Forest face uphill task

Nottingham Forest will be desperate to put recent play-off disasters to one side when they tackle Swansea City in the first leg of their Championship semi-final at The City Ground (Forest 13/10, draw 23/10, Swansea 21/10 in the match betting).

Four years ago, when Forest were languishing in League One, they seemed certain to be heading to Wembley when they won at Yeovil Town 2-0 in the first leg, only to suffer a stunning 5-2 home reverse to the Glovers in the return clash.

After that amazing aggregate defeat, Forest did at least bounce back by winning automatic promotion 12 months later, but they were to endure another disastrous play-off experience at the end of the 2009-10 campaign.

Billy Davies’ side were everyone’s favourites to see off rank outsiders Blackpool even after they had been beaten 2-1 at Bloomfield Road in the first leg.

However, despite being unbeatable at The City Ground in the second half of the regular season, including a run of 12 successive victories, they contrived to lose 4-3 to Ian Holloway’s inspired side, who went on to beat Cardiff City at Wembley to confirm their place in the Premier League.

Despite a few wobbles along the way, Forest finished the 2010-11 campaign strongly to see off the challenge of Leeds United and Millwall and clinch sixth spot.

However, they will find it difficult to see off a Swansea City side that have a notoriously mean defence and are 13/5 with totesport to keep a clean sheet on Thursday.

Last term, under Paulo Sousa’s astute stewardship, they only just missed out on a top-six spot after conceding a paltry 37 goals in their 46 matches.

Despite Sousa’s summer defection to Leicester City, the Swans have prospered this term under ex-Watford and Reading manager Brendan Rodgers.

Once again their defence has been solid – Rodgers’ side conceded only 42 goals as they finished third – but they have added some goalscoring flair to their defensive organisation, finding the net 69 times in comparison to last season’s tally of 40 goals.

Former Chelsea starlet Scott Sinclair (13/2 to open the scoring at The City Ground) has been in blistering form, scoring 19 times in the Championship this term.

He has received good support from Darren Pratley and Stephen Dobbie who have both netted nine times.

There has been little to choose between the two sides this term, with Forest beating Rodgers’ team 3-1 at The City Ground in September, before the Swans gained revenge at the Liberty Stadium in March when they won by the odd goal in five.

Despite the prize on offer being so vast, a high-scoring game could once again be on the cards, with 12/1 available on a 2-2 draw.

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City face uphill Europa battle

Manchester City, Liverpool and Rangers are all in Europa League action on Thursday night – with all three in danger of heading out of the competition in the last 16 (Europa League outright – Liverpool 6/1).

City are in the most precarious position of the British trio.  Roberto Mancini’s expensively-assembled side were humbled as they slumped to a 2-0 defeat in the Ukraine against Dynamo Kiev and it will take a big effort from the Eastlands side if they are to reach the quarter-finals.

City simply can’t afford to concede against Dynamo on Thursday night as they could not grab a crucial away goal at the Valeriy Lobanovskiy Stadium last week.

However, Mancini has his side well drilled and they have kept clean sheets in their last three consecutive home games – City are evens to keep a clean sheet and 6/5 to win to nil, both of which look good value considering their recent home form.

City need to win at least 3-0 if they are to progress, it will be a big ask for Mancini’s men and they are priced at 18/1 to secure a 3-0 victory over the Ukrainian outfit.

The Manchester side will also be boosted by the return of midfield playmaker James Milner from a hamstring injury, but Adam Johnson is unlikely to feature as he is still struggling with an ankle injury.

Liverpool were beaten 1-0 in Portugal by Braga but the Anfield outfit should be too strong for the Portuguese side on home soil.

Braga have a decent record at home and managed to see off Arsenal at the Estádio AXA but they do not fair so well on their travels, domestically and in Europe.

In the Portuguese Liga Sagres they have managed just two wins, losing six and drawing three and in Europe they have been beaten at Arsenal (6-0), Shaktar Donetsk and Lech Poznan.

Liverpool may have been left frustrated in Portugal but they should prove far too strong for a Braga side who do not travel well.  In the Half-Time/Full-Time market a Liverpool/Liverpool result is priced at 11/10 and the Reds should be full of confidence after seeing off Manchester United 3-1 last time out.

