Boxing Day Countdown!

The annual Boxing Day extravaganza of football is upon us, with only a couple of alterations due to the planned London Tube strike. There are seven Premier League games on up and down the country, with some matches a lot easier to call than others.

1 – The bankers

Liverpool v Blackburn
Man Utd v Wigan
West Brom v Man City

The way the two Manchester teams are performing it’s hard to see either Wigan or West Brom pulling off a shock, while the way Blackburn are playing it would take a huge step up to take anything away from Anfield.

Manchester United blew Fulham away in midweek and, despite Wigan recording huge morale-boosting draws with Chelsea and Liverpool in the last week, Old Trafford remains a tough place to go (United 1/6, draw 6/1, Wigan 20/1).

City are also firing on all cylinders and look capable of blowing any side away, so it could be a long old Boxing Day for the West Brom defenders (West Brom 13/2, draw 10/3, City 4/9).

At Anfield, Liverpool may not be on top form but with morale at rock-bottom at Blackburn and the boss under intense scrutiny this is a chance for Dalglish’s team to re-ignite their form in front of goal (Liverpool 1/4, drive 5/1, Blackburn 11/1).

2 – The possible upsets

Chelsea v Fulham
Stoke v Aston Villa

Chelsea are also a team stuttering through the season and look like they need a resounding win to ignite some new-confidence in them. That opportunity could come on Boxing Day as Fulham showed in midweek defending is not their best trait.

Man Utd ripped them apart with ease and the Cottagers could again struggle against the pace of the likes of Juan Mata and Daniel Sturridge. The statistics don’t make good reading for travelling fans, as Fulham have beaten Chelsea only once in the last 30 league and cup meetings, but Chelsea do have a tendency to misfire (Chelsea 3/10, draw 4/1, Fulham 11/1).

Stoke currently occupy their best Christmas position for 37 years and face a Villa side who have taken only eight points from the last 30. The combination of Stoke’s set-piece power – which will be boosted by the return of Peter Crouch – and Villa’s struggles at the back point towards a home win and some Christmas cheer in the Potteries, but it will all depend on which Villa turns up (Stoke 10/11, draw 12/5, Villa 16/5).

3 – Too close to call

Bolton v Newcastle
Sunderland v Everton

It’s a case of a team looking up and a team on their way down at the Reebok Stadium and Bolton will be hoping their midweek win over Blackburn gives them a springboard over the festive period.

Newcastle are without a win in six games and travel to Bolton with a poor record in this fixture – indeed Bolton have won seven of the last eight home encounters with Newcastle. The visitors are a side in decline and desperately need to turn around their slipping fortunes (Bolton 6/4, draw 9/4, Newcastle 15/8).

Finally, at the Stadium of Light the dark clouds are turning brighter as Martin O’Neill has won two of his first three games in charge. There is a new-found confidence among the Black Cats but the head-to-head record against Everton makes dire reading – with the Toffees unbeaten in their last 13 league meetings with Sunderland.

Saying that, times are hard around Everton so this Boxing Day could be the time for the Black Cats to break the hoodoo (Sunderland 6/4, draw 9/4, Everton 15/8).

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SPL Boxing Day Previews

Despite the adverse weather conditions which have ravaged the Scottish football fixtures in recent weeks, fans are set for some festive cheer as all six planned Premier League games are still going ahead. Here is the low down on the big games north of the border.

Motherwell v Rangers

SPL leaders Rangers (1/2 Outright) are hoping to extend their two-point advantage over Old Firm rivals Celtic with what will be their first run-out since a 1-1 draw at Inverness a fortnight ago when they travel to managerless Motherwell.

A burst pipe at Fir Park will hopefully be fixed in time for Sunday as Walter Smith’s men go into the game with Edu and Kyle Lafferty set to resume duty, while ‘Well are without the suspended Steve Jennings, who starts a three-match ban following his controversial dismissal against Hearts last week.

Motherwell have not won in three SPL outings, so Rangers will fancy their chances of coming out on top with three points with a 1-0 win 11/2 with Totesport. However, Motherwell are 9/2 to pull off a slight shock and stop the recent rot since Craig Brown’s departure to Aberdeen.

Prediction: Rangers to win 2-1 at 7-1
Value Bet: Rangers To Win From Behind at 15/2

Celtic v St Johnstone

Neil Lennon’s Hoops will be on home soil for a fourth successive game aiming to pick up maximum points for the first time having been held to draws by Dundee United, Inverness and Kilmarnock.

They will be boosted by the return of captain Scott Brown from injury, while Ki Sung Yeung and his fellow South Korean, Cha Du R, will play in their final game before jetting off to the Asian Cup.

