No festive surprises in the SPL

The Scottish Premier League continues on Saturday with a full Christmas Eve fixture list to savour but we are not anticipating too many surprises as the Old Firm look set to continue their winning ways, while there is a tasty treat in store as troubled Hearts host Motherwell.

ST MIRREN V RANGERS (12.45pm)

We’ll start our SPL treble with the earliest clash of the day as Ally McCoist takes his table-topping Gers to St Mirren Park aiming to collect another win to at least maintain their four-point lead over Old Firm rivals Celtic.

Rangers face the Buddies on the back of four wins from their last six away-day games and will fancy their chances of making it five from seven in Paisley on Saturday.

McCoist is boosted by the return of winger Sone Aluko for the game after serving a two-match ban for diving, while defender Dorin Goian is fit following illness.

St Mirren chief Danny Lennon will be hoping his side can emulate their result at Ibrox in October when they held Rangers to a 1-1 draw, although their chances are not helped by the loss of captain Jim Goodwin, who will miss the next three games through suspension.

Hugh Murray could make his long-awaited return after recovering from knee surgery, while Steven Thomson and Lee Mair are fit again.

Their recent home form – two wins and three defeats in the last six – suggests they face an uphill battle to get anything from this game.

Therefore the only way to go is for Rangers to come out on top a lot more comfortably than their last visit to St Mirren Park when they ran out slender 1-0 winners in March.

Prediction: Rangers Away 90 Minutes @ 2/5
Value Bet: Jelavic 1st Goal Rangers 3-1 Scorecast @ 28/1

CELTIC V KILMARNOCK (1.30pm)

Neil Lennon’s in-form Celtic face a trickier test when Kenny Shiels bring his Killie outfit to Parkhead on Saturday afternoon.

The Hoops are in a rich vein of form at the moment having won five and drawn one of their six SPL matches on home soil since being held to a 3-3 draw at Kilmarnock in mid-October.

And, as they look to extend that run this weekend, Lennon is boosted by left-back Emilio Izaguirre’s return from a broken ankle, while Kelvin Wilson and Joe Ledley are also in contention.

However, Glenn Loovens, Kris Commons, Adam Matthews and Daniel Majstorovic are out.

Killie arrive having won two and drawn two of their last four SPL games to sit just outside the top-four places with a game in hand.

Midfielder Dean Shiels will undergo a late fitness test on his injured ankle, James Fowler returns from suspension, but striker William Gros and defender Ryan O’Leary remain on the sidelines.

Killie ground out a 1-1 draw in their last trip to Glasgow last December, but they will have their work cut out to emulate that achievement on Saturday.

Prediction: Celtic Home 90 Minutes @ 1/4
Value Bet: Draw/Celtic HT/FT @ 10/3

HEARTS V MOTHERWELL (1.00pm)

Our third Christmas cracker from the SPL sees troubled Hearts go up against Stuart McCall’s high-flying Motherwell, who are looking destined to finish third in the SPL behind the Old Firm this season.

The cash-strapped Jambos go into the Tynecastle showdown with a myriad of problems to contend with as boss Paulo Sergio is without midfielder Ryan Stevenson, who is set to sit out over his ongoing frustrations with events at the club.

Winger Andrew Driver also told Sergio he no longer wanted to be considered for selection last week, but could make a U-turn and play in the match.

David Templeton could miss out following illness, while defenders Danny Grainger, Darren Barr and long-term absentees Kevin Kyle, Gary Glen and Suso Santana remain out.

Due to the off-the-field problems it is no surprise that Hearts’ home form has been patchy of late with three wins and three defeats in their last six outings.

Motherwell come into the game on a real high with a return of five wins and one defeat from the last six on the road, with 12 goals scored in the process.

However, their hopes of success on Saturday have been hit by the loss of influential skipper Steve Jennings, who has received a retrospective two-match ban from the Scottish Football Association following a clash with St Mirren’s Jim Goodwin last weekend.

Long-term injury victim Steven Saunders (Achilles) is the only other player on the sidelines.

The last meeting at Tynecastle produced a thrilling 3-3 draw, while Motherwell have won two and drawn two of their previous four games in Edinburgh.

It is an interesting clash as we feel it could be another stalemate, although don’t be shocked if Motherwell take advantage of Hearts’ problems and just come out on top.

Prediction: Draw 90 Minutes @ 9/4
Value Bet: 2-2 Draw Correct Score @ 14/1

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Festive Prem treat on cards

Three of the top four in the Premier League are in action on Sunday on what is a pre-festive treat for armchair fans and punters alike. Here we preview the games.

QPR v Manchester United (12noon)

The champions bounced back from their disappointing early exit in the Champions League with a comprehensive 4-1 home victory over Wolves last weekend but they are unlikely to find it as easy against Neil Warnock’s side in this high-noon meeting at Loftus Road.

