The battle for promotion to the Premier League looks set to finally come to a conclusion in the Championship as three massive games on Saturday are set to determine who will go up automatically with Reading and which four sides will scrap it out in the play-offs.
MIDDLESBROUGH V SOUTHAMPTON
The late game in the Championship sees Nigel Adkins’ Saints make the long journey to the north east to face a Boro side still in with a slight chance of making the play-off places, with the visitorslooking to secure the win which would seal a second successive promotion and Premier League football at St Mary’s next term.
Tony Mowbray’s side, who are four points off the play-offs with two games remaining, will know how their main rivals for a top-six spot – Backpool and Cardiff – have fared by the time the action gets underway at the Riverside and if one of them slips up the Teessiders will look to pounce.
However, it is Boro’s home form which has left them outside the play-off places as they have been dismal in front of their despondent fans for the majority of the campaign.
The midweek goalless draw against bottom club and already-relegated Doncaster means Boro have only won seven games at the Riverside this season with their away form keeping them in the fight.
Mowbray’s side, who should have Faris Haroun fit and Joe Bennett available to face the Saints, started 2012 in second spot in the Championship, but one win in 10 has cost them dearly, while they have also only won one game in matches against the top five clubs this season.
Southampton will arrive in confident mood and Adkins will no doubt hope Birmingham, Cardiff and Blackpool all win in their respective 3pm matches as that would see Boro have nothing to play for.
However, they probably won’t need any favours to see off Boro on their own patch as they have only lost once in the last five trips to the Riverside and their current form has seen them pick up 10 wins in their last 15 league games, with just two defeats in 17.
Adkins, who is set to name an unchanged side, watched the Saints thump Boro 3-0 at St Mary’s in October and another comfortable win is on the cards.
Prediction: Southampton Away Win 90 Minutes @ 6/5
Value Bet: R Lambert 1st goal Southampton 2-0 Scorecast @ 30/1
BLACKPOOL v BURNLEY
An unpredictable Lancashire derby is probably the last thing Blackpool boss Ian Holloway wanted at this stage of the season as his side look for the win to seal a play-off place.
To make matters worse they have only defeated the Clarets once in 15 years at Bloomfield Road – a 3-0 win in 2008 – and were well beaten 3-1 at Turf Moor earlier in the campaign in a third straight defeat against their rivals.
However, with a top-six place guaranteed if they bag the three points, expect the hosts to continue their good recent form which has seen them go unbeaten in five.
Holloway will hope to have striker Stephen Dobbie fit from a stiff back, while Kevin Phillips is back in training after a hip problem. Keith Southern serves the last of a three-match ban, while defender Craig Cathcart is doubtful due to a cyst.
Burnley arrive in decent form as they are unbeaten in four matches and could draw three games on the bounce for the first time this season on Saturday.
Eddie Howe, who has injury concerns over strikers Jay Rodriguez and Martin Paterson, knows they only have pride left to play for but a good result against their big rivals and a chance to give their fans the bragging rights will no doubt inspire a performance.
Prediction: Draw 90 Minutes @ 11/4
Value Bet: Burnley/Draw HT/FT @ 16/1
CARDIFF V LEEDS
Cardiff go into their clash with Leeds on home soil in the knowledge that they will be in the play-offs for a third successive season if they win the match.
The Bluebirds defeated Derby 2-0 in midweek which made it eight games unbeaten, while they are also 11 games unbeaten in games against their opponents.
However Malky Mackay’s plans have been hit by the loss of influential midfielder Craig Conway for the rest of the season with ankle ligament damage, while striker Rudy Gestede is struggling with a hip problem and midfielder Don Cowie is carrying a minor knock.
Neil Warnock will bring his Leeds side to South Wales looking to spoil the party,after they failed to prevent Blackpool from boosting their play-off aspirations in midweek.
The Whites have lost four of their five previous matches, including the last two away, so will not be full of confidence, while they are missing defender Darren O’Dea who saw red against Blackpool and striker Billy Paynter is out with an Achilles injury.
Cardiff have the momentum and desire for points and we can’t see anything other than a banker home win from this match-up.
Prediction: Cardiff Home Win 90 Minutes @ 8/11
Value Bet: Cardiff To Win 3-1 Correct Score @ 12/1
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