Montpellier on course Tou-louse

The title run-in is reaching a climax in France with Montpellier looking to consolidate their position at the top of the standings and justify 5/6 outright favouritism in what could be a pivotal weekend.

The Stade de la Mosson outfit of course were a founder member of the first division in France but have still to taste the glory of being crowned champions, and may possibly not get a better opportunity.

However, the run to the line does not appear to be the easiest for La Paillade – on paper at least, despite closing their campaign against basement dwellers Auxerre.

A trip to Stade Rennes is sandwiched by home clashes against Evian TG and Lille, while the league leaders start the charge by travelling to seventh-placed Toulouse on Friday night, kicking off at 1800.

It provides a real opportunity for Rene Girard and his men to really take control of Le Championnat as a victory would pile the pressure on their rivals with third-placed Lille hosting second-placed Paris Saint-Germain on Sunday night.

MHSC currently hold a two-point advantage over the capital club, with Lille a further five points back so a win on Friday could turn out to be crucial in the final outcome.

However, it will not be easy at the Stadium Municipal and that is reflected in the betting with TFC priced as marginal 13/8 favourites, wtih Montpellier at 7/2 and the draw at 2/1.

Toulouse have hit the buffers of late and have slipped to seventh in the table, three points behind fourth-placed Lyon, but will be glad to be back on home soil, given their record at the Stadium Municipal.

Alain Casanova’s men have lost three of their last four but those defeats came on the road and they thrashed Lyon 3-0 the last time they played in front of their own fans.

In fact, Les Pitchouns have been beaten just once at home since the turn of the year (1-0 Saint-Etienne in February) and only twice all season so Montpellier will have it all to do – with their patchy away record.

Goals have not been a problem on the road for the league leaders – with Olivier Giroud and Younes Belhandra the men to watch out for – but that has been the same at both ends of the pitch.

Montpellier have won six and lost and drawn five on the road but they have only taken maximum points once in their last six games, and have lost three of the last four.

With that in mind, Toulouse look a good shout to continue their excellent home form and make Montpellier sweat over other results this weekend.

Friday’s other match sees Lorient take on 2010 champions Olympique Marseille, with the home side desperate for points to pull away from the relegation zone.

Christian Gourcuff’s men are only two points above Brest in 18th place and that could well the motivation they need to secure the three points.

Marseille are in the midst of a disastrous run of results – their Coupe de la Ligue success aside – and have nothing left to play for with the players seemingly having holidays on their mind.

Lorient have a decent home record, given their position in the table, with just four defeats at the Stade du Moustoir all season and can secure their eighth home on Friday.

Gourcuff’s men are favourites at 6/4 to do just that while the draw is priced at 2/1, but the more fanciful amongst us can get 19/10 on Marseille securing their first league win since the end of January.

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Impressive England well on course

England enjoyed a perfect night on Friday as a fine performance gave them a 3-0 victory over Bulgaria and, coupled with Wales’ unexpected victory over Montenegro, Fabio Capello’s side now look well on course to qualify for Euro 2012 as Group G winners (England 1/33).

The manner in which the Three Lions disposed of Bulgaria will have thrilled Capello and fans alike with a ruthless attacking display making a mockery of pre-match fears that it was going to be a tricky evening for the men in black.

Ashley Young, Wayne Rooney, Stewart Downing and Theo Walcott all enjoyed themselves against an albeit poor Bulgaria defence as England tore their opponents to shreds at times in Sofia.

Rooney and Young picked up where they had left off for Manchester United so far this season, while the pace of Downing and Walcott, often swapping wings to outfox Bulgaria further, caused problems all evening.

Capello had sprung somewhat of a surprise leaving international stalwart Frank Lampard on the bench and going instead with Scott Parker and Gareth Barry in the centre of midfield. It was a decision that paid off, however, as the duo pulled the strings and dictated the game.

Add to this the positive impact Adam Johnson and James Milner had when they came on, too, and suddenly England had a young, hungry side looking every bit like one capable of going on to win Euro 2012 – should they qualify of course.

It’s tempting to say that appears a foregone conclusion now, but there still remains two difficult games to come in the group – starting with Wales at Wembley on Tuesday.

England should have too much for Gary Speed’s side, especially now Craig Bellamy and David Vaughan are suspended after being booked in their impressive win over Montenegro (10/1 to win Group G), and another victory over their local rivals will leave Capello’s men on the brink of qualification.

Then comes the final match in Montenegro, which will be a tough game. Although that’s what many were predicting before the Bulgaria showdown.

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Dutch on course for Euro crown

The latest round of Euro 2012 qualifiers are coming up in early June, and this time next year the teams will be preparing to do battle in Poland and Ukraine, but who are the main contenders for next year’s tournament, and the outsiders to watch?

The Favourites

Holland

The World Cup runners-up have continued to progress since losing to Spain in South Africa and are one of three teams with a 100% record. The Netherlands are the top goalscorers in qualifying, to date, with 21 goals in six Group E fixtures.

Bert van Marwijk’s men have brought the best out of two Premier League strikers, Dirk Kuyt and Robin van Persie, while Klass-Jan Huntelaar tops the scoring charts in qualifying with with eight goals.

The defence is still the main concern for those following the Netherlands, but they will be firm contenders next summer.

Outright Betting – Holland 13/2

Spain

The defending champions have eased through the qualifying campaign so far and top Group I. Spain have had some worrying moments though, with a hard-fought 3-2 win at Hampden Park, and then falling behind at home to the Czech Republic before clinching a 2-1 success.

They will undoubtedly be the team to beat again next summer, but the goalscoring department will their concern. David Villa has endured a tough end to the La Liga season, while Fernando Torres has scored just once since his £50million move from Liverpool in January. There is still plenty of time to put that right though!

Outright Betting – Spain 7/2

Germany

The young side that impressed and surprised so many in South Africa last summer are showing that their World Cup displays were not a flash in the pan. The Germans have won all five matches to date and conceded just one goal so far!

Group A looks one of the tougher groups, with Turkey, Belgium and Austria three of the other five teams, but Germany have taken a firm grip on top spot.

Veteran striker Miroslav Klose continues to bang in the goals, with eight to date, while Manuel Neuer at the other end is arguably the best keeper in Europe.

Outright Betting – Germany 9/2

The Outsiders

England

We say it every two years, but the Three Lions look to have a decent chance of a big tournament in Poland and Ukraine, with a good mixture of experience and youth. Now the ‘Golden Generation’ has been split up somewhat, the pressure may ease on Fabio Capello’s men going into the tournament.

After an appalling showing at last year’s World Cup, Capello has decided to blood some more young stars and the likes of Andy Carroll, Jack Wilshere and Joe Hart are shining in qualifying.

If England can see off Montengero in qualifying – both are on 10 points in Group G – there will be plenty of punters eyeing a big price on the 1996 semi-finalists.

Outright Betting – England 9/1

Russia

The 1988 runners-up are in a tough qualifying group but will fancy their chances of qualification, with four of their remaining five matches at home.

With thousands of Russian fans likely to make the short journey to the finals, their tournament matches will almost feel like home games!

In Dutchman Dick Advocaat, Russia have a shrewd tactician at the helm and they have plenty of firepower going forward, with the likes of Arshavin, Pavlychenko and Pogrebnyak.

Outright Betting – Russia 20/1

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