Rangers have been tough to beat on their own patch and have already claimed the scalp of Chelsea earlier in the season. They went down to a narrow 1-0 defeat at Liverpool last week but will take heart from a good defensive display at Anfield as they prepare to host United.

Wayne Rooney was back among the goals last week, scoring twice, and looks in good form so should be backed to score anytime in the capital (4/5) while Sir Alex Ferguson’s side will be keen to keep the pressure on Man City at the top with another win.

Rangers will try to keep it tight and patience could be key for the visitors in this one. Don’t expect a goal feast but a narrow United win at 1-0 is appealing at 6/1 while draw/United in the HT/FT market could also be rewarded at 10/3.

Prediction – Away win.

Aston Villa v Liverpool (2.05pm)

Villa boss Alex McLeish has been under pressure from the club’s fans since day one following his surprise appointment in the summer as he came straight in from arch-rivals Birmingham City.

Critics say McLeish’s style of play is too defensive and not in the mould of a side who were tipped to challenge for a top-eight finish this season. Aside from Darren Bent, they lack firepower up front and Gabby Agbonlahor has gone off the boil after a promising start to the campaign.

However, they got a good away win at Bolton last week – their first of the season on the road – and host a Liverpool side who have been inconstent this term.

Kenny Dalglish’s men are hoping to break back into the top four this season but the Reds’ problems have been in front of goal with an over-reliance on top-scorer Luis Suarez.

He may have his problems off the pitch but the Uruguayan has excelled in the Premier League and looks tasty at 9/2 to open the scoring at Villa Park.

This is a game Liverpool usually do well in – last season’s dead rubber on the final day was their first defeat at Villa Park since 1998 – but this has the makings of a tight game and the draw at 12/5 is very tempting.

Prediction – draw.

Spurs v Sunderland (3pm)

Before last weekend’s 2-1 defeat at Stoke, Spurs had won their last six Premier League games to move into title contention in many fans and pundits’ minds.

However, they failed the Britannia Stadium test – a good barometer of any side’s title credentials – so they will be desperate to bounce back against struggling Sunderland.

Harry Redknapp’s side also slipped out of the Europa League on Thursday – something, though, that may end up aiding their title bid – but have been very strong at home this season as they prepare to host the Black Cats, losing just once early on against Man City.

Martin O’Neill got his tenure in charge of Sunderland off to a good start with a win against Blackburn last weekend – albeit with a last-gasp goal from Seb Larsson – and he will be determined to build on that at White Hart Lane.

But he couldn’t have asked for a more difficult first away test and will struggle to come away from London with anything (Spurs 2/5, draw 7/2, Sunderland 8/1 in the match betting).

Emmanuel Adebayor has been in good form since he signed on loan from Man City and scored last week at Stoke so looks a good shout at 7/2 to score first or last in this one.

Prediction – home win.

Manchester City v Arsenal (4.05pm)

Arguably the biggest game of the weekend rounds off Sunday’s top-flight action when leaders City host in-form Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium.

Roberto Mancini’s side have just had their worst week of what’s been a tremendous season so far, losing their unbeaten record at Chelsea on Monday after making an early exit from the Champions League and they face another test when the Gunners visit.

If City are to maintain their lead at the top over United, they are likely to have to win on Sunday but it is no foregone conclusion they will bounce back.

Arsenal have won seven of their last eight Premier League matches to move back into top four contention and make a mockery of early-season fears that they were a club in decline under Arsene Wenger.

Unlike City, they are through to the knockout stage of the Champions League and, in Robin van Persie, have the stand-out performer of the season so far (11/2 first goalscorer).

City did triumph 1-0 when these two last met last month in the Carling Cup and will be desperate to prove the Chelsea defeat was just a blip but Arsenal can expose their frailties again on Sunday and come away with at least a point. Go for 1-1 in the correct score market at 6/1.

Prediction – draw.

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Festive European Football

The Spainsh La Liga and Italian Serie A are getting close to their winter breaks now.  In Spain the top flight will resume on January 8 after this weekend’s round of fixtures, while Italy takes a break after a full programme on December 21.

Fortunately there are plenty of games this weekend and here are a couple of matches for your consideration, before the two top European leagues take their annual winter breaks.

Spanish league leaders Barcelona don’t have a fixture this weekend due to their involvement in the FIFA Club World Cup in Japan so third-placed Valencia have a chance to close the gap at the top of the table.

Los Che host Malaga on Sunday evening in what could well be an entertaining affair. Only Real Madrid have come away from the Mestalla this season with all three points and the hosts should be too strong for Malaga, with a Valencia victory priced at 4/5.  Malaga are 10/3 to take all three points, while the draw can be backed at 13/5.

