, draw 9/4, Bolton 9/4 Match Betting).

Villa find themselves just five points above the relegation zone with 12 points still up for grabs, as they head into the business end of the Premier League season.

With the likes of Blackburn Rovers, Queens Park Rangers and their opponents on Tuesday Bolton (4/7 Premier League relegation) desperate for points, Villa could easily be dragged into a dramatic final day of the season.

Manager Alex McLeish is under heavy pressure to keep his job with the West Midlands outfit and will have to do without the services of James Collins for the clash with the Trotters.

The experienced defender is set to miss out due to a groin strain, whilst striker Gabriel Agbonlahor is a doubt having picked up a shoulder injury during his side’s goalless draw with Sunderland at Villa Park last weekend.

With potentially two of Villa’s best players on the sidelines, McLeish is really down to the bare bones, with a squad that would love the season to be over this instance.

If Agbonlahor is missing it is hard to see where they goals are going to come from for the home side, who will be low on confidence having not won a game in their last six Premier League outings.

Six goals in their last 10 games and none in their last two tells its own story and McLeish will be looking to the likes of Andreas Weimann and potentially Emile Heskey for goals on Tuesday.

As for Bolton they will be buoyed by the absence of Collins in the heart of the Villa defense, with strikers Ivan Klasnic (15/2 First Goalscorer), David Ngog and Kevin Davies set to cause Shay Given problems between the sticks.

The Trotters were outplayed for much of their last outing against Swansea City but still managed to get a point out of the encounter at the Reebok Stadium on Saturday.

With the Lancashire club having injury problems of their own, 18-year-old midfielder Josh Vela looks set to make his Premier League debut for the club, as manager Owen Coyle has very few options left in the middle of the park.

Darren Pratley and Mark Davies are both doubts for the trip to Villa Park and they have been added to the long-term injuries to Stuart Holden, Lee Chung-Yong and of course the recovering Fabrice Muamba.

Bolton have four points between themselves and safety but do have an all-important game in hand over their relegation rivals.

This should be a very cagey and nervous affair on Tuesday night and it won’t be surprising to see just a single goal winning this relegation encounter.

Based on their inability to score and the fact Collins will miss the game, it’s difficult to see Villa (10/1 Premier League relegation) winning this one and Bolton might just edge it, as they look to give their survival hopes a real lift.

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Can Chelsea stun Barca again?

Chelsea face probably the biggest test in club football on Tuesday when they take on Barcelona in their Champions League semi-final second leg at the Nou Camp but will they be able to pull off one of the greatest results in their history by knocking out the Catalan giants?

Since taking temporary charge, Roberto Di Matteo has significantly enhanced his chances of getting the Stamford Bridge job on a permanent basis with some eye-catching results.

The 1-0 first-leg win last week has been THE stand-out score during his fairly brief tenure but if the Blues can secure a place in the Champions League final and knock out Barca on their own ground then that result alone could go along way to seeing him get the job in the summer (Barcelona 1/5, Chelsea 9/1, draw 9/2 – match odds).

Barcelona may have dominated possession, territory and created by far the greater amount of chances in the first game but Didier Drogba’s goal against the run of play in London has given Chelsea the edge in the tie whatever way you look at it.

They now head to Spain knowing a draw or even a 2-1 defeat will see them through to a place in Munich next month – and plenty of pundits and fans alike believe the Premier League side can finish the job.

Barca did everything but score last week, hitting the frame of the goal twice, while Lionel Messi and co failed to convert the numerous clear opportunities that would have given them the vital away goal. Chelsea know they are likely to face an attacking barrage once again at the Nou Camp so a mighty defensive rearguard will be needed once more.

However, keeping Xavi, Andres Iniesta, Pedro and Alexis Sanchez (11/8 to score anytime) quiet is one of the toughest jobs in the game, without even considering what three-time world player of the year Messi (2/1 – First/Last goalscorer) can do, so the Londonders are sure to be up against it.

Barca had in excess of 70% posession in the first leg and if Chelsea let them dominate to that extent again then Pep Guardiola’s side are set to come out on top overall, even though the visitors are sure to try and implement a gameplan to try and hurt their opponents on the break.

Real Madrid showed the Blues how to do it when they came away with a 2-1 win in Saturday’s El Clasico but the La Liga leaders certainly have more attacking threat, compared to Chelsea, in their side to make an impact at the Nou Camp.

If Barca fail to score in the first half then Chelsea’s hopes will rise considerably but, as tempting as it is to believe the Premier League side can come out on top, Guardiola’s men are too good to lose three on the bounce and their superiority should finally tell to break Di Matteo and his side’s heart.

Second-leg Prediction – Barcelona 2-0 Chelsea (11/2).

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All or nothing for Hammers

Having seen their place for automatic promotion places slip away, West Ham United must take all three points against Leicester City on Monday if they want to stand any chance of avoiding the play-offs (Leicester 13/8, draw 12/5, West Ham 8/5).

A defeat to Championship winners Reading and draws with Bristol City and Birmingham in recent weeks have really dented the Hammers’ hopes of making a swift return to the Premier League, following relegation from the top flight last season.

Manager Sam Allardyce has had plenty of money to spend but too many mistakes at home this term have really cost the London outfit.

Thankfully for the former Bolton Wanderers and Blackburn Rovers boss, their clash on Monday against the Foxes is not at Upton Park.

The Hammers have a three-pronged attack which will be looking to cause the Leicester defence problems away from the pressure of their home fans in the capital.