St Johnstone, who are in danger of being pulled into a relegation battle will be without the suspended duo of Jody Morris and Jamie Adams, but Murray Davidson should be fiot despite suffering an ankle knock in training.

Celtic cannot afford to drop any more points at Parkhead and I fully expect them to come out on top in this clash with a handsome victory.

Prediction Celtic 3-0 St Johnstone (7/1)
Value bet Celtic to Win 5-0 at 16/1.

Kilmarnock v Hearts

Third-placed Hearts (5/6 SPL W/Out Celtic & Rangers) travel to fifth-placed Kilmarnock (12/1) aiming to keep the pressure on the Old Firm in the race for the title and returning to winning ways after last week’s draw with Inverness.

The Jambos travel to Ayrshire without Lee Wallace, David Obua and Jason Thomson, who are close to comebacks, but Andrew Driver and Suso Santana remain a few weeks away from action.

Killie (19/10 To Win), who beat Hearts at Tynecastle earlier in the season, have no fresh injury worries after their midweek draw at Celtic Park.

Prediction: Draw (23/10)
Value Bet: 2-2 Draw at 12/1.

Dundee United v Hamilton Academicals

Dundee United have not played since the 1-1 draw at Celtic on November 20 an this game is the subject of a pitch inspection at Tannadice.

However, United will hope to finally get a game against a struggling Accies outfit which is level on 10 points with bottom club Aberdeen, to make up ground on the teams above them in the race for a European place.

Hamilton will hope some rustiness in the Dundee United camp could assist their bid for a much-needed three points (9/2 To Win).

Prediction: Home Win (8/13)
Value Bet: Dundee United 2-1 at 7/1

Hibernian v Aberdeen

Craig Brown and Archie Knox will hope to get their tenure at bottom club Aberdeen off to a flying start in a tricky match against fellow strugglers Hibernia at Easter Road.

The weather has restricted them so far, but they cannot afford to lose (Abderdeen 10/3 To Win) given that the Hibees would pull further clear and leave just three teams struck in trouble.

Prediction Draw (5/2)
Value Bet: Hibernian/Draw Half Time/Full Time at 14/1.

Inverness v St Mirren

Inverness Caley Thistle are set to be without Jonny Hayes, who has an ankle problem, as they look to keep the pressure on third-placed Hearts when they entertain struggling St Mirren.

The Paisley side will travel without Gareth Wardlaw, who begins a two-game suspension, for the game as they hope to try and pick up a win (St Mirren 4/1 To Win) to possibly take them six points clear of the bottom side Aberdeen.

Prediction Home Win (7/10).

Value Bet: Inverness Win From Behind at 8/1.

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Boxing Day bets

It’s the most wonderful day of the sporting year – the Boxing Day Premier League programme which is a nice way to ease ourselves into Bank Holiday Monday’s main fayre of Arsenal vs Chelsea (totesport match prices).

Fulham v West Ham

West entertains east at Craven Cottage at lunchtime with both sides badly struggling for wins this season – four between them none of which have come away from home.

Bet: Fulham win – evens

Blackburn v Stoke

Steve Kean is on board at Rovers until at least the end of the season but captain Chris Samba wants out and the Scot will have to wait a bit longer for his first home win.

Bet: Draw – 11/5

Blackpool v Liverpool

There’s no undersoil heating at Bloomfield Road so keep an eye on the weather forecast as Liverpool look for revenge for their humbling at Anfield.

Bet: Total Goals – 4 Or More – 21/10

Bolton v West Brom

The Baggies’ away record is better than Liverpool’s after 17 games but it will still not be enough  to trouble the Trotters who have lost just once at the Reebok this term.

Bet: Draw/Bolton – 7/2

Everton v Birmingham

One word sums up both sides’ respective seasons – poor – but the Toffees have not lost in December while City are struggling for goals – an average of one per game.

Bet: Everton 1-0 – 11/2

Man Utd v Sunderland

United are sitting pretty at the top of the tree as they welcome former captain Steve Bruce back to Old Trafford for what should be a home win.

Bet: Darren Bent – Enhanced First Goalscorer – Darren Bent 10/1

Newcastle v Man City

Another chance for Mario Balotelli to prove he is the ?second-best player in the world? after Lionel Messi. Hmmm.

Bet: City – 5/4

Wolverhampton v Wigan

The classic relegation six-pointer at Molineux where defeat for either side would arguably represent another nail their respective relegation coffins.

Bet: Draw  – 23/10

Aston Villa v Tottenham 17:30

Sunday’s late game has had more significance over recent seasons than it does this time around, but the home side?s form at Villa Park is hard to ignore.

Bet: Villa – 2/1

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Potential Boxing Day shocks

The weather may yet wreak havoc with the Boxing Day programme but just in case there is a let up, let us have a look at any potential shocks after the Christmas Turkey has been polished off.