Rangers managed to secure a 0-0 draw with PSV Eindhoven in Holland and are in the driving seat with home advantage for Thursday night’s showdown.

PSV drew with strugglers NEC in their last league fixture, while Rangers secured a narrow win over Kilmarnock in the SPL and both sides struggled on their return to domestic action but will be keen to book a spot in the last eight.

Rangers have a few injury problems to key players and PSV, the Dutch league leaders, have a formidable record on their travels in the Eredivisie and have lost just once.

A draw, with goals, would be good enough for PSV and Rangers will need to be on the top of their game to see off the Dutch giants.

This is a tricky one to call and there is little to chose between the two sides but PSV are capable of grabbing a goal, as are Rangers, and this could end in a tie – which is priced at 23/10, for the braver punter a 1-1 final score (which would see Rangers eliminated) is priced at 11/2.

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Blades face do-or-die clash

There is a full fixture list in the Championship on Saturday and several big games affect both ends of the table. The pressure to avoid the drop will be on both teams at Bramall Lane, as two former Premier League clubs go head-to-head.

Sheffield United v Derby (3pm)

This is a huge game in the battle for survival and a game the Blades really must win. United have not won in their last 12 games and the arrival of Micky Adams has done little to revive their flagging fortunes.

Having thrown away a 2-0 lead at Scunthorpe in midweek, they are given a chance to redeem themselves against the Rams. Derby have not won in their last nine games and a lack of firepower has seen them slip into the relegation tussle.

Match Bet: Sheffield United to win @ 13/10

Swansea v Leeds (12.45pm)

Second play sixth at the Liberty Stadium and this is a tough game to call, with two sides who have surprised many pundits this season. The Swans have lost just one of their last seven league games, although their record against fellow promotion hopefuls is not great – with recent defeats to Cardiff and QPR.

Leeds have only lost three of their 16 away league games to date and look a better side away from Elland Road, although their usually backline have conceded five goals in their last two games.

Match Bet: Both teams to score @ 4/5

Hull v Cardiff (3pm)

The Tigers are arguably the form team in the division, with Nigel Pearson’s men unbeaten in their last nine league games. They have only conceded eight goals at home – second best record in the league – and will be able to play on-loan Cardiff defender Anthony Gerrard against his parent club.

Cardiff are unpredictable at the moment, capable of beating anyone but equally capable of losing games they should win. The Bluebirds have lost just twice away from home but have only won once outside the Welsh capital (at Swansea) since mid-November.

Match Bet: Draw HT / Hull FT @ 9/2

Middlesbrough v QPR (3pm)

Boro are still threatened by relegation despite picking up in recent weeks and will offer QPR a stern test at the back. Tony Mowbray’s men have scored 13 goals in their last six games, including six in their last two, but have also been leaking them at the other end.

The Rs are far from their best at the moment, but if they continue to pick up points on their travels and win their home games, should have enough to go up automatically.

Match Bet: Draw @ 23/10

Millwall v Nottingham Forest (3pm)

Lions fans are still dreaming of a place in the Premier League, with Kenny Jackett’s men eight points outside the play-off zone. Their recent inconsistent form though looks likely to cost them with just one win in their last five games.

Forest have also been Jekyll  and Hyde in recent weeks, with good results against Cardiff and QPR sitting alongside slip-ups against strugglers Scunthorpe and Preston.

Match Bet: Draw @ 11/5

Barnsley v Norwich (3pm)

The Tykes spoilt the party for Leeds in midweek and could do likewise against a Norwich team that has drawn its last two games. Barnsley have lost just three times at Oakwell, with their last home defeat coming back on Boxing Day.

The Canaries look to be hitting a blip and their home draw with Doncaster on Tuesday must have dented confidence. Although their away form has been good, the loss of injured defender Leon Barnett is a big blow.

Match Bet: Barnsley to win @ 19/10

Crystal Palace v Reading (3pm)

Both of these teams still have much to play for, with Palace just three points outside the drop zone and the Royals seven points from the play-offs.

