Everton and Tottenham can benefit from home advantage in two closely-fought FA Cup quarter-finals on Saturday – but don’t expect either match to be high in the scoring or entertainment stakes.
David Moyes‘ side are licking their wounds after a midweek Merseyide derby mauling while Harry Redknapp’s Spurs are in their worst run of results since August – and consequently both will need to win ugly this weekend.
Everton (10/11 in Match Betting) and Sunderland (10/3, Draw 12/5), who meet at Goodison Park (12.45pm), appear to have been targeting this competition since just after Christmas when a glance at the Premier League table would have told you that a top four finish was not on for either club.
Before Tuesday’s derby defeat to Liverpool, Everton were enjoying a ten-match unbeaten run in all competitions but Moyes’ men can still boast a five-game winning streak at their famous old ground.
Martin O’Neill brings his well-rested Sunderland side into the game on the back of a home win over Liverpool – providing a direct form line between the teams.
But he is without key players again with suspended duo Lee Cattermole and Stephane Sessegnon still banned and Wes Brown and Titus Bramble on the long-term casualty list.
Nicklas Bendtner has been declared fit after he scored the only goal of the game against Liverpool last weekend. The dangerous Dane has shaken off a knee injury and can be backed at 13/2 to open the scoring and 7/4 anytime.
Everton boss Moyes cannot field injured Darron Gibson or Steven Pienaar, on loan from Spurs, but can still freshen up his side after their disappointing loss across Stanley Park on Tuesday.
He made six changes for the midweek defeat at Anfield and should recall Tim Cahill (7/1 first scorer, 15/8 anytime) and Nikica Jelavic (11/2 first scorer, 3/2 anytime) to the starting formation.
History is against a Sunderland victory with Everton unbeaten in 15 against the Black Cats, having won 11 and drawn four in the Premier League and FA Cup.
The Boxing Day fixture at the Stadium Of Light earlier this season did finish as a 1-1 draw and five of the last six meetings have been under 2.5 on the goals (4/6 in Over/Under), featuring exactly two goals on each occasion (10/11 2-3 in Total Goals).
This one could easily finish 1-0 to Everton, however, as three of Everton’s last seven home wins have done – with Jelavic the most likely marksman (25/1 in Scorecast).
Tottenham are Totesport’s 5/2 joint favourites to be celebrating at Wembley on May 5 and they should have enough to see off relegation-threatened Bolton at White Hart Lane (5.30pm).
Spurs (2/7 in Match Betting) have progressed through four of their previous six FA Cup ties against Bolton (10/1, Draw 9/2), including their most recent clash in 2010, and can bounce back from their three straight Premier League defeats in front of their expectant fans.
Gareth Bale could be the key player – the Welshman has tormented Bolton in the past and could be value in the First (5/1) and Last Goalscorer (5/1) market to either break the deadlock or seal the tie.
Jermain Defoe has scored three goals in four FA Cup outings this season and will be popular in the Match Goalscorer (8/11 Anytime) markets too if he starts.
But don’t expect this last-eight clash to be as one-sided as the match odds suggest with Bolton capable of at least holding out into the second half (7/2 Draw/Tottenham in HT/FT).
The Trotters kept Chelsea out until after half-time on their recent trip to Stamford Bridge and were 0-0 at Norwich until the Canaries grabbed their first of two in the 70th minute.
Last year’s beaten semi-finalists will be keen to get back to Wembley, despite the obvious notion that Premier League survival is way above Cup glory on Owen Coyle’s list of priorities.
Bolton have a proud history in the competition and have only lost one of their eight FA Cup sixth-round games away from home (excluding replays), winning four and drawing three.
But Wanderers are unlikely to trouble the Spurs defence too much and Spurs to keep a clean sheet (4/5) rates slightly better than the odds on a Tottenham win to nil (20/21), just in case the match finishes 0-0.
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