Villarreal are struggling at the wrong end of the La Liga table after a nightmare start to the campaign and the Champions League regulars are still seeking their first victory on the road.

The Yellow Submarine travel to the Reyno de Navarra on Sunday where they will face an Osasuna side who are yet to be beaten on home soil this season.  Villarreal’s away-day blues look set to continue against an in-form Osasuna outfit, the hosts are priced at 11/10 to secure the win, the draw is available at 9/4 and a Villarreal victory is 12/5.

In Italy Juventus have a fantastic opportunity to head into the winter break as the league leaders – and expect the Old Lady to grab the chance with both hands.

The Turin club are yet to taste defeat at home this season and it is highly unlikely that minnows Novara will inflict a first home Serie A loss on Juve.  A Juventus victory is priced at 2/9, while Novara are a massive 14/1 to take all three points and secure their first win on the road of the season. The draw is 9/2.

Parma host bottom-of-the-league Lecce in what should be another fairly straightforward home win.  A Parma win is priced at 4/6, or if paired with a Juve victory the double is priced at evens – which seems like a bet worth placing in this weekend’s Serie A.

Napoli’s Serie A form has been hit by their involvement in the Champions League but they can get another win under their belts when they host an out-of-sorts Roma on Sunday.

Roma are only three points behind fifth-placed Napoli but they have struggled on the road this season with four losses from their seven games to date, while Napoli are a formidable outfit at home and should seal the win on Sunday night, with a Napoli victory priced at 10/11.

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Five Potential Festive Shocks

The games come thick and fast over the festive period and there is another full programme across Tuesday and Wednesday, weather permitting of course, and with so many games in such a short space of time a few shocks tend to crop up so here are five potential shocks for your consideration.

Rumours emerged earlier in the month that West Ham boss Avram Grant had just three games to save his job.  Since those reports emerged the Hammers have drawn at Blackburn and beaten Fulham at Craven Cottage, their first win on the road in the Premier League this season, and the situation at Upton Park has started to look a little better.

West Ham host Everton on Tuesday in what could well be an intriguing contest.  Everton have been unable to hit the same heights they have achieved in previous seasons this campaign and the Goodison Park side seem to be lacking a clinical edge.  West Ham can stretch their unbeaten run to three games and possibly even haul themselves out of the drop zone with a win over Everton and at 2/1 they could well produce a shock at Upton Park (Match Betting – West Ham 2/1, draw 12/5, Everton 13/10).

Manchester United are now the clear favourites to take the league title at the end of the season and the Old Trafford side now enjoy a two point advantage, with two games in hand, at the top of the table after their 2-0 win over Sunderland on Boxing Day.

The most remarkable thing about United so far this season is the fact they have managed to remain dominant despite the fact key man Wayne Rooney is in arguably the worst form of his career to date.  Rooney has not managed to bag a Premier League goal since August, when he scored from the spot against West Ham, but the England international must surely end his barren run soon.

United travel to Birmingham on Tuesday and Rooney can be backed at 10/3 to score the first goal, everyone knows Rooney has the talent and eventually he will rediscover his scoring form – and it could well happen against a struggling Birmingham on Tuesday.

Sunderland are riding high in the Premier League table but on Tuesday they host an unpredictable Blackpool side who love to flow forward.  Sunderland are suffering from a mini defensive crisis with both John Mensah (ankle) and Michael Turner (knee) ruled out.  The Seasiders have managed to pick up some impressive results this season and a win at the Stadium of Light would be another big achievement but one they’re certainly capable of (Match Betting – Sunderland 8/13, draw 3/1, Blackpool 11/2).

The Championship can prove to be a very difficult competition for the punter but there is also great value in England’s second tier.  On Boxing Day Leicester City were heading for a home defeat against Leeds United but the plucky Foxes managed to fight back and secure a 2-2 draw, despite the fact the Yorkshire side had dominated the contest for over an hour.

Leicester have struggled on the road this season and they travel to Millwall on Tuesday but after that stunning comeback against Leeds the confidence should be high amongst Sven-Goran Eriksson’s men and at 7/4 they could well be worth backing to pick up their third win on the road of the campaign (Match Betting – Millwall 6/4, draw 12/5, Leicester 7/4).

Reading secured an impressive 4-1 victory over strugglers Bristol City on Boxing Day and the promotion chasing Royals travel to relegation contenders Hull City on Tuesday.  The Tigers main problem this season has been scoring goals and in 10 home games they have only managed to hit the back of the net eight times.

After Reading’s win over Bristol they are now seventh in the Championship table and well placed to fight for promotion.  Hull like to keep it tight but with Reading in free-scoring form it may be too much of a task for the KC Stadium side and the Royals look a good bet to continue their fine away record and pick up another three points on Tuesday (Match Betting – Hull 6/4, draw 23/10, Reading 9/5).

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