Palace have gone eight games at home without conceding a goal and have not been beaten at Selhurst Park since October. Reading are unbeaten in three matches but the goals look to have dried up.

Match Bet: Palace to win 1-0 @ 15/2

Preston v Burnley (3pm)

North End are showing signs of recovery, but it may come too late in their battle for survival. Phil Brown’s men are still bottom despite draws against Watford, QPR and Nottingham Forest in their last three games.

Burnley are not out of the play-off picture and are on a three-game unbeaten run, but will find it hard to pick up a much-needed three points in this Lancashire derby.

Match Bet: 1-1 draw @ 11/2

Leicester v Coventry (3pm)

The Foxes’ defeat at Cardiff in midweek might prove costly, but they should get back to winning ways in this Midlands derby.

Sven’s men have only lost twice at home this season, while out-of-form Coventry have not won on their travels since November.

Match Bet: Leicester HT / Leicester FT @ 6/5

Bristol City v Scunthorpe (3pm)

The Robins look to have got themselves out of trouble at the bottom end of the table, but will face a resurgent Scunny team who have picked up seven points from their last three games.

The Iron’s away form is generally better than their home form and they will fancy their chances of picking up something from Ashton Gate.

Match Bet: Draw @ 12/5

Ipswich v Portsmouth (3pm)

Can only see this match going one way – a home win. Paul Jewell has turned around the Tractor Boys’ fortunes since taking charge at Portman Road and they should be too strong for a Pompey squad still struggling for numbers.

Match Bet: Ipswich to win @ 20/23

Doncaster v Watford (3pm)

Injury-ravaged Rovers shocked everyone with a 1-1 draw at Norwich in midweek and back on their home patch may now build on that. Although it is too late for the play-offs, Donny could take the points against a Watford team that has not won since January 15.

Match Bet: Doncaster to win @ 6/4

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Depleted United face French test

Injury-hit Manchester United will have their work cut out Bet on the Premier Leagueon Wednesday night when they travel to France to take on Marseille in the Champions League knockout stages (Marseille 5/2,draw 23/10,United 11/10).

Admittedly, the draw has been a favourable one for the Red Devils considering London rivals Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur have been pitted against Barcelona and AC Milan respectively.

However, United will have to do without five players for the game in the south of France.

The major losses are central defender Rio Ferdinand, who has still not recovered from a calf injury, and Anderson who was forced off the field during United’s 1-0 win over Crawley Town in the FA Cup.

Jonny Evans would be the go-to man in the absence of Ferdinand but the Northern Irishman is also on the injury list with an ankle problem.

Add to this the injuries suffered by Ryan Giggs and Michael Owen, and you’re left with some tough decisions for Sir Alex Ferguson to make on Wednesday night.

Fortunately for United they still have firepower up front with Wayne Rooney and Dimitar Berbatov fit and ready to go.

Meanwhile, playmaker Nani will be bursting forward from midfield to create chances and bag goals of his own.

Marseille will be no pushovers on home soil, as they currently sit in third place in Ligue 1, and have only suffered two defeats in their last 22 games.

United were lacklustre in their last outing in the FA Cup and they would probably be happy with a draw in Marseille, especially if they can bag themselves an away goal, so at 23/10, that looks appealing.

In Wednesday night’s other game, Inter Milan take on Bayern Munich at the San Siro in a replay of last year’s final (Inter 5/4, draw 9/4, Munich 11/5).

Under former boss Jose Mourinho, Inter were the side to come out on top at the Santiago Bernabeu to break German hearts.

There has been a change of manager at the San Siro as Leonardo has since taken the reins after former Liverpool boss Rafa Benitez struggled to find his feet in Milan.

Inter are not the same side that they were under the ’special one’ Mourinho, as they have shown a weakness at the back that has been exploited a few times this season.

Tottenham were able to exploit a lack of pace at the back, as Gareth Bale glided past Maicon on a number of occasions to bag himself a hat-trick in the group-stage clash.

Bayern do not have that same out-and-out pace in their ranks as Spurs do with Bale and Aaron Lennon, but they do boast technical players like Bastian Schweinsteiger and Frank Ribery who will pose problems for the Italian club.