Carlton Cole and Ricardo Vaz Te (11/8 to score anytime) have 12 and 10 goals this season respectively, with the latter proving to be decent signing, since moving from Barnsley in the January transfer window.

Backed up by attacking midfielder Kevin Nolan (7/1 first goalscorer) making runs from the middle of the park and chipping in goals, the former Newcastle United star also has 12 strikes to his name this term and is certainly worth a look at for first goalscorer at the King Power Stadium.

West Ham go into his game on the back of a frustrating 1-1 draw with Bristol City, which gave Southampton a chance to claim that second automatic promotion spot, which they squandered in a 2-1 defeat to Middleborough.

The Hammers will be looking to keep up the pressure on the Saints but it will not be easy against the Foxes on Monday.

Leicester were touted as potential favourites to earn promotion back to the Premier League this season, having spent plenty in the summer.

Manager Nigel Pearson has seen has side fall out of the race for the play-offs and the squad at the King Power might already have their eyes set on a push for promotion next season.

The Foxes go into their penultimate Championship game on the back of a drab goalless draw with Burnley in their last outing.

That game epitomised where Pearson’s side are at at the moment, with things not clicking in the east midlands.

Leicester still have some quality players in their side and expect the likes of Jermaine Beckford and David Nugent to get chances in this game.

With West Ham being the side with something to play for and the fact Allardyce’s men are away from the pressure cooker that is Upton Park at the moment, the Hammers should take all three points at the King Power Stadium.

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Magpies to nick fourth

Bet on the Premier LeagueThe 2011-12 Premier League season has been one of the most exciting in recent years. The league title and two relegation places remain up for grabs but there’s also the small matter of who will join Manchester United (4/9 Premier League outright) and Manchester City (7/4 Premier League outright) in next season’s Champions League.

After a difficult start to the campaign, Arsenal appear to be favourites to finish third, having usurped local rivals Tottenham, but the battle for who will claim the final Champions League spot is still finely in the balance, with both Spurs and Chelsea still in with a huge chance of catching fourth-placed Newcastle.

The Magpies (6/4 to finish in the top 4) have been the surprise package this season and have won their last six in the league so do not look as if they’re about to let up going into their last four games.

Key to their success has been the form of midfielder Yohan Cabaye who, after arriving on Tyneside in the summer, has lit up the league and is possibly the signing of the season.

The Frenchman scored twice in his side’s 3-0 win over Stoke on Saturday and his clever passing and eye for goal could see the Magpies qualify for the Champions league for the first time in almost a decade.

However, it will not be easy and in Tottenham and Chelsea they have two teams who have far greater experience of this situation.

For much of the season Spurs (evens top four finish) appeared to be genuine title contenders and kept pace with both Manchester clubs for the majority over the campaign but in the last two months they have gone totally off the boil and, following Saturday’s defeat at QPR, they now sit fifth – three points off the top four.

The north Londoners do have perhaps the easiest run-in of all the teams competing for the Champions League place but also have a number of key injuries and may have to once again settle for Europa League football in 2012-13.

Finally to Chelsea (21/10 top four finish) who, despite their well-documented managerial problems, now look to be back to their old selves since Roberto Di Matteo took over in March. The Italian has overseen somewhat of a transformation in the Blues players and they now have both an FA Cup final and Tuesday’s Champions League semi-final against Barcelona to look forward to.

Di Matteo has done well in rotating his players in recent weeks but they may be found wanting if they have to rely on squad players and, with those important Cup games to come, it may they prove to be too much of a distraction in the top-four race.

All things considered, then, Newcastle should have enough to clinch the final top four spot but its sure to be an exciting end to the season and Chelsea and Spurs will certainly not make it easy for them.

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Malaga aim to continue Euro bid

Monday’s La Liga action sees Malaga look to cement their place in the Champions League qualification places courtesy of a win against Europa League hopefuls Osasuna.

Manuel Pellegrini’s men are currently in fourth position, two points clear of Levante in fifth.

Malaga travel to Reyno de Navarra in Pamplona on Monday evening looking to ensure they will take the fight with Los Che for the third spot, which avoids the need of a play-off to qualify for the Champions League group stage, to their massive upcoming showdown at La Rosaleda.

Malaga star Santi Cazorla claims they have “five finals” remaining, starting with the match at Osasuna this week.

Los Boquerones have been in stuttering form of late with just two wins in their last five games including a 1-1 draw at home to Real Sociedad last time out following on from a 2-1 defeat at Villarreal the week before.

However, they could be boosted by the return of influential duo both Joaquin Sanchez and Julio Baptista for the run-in which Cazorla feels could swing things back in their favour.

“Joaquin was in great form when he was injured and we are a much stronger side with Julio in it. They are two key players,” he said.

Osasuna are also in some inconsistent form ahead of the action with Jose Luis Mendilibar’s men losing three of their last four games, which included shipping five and six goals against Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano respectively.

However, they will know a win against Malaga could move them up the table and to within just two points of their opponents with European football very much in their sights.

Osasuna have also enjoyed the best of the recent head-to-heads with two wins a three draws in their past five meetings, including a 3-0 win in last season?s encounter on home soil.

Both sides would be boosted by picking up three points but Cazorla?s admission that Malaga would just be happy to avoid defeat on their travels – at Osasuna, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona – and pick up maximum points in their remaining home games against Valencia and struggling Sporting Gijon.

Therefore, it appears that both sides will cancel each other out and share the spoils.

Prediction: Draw 90 Minutes @ 12/5
Value Bet: 1-1 Correct Score @ 11/2.

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