Home nations hit road to Brazil

The upcoming international action gives us the chance to assess who out of the home nations can qualify for the World Cup in 2014 as countries prepare for their first group games with the planned final destination being Brazil in two years’ time.

England

Having made it to the last four World Cups, it would be a major surprise if the Three Lions failed to negotiate the group stage for Brazil 2014 over the next 18 months or so (2/5f to win Group H). England’s recent pre-tournament qualifying record is actually very, very good – it’s just when the real action itself gets underway that they let everyone down. Expectations were rightly lowered for Euro 2012 and Roy Hodgson’s side eventually went out on penalties – again – to Italy in the summer as they found their usual level and exited at the quarter-final stage.  A group containing Moldova, Ukraine (9/2 to win Group H), Montenegro, Poland and San Marino looks tricky at worst but fairly straightforward at best and expect Hodgson to guide his side through to Brazil without too many problems. It’s just following that the hard work will start.

Verdict - Qualify as Group H winners.

Wales

Wales (28/1 to win Group A) have only ever made it to one World Cup – in 1958 – and are outsiders once again to make it through another tough qualifying group. Chris Coleman’s side face Belgium (who appear to have a ‘golden generation’ of top stars coming through), a talented Croatia, while they also must take on traditionally-tough opponents Macedonia and Serbia home and away and UK rivals Scotland in two games. Under former boss Gary Speed, Wales were on the up but, after his tragic passing earlier this year, the country’s football team have suffered, perhaps predictably so, as a whole new coaching team and methods have had to be implemented. There is talent available to Coleman but Aaron Ramsey, Gareth Bale and an ageing Craig Bellamy will, sadly, probably not be able to carry them through to Brazil on their own.

Verdict - Fourth in Group A.

Scotland

Scotland’s latest bid to qualify for a major tournament for the first time since 1998 begins with a winnable home match against Serbia on Saturday and they will hope to get off to a good start to give them a chance of making Brazil 2014 (18/1 to win Group A). The Scots have made good starts before, however, and then have faded badly when the crucial games came around but they will look at Group A and believe qualification can be theirs. Belgium (7/4f to win Group A) will more than likely top the standings but Craig Levein’s side can push Croatia hard for second spot and may just even sneak in as runners-up if they maintain their good home form and mix it up by being difficult to beat away from Hampden. It won’t be easy, of course, and Wales and Macedonia will be difficult opponents too but there is a feeling Scotland can finally progress, especially if Jordan Rhodes can transfer his prolific club form onto the international stage.

Verdict - Qualify as runners-up in Group B.

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland have not made the World Cup finals since their famous 1986 showing in Mexico and they do not appear to have enough strength in depth to make it out of Group F (40/1 to win Group). Michael O’Neill’s side will have been delighted with the draw as, aside from traditional heavyweights Russia and Portugal, Azerbaijan, Israel and Luxembourg could all be viewed as beatable opponents, especially in front of a packed, passionate Windsor Park crowd. They have probably the toughest of starts in Russia on Friday, though, and, while Northern Ireland might just pick up a win or two along the way, qualification again looks a bridge too far for the European minnows.

Verdict - Fourth in Group F.

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Money to burn at Loftus Road

After QPR’s morale-sapping 5-0 thrashing to Swansea at Loftus Road on the opening day of the season, Mark Hughes has moved quick to try and solve the club’s defensive woes. The wealthy Londoners (7/2 – Relegation) are continuing the splash the cash but is this necessarily going to go hand-in-hand with success this season?

A fee of £9million was agreed with Spurs for the ever-reliable Michael Dawson while the Hoops also agreed a season-long loan deal with Real Madrid for Ricardo Carvalho. With Jose Bosingwa signed too late to face Swansea it means Hughes could field a completely new-look back four against Norwich on Saturday, with Ryan Nelsen also expected to start (Norwich 5/4, draw 12/5, QPR 11/5).

QPR have also been linked with Inter Milan goalkeeper Julio Cesar, which could suggest Hughes is not completely won-over by new signing Robert Green following his howler for the first Swansea goal last weekend.

This summer the club have already brought in Junior Hoillet, Park Ji-sung, Samba Diakite, Green, Nelses, Andrew Johnson, Fabio and Bosingwa, with more new faces expected to join Dawson and Carvalho at Loftus Road before the transfer window closes. Indeed, they have been linked with Ryan Shawcross, Jermain Defoe and Kurt Zouma – it seems nailed on the already-bloated QPR squad will be extended further before too long.

All these moves, especially the defensive ones in the wake of the Swansea hammering, has led many onlookers to question their transfer policy and there have been suggestions QPR are ‘panic buying’ – which is something Tony Fernandes has been quick to hit back at.

The Chairman took to Twitter to say: “Wages are less than last year 15 players already left. And we have spent a net of 1.5 million this year. We have a fantastic team led by our very committed manager Mark. There is no panic and no overspending. ”

Ever since QPR (125/1 – Top 4 Finish) were taken over by Bernie Ecclestone and Flavio Briatore in August 2007 the club have seemed to wastefully spend money and hire/fire countless managers in the search for success, and this has showed no signs of abating under successive owners.

The club’s PR activity wasn’t helped by the broadcast of ‘The Four Year Plan’ which showed the extraordinary, and sometimes shocking, behind-the-scenes activity over four years as the Hoops strived to get back in the Premier League.