With Inter on home soil they will be the favourites but Munich might be able to get something out of this mouth-watering clash and money on another draw, at 9/4, could be rewarded.

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Chelsea face tough Cottage test

Current Premier League champions Chelsea head to Craven Cottage on Monday evening to face a Fulham (to beat Chelsea – 19/5) side who have experienced a good run of form of late.

Fulham, who have seven points from their last three league games, welcome the Blues to the Cottage where they haven’t lost in any competition since December 26.

Chelsea, meanwhile, have picked up six points from their previous three league games which gives Fulham the slight advantage with regards to recent form.

New boy David Luiz is set to make his full debut for the Stamford Bridge side, having signed for £21.3million and Carlo Ancelotti will be hoping that he fits into a Chelsea backline who have struggled since the injury to Alex this season.

Jose Boswinga is a doubt with an injury, while Yuri Zhirkov is still sidelined with a calf injury so Ancelotti’s defensive options are currently bleak.

The Blues have conceded four goals in their last three games across all competitions and it has proven to be a big problem for the side who have faltered in their title defence.

The west London club are now 13 points behind Manchester United in the Premier League, albeit with a game in hand. Ancelotti admitted recently that the title is now beyond them and that Champions League football the priority for Chelsea this season.

Fulham will be licking their lips at the prospect of a derby game against a Chelsea side low on confidence.  The league game at Stamford Bridge finished in a 1-0 win to Chelsea back in November, an Essien strike separating the sides, but Fulham have made a fortress at the Cottage recently and will fancy their chances.

The Cottagers have kept a clean sheet in their previous three home games and Chelsea appear to be suffering from the old ‘too-many-chiefs-and-not-enough-Indians’ dilemma with their attacking options.

£50million man Fernando Torres has had a poor season by his standards, Didier Drogba is not the player he was and Nicolas Anelka has only recently started to regain his form.  But truth be told, regardless of the class of these three, getting them to gel as a three-pronged attack in what will be only their second game as a unit will be a big ask.

Problems in defence for Chelsea, and issues to sort out in attack, means that Fulham, although seven league places behind their London neighbours, are worth a bet and stand a great chance of claiming all three points (Fulham to win 1-0 – 9/1).

Fulham will want star midfielder Clint Dempsey to be on form, as Bobby Zamora will not play despite making a return for the reserves recently.  The American Dempsey (to score anytime against Chelsea – 5/2 fav) has scored nine league goals this season and is well worth a punt to ruin Chelsea’s season even further.

No player at the Stamford Bridge club is yet to reach ten league goals for the season.  Drogba and Florent Malouda have both scored nine league goals this season.

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Blues face anxious derby wait

Birmingham midfielder Alexander Hleb is in a race against time to be fit for Sunday’s derby with Aston Villa (14/1 – Premier League Top-4 Finish) after suffering a knee injury in Saturday’s 2-0 win over Blackpool.

The former Arsenal man was forced to leave the pitch 15 minutes from the end of the Premier League win and is already a concern for the weekend.

Hleb, on a season-long loan from Barcelona, seems almost certain to sit out Tuesday’s Carling Cup tie against Brentford but Blues (16/1 Top Six Finish 2010-11) will hope for better news later in the week.

Alex McLeish remains hopeful that the Belarus international will be ready for the Second-City derby, but was wishing he had replaced Hleb earlier.

The Scot said: “At half-time I said to Alex ‘give me 15 minutes of magic and we will get you off’. It went a bit longer than that and all of a sudden he had a little twist in his knee which we are concerned about.

“We have to wait to see how it is, but he is a brave guy. I just hope there is no serious damage.”

Another concern for McLeish is winger Jean Beausejour, who has missed the last two matches after injuring his knee ligament.

The summer signing was short of match fitness when he joined Blues and has yet to start in the Premier League.

Birmingham say they don’t want to take “any unnecessary risks” with Chile international, but may decide to give him a run out in midweek.

It will be a much-changed team that takes to the field for the League Cup encounter (Birmingham 3/10, Draw 18/5, Brentford 9/1 – Match Betting), with McLeish having one eye on the trip to Villa Park.

The manager admits that there will be “enforced changes” as Blues look to reach the quarter-finals of the Carling Cup.