Blackpool v Liverpool

To flag this one up as a potential shock might be doing the Seasiders a disservice as they have equipped themselves magnificently over the first half of the season. Both clubs have taken 22 points so far, although the Reds have played one more match. Under normal circumstances, Liverpool would be expected to win this one nine times out of ten but, despite having Steven Gerrard back in their ranks, they will struggle to contain a Blackpool side that have entertained with their attacking football up and down the country so far this term. Victory for the Tangerines could see them just two points off a European spot while Liverpool’s slide down the table will continue.

Verdict: Blackpool to win (19/5)

Value Bet: Blackpool to win 1-0 (9/1).

Manchester United v Sunderland

United are riding high at the top of the Premier League standings but there is a feeling, despite an improvement over recent games, that they are still not the side of old and do have weaknesses. It is true that they have yet to be beaten this term but that is purely down to a few last-gasp equalisers earlier in the season. Steve Bruce’s men will not fear the Red Devils, having beaten Chelsea 3-0 at Stamford Bridge earlier this season and they are themselves just four points off a Champions League place going into the festive period. The unbeaten run is bound to come to an end at some stage and the Black Cats could be the side to do it.

Verdict: Sunderland to win (11/1)

Value bet: 2-3 goals (10/11)

Newcastle United v Manchester City

With the Carlos Tevez situation now resolved, City would seem to be a much calmer place to be but Monday’s defeat to Everton was unexpected and a real set-back to the club’s chances of lifting the Premier League trophy this season. But Newcastle have also steadied their ship with the appointment of a new manager in Alan Pardew and began the new era by beating Liverpool. We expect that success to continue at what is sure to be a freezing St James’ Park on Boxing Day as the Magpies continue to defy the critics who felt they would go straight back down this season.

Verdict: Newcastle win (11/5)

Value bet: Newcastle to win 2-0 (12/1)

Middlesbrough v Nottingham Forest

Boro cannot seem to string two wins together and the introduction of the legendary Tony Mowbray as Gordon Strachan’s successor has had no impact whatsoever on results. But on what will be a cold day in the north east, the Riverside outfit might be able to sneak this one against a Forest side who are pushing for a play-off place. It is true that crowds have dropped off at the Riverside and there is a lack of confidence among the home players but one or two good results could easily turns things around and what better way to start than on Bowing Day.

Verdict: Boro win (6/4)

Value bet: Boro half time / full-time (7/2).

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Boxing Day Championship Picks

There’s a full fixture list planned in the Championship on Boxing Day and, providing the weather is not the winner again, there are plenty of festive footy delights to keep you entertained in the second tier if that’s your betting bag and you’ve already had enough Turkey stew, leftover cake and old movies for Christmas.

Leeds are the form team in the Championship at the moment and head to Leicester on Boxing Day with another promotion-boosting victory in their sights.

The 2-0 win over table-toppers QPR last weekend underlined United’s title credentials and there is a growing belief in West Yorkshire that a return to the big time may just be around the corner.

They will again be tested at the Walkers Stadium and Sven appears to have the Foxes on the up, too, but such is Leeds’ confidence, an away win is a distinct possibility.

That game kicks off at the traditional 3pm time but there are three 1pm ko’s with the aforementioned Rangers hosting Swansea in another eyecatching clash.

Neil Warnock’s men will be keen to erase the memory of the Leeds loss with a win over the Swans and we can’t see anything other than a handsome win for the home side – go for 3-0 at 16/1.

One of Warnock’s old clubs, Crystal Palace, host Norwich and here the away win at 6/4 is attractive while a double with Portsmouth to win at evens against Millwall would return a decent profit.

In a division that is often difficult to predict, finding more value bets on Boxing Day is not easy. Middlesbrough boss Tony Mowbray has had a tough time of it since he came in to rescue his old club following a disastrous spell under Gordon Strachan but a win at home over Forest could just be the turning point.

Boro are on offer at 6/4 to win and it’s worth a punt with a big crowd expected at the Riverside to help cheer Mowbray’s men on.

Finally, two more clubs in need of a vital win are Sheffield United (23/20) and Hull City, who go head to head at Bramall Lane. United, who are in search of a permanent successor to Gary Speed after his decision to take up the Wales job the other week, have experienced coach John Carver in charge and may just have the edge over the Tigers.

This is, of course, if we’re not all snowed in and forced to watch the Royle Family instead that you recorded on Christmas Day!

Boxing Day Championship picks:

Leeds to win at Leicester at 11/5

QPR 3-0 versus Swansea at 16/1

Double:
Norwich to win at Crystal Palace
Portsmouth to beat Millwall

Boro to beat Forest (6/4)
Sheffield United to beat Hull (23/20).

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