Defensive frailties to be exposed

The busy period of Premier League fixtures is about to come to an end with two matches rounding off the festive programme on Wednesday, before taking a break with the FA Cup taking precedence next weekend (totesport – football).

Newcastle v Manchester United 8pm

There have been one or two surprising results over the New Year with the battery of fixtures a possible factor but these two clubs can have no complaints having relatively long periods between fixtures – Newcastle played on Friday night while United were in action on Saturday lunchtime.

Of course that is not too say that the two do not have problems with the Magpies poor run of form continuing after a 3-1 defeat at Anfield, while an injury-hit United side were surprisingly beaten by strugglers Blackburn at Old Trafford.

United’s defeat did not prove too costly as it happens as neighbours City suffered a shock 1-0 reverse at Sunderland and Sir Alex Ferguson will be hoping his players can bounce back.

Wayne Rooney was a surprise absentee from a threadbare squad at the weekend – reportedly due to disciplinary reasons – but he is set to return to the lineup on Wednesday and will be a key player for the champions.

United have been installed as the 8/11 favourites in the match betting, which is perhaps unsurprising given the fact they are level on points at the top of the table and are yet to taste defeat on their Premier League travels this season.

However, there could be some value to be had in opposing the Red Devils with Newcastle available at 9/2 and the draw at 12/5, depending on the squad that Ferguson takes to St James’ Park.

Blackburn were restricted to a handful of chances at Old Trafford but still scored three goals, with a makeshift defence struggling to cope while question marks re-appeared over David de Gea’s goalkeeping credentials.

Rio Ferdinand is close to making a comeback but whether he is fit for Wednesday remains to be seen, although the Magpies have hit a poor run of form since securing a point in a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford in November, winning just one (against Bolton) of the following six games.

The defence has started to leak goals as well, having conceded at least three goals in four off those games, which is a worrying sign with United coming to town.

There certainly looks as though there will be goals in the fixture (Over 2.5 goals – 5/6) and Demba Ba has to be considered in the goalscoring markets (7/1 First/Last, 15/8 Anytime) as he has already bagged 14 this season – including the equaliser at Old Trafford, albeit from a dubious penalty.

Everton v Bolton 8pm

This match appears to be in complete contrast to the other match taking place on Wednesday, in the sense that goals could be very much at a premium when Bolton travel to Everton.

The Toffees have put together a four-match unbeaten run since a 1-0 reverse at Arsenal but have scored only one goal in those games, while they are the second-worst scorers at home, behind West Brom, in the Premier League.

However, David Moyes’ men set themselves up to be hard to beat and they are strong 1/2 favourites to heap further misery on Bolton Wanderers, who are on offer at 13/2 while the draw can be backed at 3/1.

It is not hard to see why Everton are fancied to win but there will be some who think the betting is too short, particularly as Bolton have won three times on the road, despite lying bottom of the table.

The last time Everton scored twice was when these two met at the Reebok in November but they were given a helping hand by the fact David Wheater was sent off in the 20th-minute – and they still only managed to score twice.

Both managers may well be relieved the transfer window has opened, providing they have funds to bring in some new blood but neither squad has a standout scorer and there looks like they might struggle on Wednesday (Under 2.5 Goals 5/6).

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Old frailties will cost Gunners

Monday night saw Manchester United arguably strike a serious psychological blow to Arsenal’s title hope as Sir Alex Ferguson’s men reclaimed top spot. We examine how United’s 1-0 win, plus the other Premier League results, have affected the title race (outright and match prices on totesport.com).

The cry of ’same old Arsenal, always cheating’ rang around Old Trafford on several occasions on Monday night as the Gunners tried to get stuck in against their title rivals. Perhaps a more apt chant would have been ’same old Arsenal, always failing’ as Arsene Wenger’s side once again faltered when faced with some serious opposition.

The north London outfit started the match as huge underdogs to come away with three points and anyone who wondered why they were such a big price only had to look at their limp-wristed display to find the answer. Monday’s defeat has seen Arsenal go to 9/2 to win the Premier League and even that seems generous when you consider all their flaws.

Arsenal started the match as top dogs in the Premier League and with Wenger having told his team to use the match as an opportunity to make a statement to the rest of the league. However, after 90 minutes the only statement the Gunners had made was to show they still aren’t good enough to win the league.

Monday was supposed to be the night when Samir Nasri, Marouane Chamakh and Jack Wilshere announced themselves on the big stage. Instead the only positive Arsenal fans will take out of the game is that they may have finally found a goalkeeper good enough to wear the number one shirt in Wojciech Szczesny.

The 1-0 defeat means Arsenal have won just three out of their last 23 matches against either United or Chelsea in all competitions. Their record against the big two speaks for its self and surely now Wenger must realise that some of his youngsters aren’t good enough and he needs to spend to be considered serious title challengers again.

Whereas Arsenal fans had to endure 90 minutes of horror United supporters will be a very content bunch, especially with the re-emergence of a certain Wayne Rooney (25/1 top Premier League goalscorer).

The England striker looked as fit as ever and was showing signs of getting back to his menacing best. While his penalty miss could have been costly it turned out to be just a blot on fine night for the 24-year-old.

Overall it was a good night’s work for Sir Alex Ferguson’s men, who showed that even when they aren’t at their best they still have enough to overcome one of their supposed title rivals.

United are 7/5 to reclaim the Premier League and with Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester City stuttering along who would bet against them. Watching the three others title rivals they all have problems right now and if United can get a positive result at Stamford Bridge on Sunday you can see them going on to walk away with the crown, again.

United will travel to west London full of vim and vigour as they prepare to face a struggling Blues side. Had Didier Drogba scored that last minute penalty against Tottenham on Sunday you could make a strong case for a resurgent Chelsea side. Instead United’s price of 23/10 to bet the Blues in the football betting looks too good to turn down based on what we saw on Monday.

While Arsenal, Manchester United and Chelsea face a tough December schedule their big-spending rivals City should be licking their lips at the opportunity to keep pace, or even overtake, the trio. City’s next four matches will see them face Everton, Newcastle, Aston Villa and Blackpool, all games they will feel confident of winning.

However, nothing is ever simple at City (11/2 Premier League outright) and with Carlos Tevez having thrown his toys out of the pram Roberto Mancini can be forgiven for being distracted by his band of spoilt brats.

So what have we learned about the title race this weekend? Based on the past three days it seems the title will only be heading in one direction come May and that is back to Old Trafford.

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