McLeish added: “One or two will definitely need to rest and players have been playing with injections.

“That has been the case with three or four of them over the last few weeks, and that just can’t last forever because you will burn them out.”

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Adebayor could face Arsenal

Emmanuel Adebayor is in line to start for Manchester City (13/10 – 90 minutes) against Arsenal at the weekend after his Europa League heroics, according to manager Roberto Mancini.

The Togo striker bagged a hat-trick at Eastlands to secure a 3-1 win over Lech Poznan in the Europa League. It was the first-ever European hat-trick by a City player and the first time he had found the back of the net so far this season.

Adebayor, who joined City from Arsenal (2/1 to win, draw 11/5 – 90 minutes) in the summer of 2009, is now set to start against his former club on Sunday, according to Mancini.

It was around 12 months ago that Adebayor angered Arsenal fans at Eastlands as City ran out 4-2 winners, back in Mark Hughes’ time as manager. He raked his boot down Robin van Persie’s face and also ran the full length of the pitch to celebrate in front of the Gunners fans after scoring.

The striker got a three match-suspension for the stamp on van Persie and was given a £25,000 fine and suspended two-match ban for after the Football Association cited “extremely provocative abuse” as a key factor in his controversial celebration.

After breaking his goal duck against the Polish side, Adebayor (5/1 – first goal scorer) now looks likely to be handed a starting spot when the teams meet again on Sunday.

Mancini said: “It is possible he could play against Arsenal.

“For a striker it is important to play well and his performance was excellent. But it is very important for them to score.

“Now he has a good chance to play against Arsenal.”

It looks a certainty that Carlos Tevez (Evens – to score anytime), City’s top scorer this season with seven goals, will come back into the team for the highly-anticipated Premier League clash with the Gunners, but Mancini is confident the duo can play together on Sunday.

“It is not a problem,” he added.

“They played together against Blackpool. It is normal for my teams to play with two strikers. That is what I usually like to do.”

Arsenal captain Cesc Fabregas recently stoked the fires ahead of the game by claiming it is not possible for a team to just “buy the spirit” of champions with cold, hard cash (City 11/2 – Premier League outright, Arsenal 15/2).

The Spaniard knows City sit only two points behind Chelsea at the top of the Premier League but yet he has said it is impossible for a team to be put together “in one season or two” and it will take a long time to make the club serious title contenders.

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Black Cats face another stern test

Bet on Blackburn v SunderlandSunderland defender Michael Turner is expecting a really tough challenge at Blackburn Rovers (23/20 to win the game) on Monday night as the Black Cats prepare for another big month ahead.

In the last four weeks, Turner and co have faced Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United and come through those games unbeaten.

Steve Bruce takes his side to Ewood Park on Monday night to face a Blackburn side level on points with them as the sides sit just two points above the relegation places (Sunderland 12/5 to win the game, draw 23/10).

What will be a huge blow to Sunderland could be the loss of leading scorer Darren Bent. The former Tottenham man sustained a groin injury on England duty and is rated as doubtful for the clash. Their £13million Ghanaian signing Asamoah Gyan (15/2 to be first goalscorer) is set to take his place should Bent fail to make it.

Bruce is also buoyed by the return of Kieran Richardson, Anton Ferdinand and John Mensah, while Danny Wellbeck is available after being ineligible to play against parent club Manchester United in the last game.

Turner knows many Sunderland fans are looking for the side to step up and improve on their results from last season and finish in the Premier League top ten, but the defender is taking nothing for granted with more tough games against Aston Villa and local rivals Newcastle looming on the horizon.

“We have had a good start this year and we just want it to carry on,” said the former Hull defender.

“But we have got a tough game on Monday night and that is what we are concentrating on.

“We know it is going to be a huge contrast to Manchester United and Liverpool in the way Blackburn play, so we know we are going to have to be prepared and roll our sleeves up and be ready for what they throw at us.

“Every team in the league plays with a different style and it is about dealing with whatever is thrown at you.

“We will try to stamp our play on the game and concentrate on that, but we know we are going to have to deal with balls into the box and throw our bodies on the line to keep a clean sheet.”