If you look at the new faces signed this summer, five players are over 30 and Carvalho, 34, will become the sixth and also the 19th thirty-plus player in total on the books at Loftus Road. While most teams in the Premier League are looking towards nurturing youth and working within UEFA Financial Fair Play Regulations, the west London club seem to be going down a different path.

QPR are striving for success but the way they are going about it means eyebrows are being raised up and down the country. While it is true that Dawson and Carvalho are good defenders, Hughes cannot just parachute them in and expect a sturdy Hoops defence from day one.

Whether their philosophy will work remains to be seen, but the revolution is going to be televised.

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Dark times at Carrow Road

It could be worrying times for Norwich City fans as they will have hoped not to be cursed by the dreaded ’second-season syndrome’. But at the moment they have no manager, no-one seemingly in line and their star striker wants to leave the club. Does Norwich have any hope of keeping their top-flight status at the end of 2012/13? (Norwich 13/8 – Premier League Relegation)

The Canaries are desperately on the look-out for a new manager after Paul Lambert jumped ship to Aston Villa (7/1 – Premier League Relegation) in acrimonious circumstances surrounding rejected resignations, rumours of fall-outs over the financial stability of the club and being forced to sell their best players to raise funds.

Losing a manager of Lambert’s credentials will have hurt Norwich as he took them from the depths of League One to a mid-table finish in the Premier League, and brought together a collection of lower league misfits and journeymen to look like a polished top-flight outfit.

So where do Norwich turn now? Despite their finish last season there remains no doubt that Norwich are a minnow in the Premier League and so may struggle to get an established big name into the dug-out at Carrow Road – despite chief executive David McNally stating the club were on a “European search” to get a manager with pedigree in.

One man who was highly linked with the role was former Norwich player and now Cardiff City manager Malky Mackay, this was despite McNally claiming they wanted a manager with “top league” experience.

The Welsh manager has earned a rising reputation with Watford and now the Bluebirds but has declared himself out of the race for the job as he wants to “stay and finish a long-term project” in Wales (Cardiff 16/1 – Championship Outright). The fact there is so much uncertainty regarding off-the-field issues at Carrow Road could put many potential suitors off.

The only other name really linked with the post is Chris Hughton after he seems to have been over-looked for the job at West Bromwich Albion (9/2 – Premier League Relegation) in favour of the German Ralf Ragnick – also reportedly one of the names McNally fancies for Norwich.

None of these names being thrown around really scream mass optimism if you are a Norwich fan and it could be a long campaign ahead.

Add to the lack of manager the distinct proposition that Grant Holt will be leaving the club this year after slapping in a transfer request. His 15 goals meant he was the second best English goal scorer in the Premier League and linked with a call-up to the Euro 2012 England squad.

There are going to be no shortage of suitors for Holt and Norwich will struggle to get a quality of his calibre to replace him, especially for the £4 million quoted for the 31-year-old.

Norwich over-performed last season and unfortunately 2012/13 could be a season that really shows up how much they over-achieved and how good a manager Lambert really was.

This rag-tag collection of footballers need to be galvanised by whoever the new boss is, but it remains to be seen if anyone else could really get the same passion, quality and energy out of the players like Lambert did.

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Long road ahead, warns Jose

Real Madrid put down a marker in La Liga on Sunday with a 6-1 demolition of Deportivo La Coruna – but the result did nothing to tempt totesport.com into making Spain’s capital club favourites for the title race (Evens Real Madrid – La Liga Primera Outright 2010/2011).

Real finally got the win and performance their supporters had been craving since Jose Mourinho was installed as the new manager in the summer, to serve notice of their Primera Division intentions.

Cristiano Ronaldo, the world’s most expensive footballer, scored twice in a one-sided contest against basement club Depor at a rain-drenched Bernabeu to leave Real in third place behind leaders Valencia and Villarreal (13/8 Valencia – La Liga Primera W/O Barcelona & Real Madrid).

The manner of the win had a whiff of inevitability about it given that Real had found the net just nine times since the start of the season prior to the Depor drubbing.

The Spanish giants had come under fire in the recent home match against Osasuna but the shackles finally came off against Miguel Lotina’s strugglers.

Mourinho refused to get carried away by the goal-fest and insisted his players still had work to do to win their first Spanish crown since 2008.

He said: “We look above and see there are still teams in front of us. We need to continue working.”

The Portuguese coach, who led Internazionale FC to an unprecedented treble of Serie A, Coppa Italia and Champions League titles last season, said he would thrive on the desire to win over his detractors.

Mourinho endured a stormy relationship with the Italian press during his time in Milan and doubts remain whether his conservative approach will win over seasoned Real fans accustomed to champagne football.

The former Chelsea coach admitted he still had work to do to appease the Bernabeu faithful but shrugged off personal criticism of his brand of football.

He said: “The doubts people have motivate me and make me laugh. I don’t understand why there are doubts about a coach who has won what I’ve won.

“I haven’t won three Champions League and seven championships – I’ve won two Champions Leagues and six championships. Is that sufficient to coach here? If so, I’ll continue working with calmness.”

He added: “I have the confidence of the president and the board. If they let me work here for four years, I promise a great team. We will have games likes this one and like the one against Levante.”

Barcelona were held to a 1-1 draw by Mallorca at Camp Nou on Sunday but totesport.com still has the champions as 5/6 favourites to retain their crown.

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