Blackburn (6/1 to win the game 1-0) manager Sam Allardyce has injury concerns over captain Ryan Nelsen, who is struggling with a thigh problem, while David Dunn is likely to play some part after recovering from a hamstring sprain.

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Rivals face major injuries

Manchester City currently have just three fit defenders ahead of their crunch clash with Chelsea (Man City 21/10, Draw 9/4, Chelsea 6/5 – Match Betting), who themselves have major injury concerns.

Both teams crashed out of the Carling Cup in midweek but the two managers would have had one eye on Saturday’s big game at Eastlands.

City boss Roberto Mancini has revealed that he is desperately short of defensive options ahead of the weekend, with Micah Richards the latest concern.

The England international missed the League Cup defeat at West Brom due to a hamstring problem and is in a race against time to be fit for the weekend.

Mancini says Pablo Zabaleta will play at right back against the league leaders, while Vincent Kompany and Kolo Toure are the only other two fully-fit players.

The Italian admitted: “I hope that Micah Richards can recover. If not I don’t know who can play left-back. We have big problems.”

Gareth Barry or James Milner (4/1 to score at anytime) could well be asked to play in an unfamiliar role at left back, although Wayne Bridge still has an outside chance of making the weekend.

Mancini says he has no regrets over his team selection at the Hawthorns, even though City (4/6 Premier League 2010-11 Top Four Finish) crashed out of the Carling Cup.

The former Sampdoria (28/1 to win 2010-11 Europa League) striker added: “Saturday is more important, the FA Cup is more important. The Europa League is more important.

“I did not regard this as a necessary sacrifice. We wanted to win. That is why I had four senior players on the bench. But I knew there was a chance we could lose because we started with six young players.”

Meanwhile, Chelsea’s injury list continues to grow with Yossi Benayoun and Salomon Kalou almost certainly ruled out of Saturday’s match.

Both players featured in the Carling Cup loss to Newcastle, with Benayoun suffering a calf injury and Kalou picking up a thigh problem.

Carlo Ancelotti said: “We will know more soon, but they don’t look good. They will miss the next few games. These things happen in football.”

Ancelotti already has major doubts over the fitness of Frank Lampard, while Gael Kakuta is also sidelined with thigh injury.

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Inter to face confident Bari

Bari striker Paulo Barreto says the Galletti (6/1) are full of confidence going into tonight’s Serie A clash with champions Inter (4/11) at the San Siro.

The Brazilian scored his first goal of the season in Bari’s 2-2 draw at Napoli last week, which they followed up with a 0-0 draw against Cagliari at the weekend.

The minnows remain unbeaten in Serie A after opening up the campaign with a 1-0 home defeat of mighty Juventus.

“I have already scored in Milan with Udinese,” said Barreto. “That was against the Rossoneri. This time it could be the occasion to do it against Inter too,” he told La Gazzetta dello Sport.

“When you play in a stadium like San Siro there is no need for motivation.

“It’s stimulating to show yourself in Italy’s most important stadium. If we play like we can then Inter will be in trouble. Playing Bari is not easy for anyone.”

Giampiero Ventura’s outfit must overcome an Inter side who finally appear to be settling down under Spanish tactician Rafael Benitez.

Inter won at Palermo – where the Sicilians hadn’t lost for 18 months – at the weekend and played their best football of the season, showing the old team spirit fostered by ex-bpss Jose Mourinho to come from behind.

The 2-1 win should get the media off Benitez’s back after lacklustre showings against Bologna, Udinese and Twente.

Cameroon hitman Samuel Eto’o struck twice in eight minutes in Sicily, his fifth and six goals of the campaign already, and he is now overshadowing last season’s hero Diego Milito for Inter.

Benitez’s only absentee is Thiago Motta, who is expected to return from injury in two weeks.

Bari’s injury victims include Salvatore Masiello, Jaime Romero and Alessandro Gazzi.

Bari stunned Inter not once but twice last term, holding the treble winners to a 1-1 draw (13/2 in Correct Scores) at San Siro on the opening day and a 2-2 (20/1) draw at the Stadio San Nicola in January, a match they had led 2-0.

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