Survival instincts kick in

This season’s relegation battle in the Premier League has been one of the most enthralling – and difficult – to predict in many a year. And, with just four games to go, the wise view is that there are realistically still six teams in danger of going down (Premier League relegation 2010-11).

Here we assess which three out of Birmingham, Wolves, Blackburn, Blackpool, Wigan and West Brom are likely to be playing Championship football next term (all odds to be relegated).

Let’s start with West Ham (4/11) and for Hammers fans it does not make easy reading. Currently bottom of the table, Avram Grant’s men are staring at a return to the second tier for the first time in six years, unless they can pick up a couple of wins in the run-in. However, next up is a trip to fourth-place chasers Manchester City and a defeat there, with other results going against them, could leave the picture even bleaker come Monday in the East End.

They do have key games against fellow strugglers Blackburn and Wigan to come yet before a final-day clash at home to Sunderland, but the feeling is even one good result out of those three may not be enough to save the Hammers.

Wolves (4/6) sit second bottom at the minute and are also in worryingly poor form. Without a win in four, Mick McCarthy’s side were outfought at Stoke on Tuesday – A lack of fighting spirit is something they will surely have to rectify against local foes Birmingham on Sunday if they are to give themselves a chance of survival. But Blues are difficult to beat in their own back yard so we see a win for Alex McLeish’s side this weekend to heap more pressure on their Black Country rivals.

It doesn’t get much easier for Wolves as a humdinger of a derby against West Brom follows that before tricky games against Sunderland and Blackburn. Three points out of those three games may seem an achievement but it could also leave them tantalisingly short when it comes down to the final count.

Just four points separate Wigan, Blackpool Blackburn and Birmingham and it looks like one from these four strugglers will eventually go down with the aforementioned two.

And this is where it gets tricky.

Blackpool (4/11) need to rediscover their early-season form – and quick – if they are to avoid a quick return to the Championship. Next up is a home game against Stoke but, sadly for Ian Holloway’s men, a draw looks like the best they can get off the FA Cup finalists. That may not be enough, though, as tough trips to Spurs and Manchester United lie in wait over the next month and we see two defeats there so a win over Bolton in between may ultimately be in vain.

Birmingham (10/1) appear best placed to avoid relegation out of the six and a home win over Wolves this weekend will do their survival bid the power of good. Following on from that Blues take on Newcastle at St James’ Park – again somewhere they can come away from with a positive result – before another very winnable home game against Fulham. By that time they may well be safe anyway.

Blackburn (13/8) have been in freefall but showed signs of fight against Man City on Monday. They should have got something from the game but we expect them to pick up three points from the must-win home game against Bolton on Saturday. Then, a point at West Ham and a win over Wolves on the final day should see Rovers steer clear of trouble.

So that leaves us with Wigan (4/7). Despite a poor run in the second half of the season, Roberto Martinez says he has the full backing of chairman Dave Whelan and is working without pressure in the final run-in. It certainly seemed that way during the vital win at Blackpool earlier this month but then the 4-2 reverse at Sunderland last time out leaves them searching for more wins. In-form Everton visit the DW Stadium on Saturday and we see this ending all square. Then a bold win at Aston Villa and further draws against West Ham and Stoke inches them out of the bottom three in the nick of time.

West Ham – final points total prediction: 35 Position: 20th

Wolves – 36 – 19th

Bpool – 38 – 18th

Wigan – 40 – 17th.

Blackburn – 42 – 16th

Birmingham – 45 – 14th.

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Elliott backs survival instincts

Burnley midfielder Wade Elliott is confident the Clarets can become the latest side to pull off the great escape and avoid relegation this season ahead of their must win game against Liverpool (4/7 to win in the 90 minutes betting).

Burnley are currently seven points from safety with just three games left to play and they will be down on Sunday if they lose against the Reds.

A draw would also see the Clarets effectively relegated as they would be six points behind seventeenth-placed West Ham with two games left and with the Hammers enjoying a much better goal difference.

Burnley, who were promoted last season through the play-offs, had enjoyed a strong start to the season but under new manager Brian Laws have won just two of their last 16 matches in the league, leaving them on the brink on a swift return to the Championship.

The Lancashire outfit will be hoping they can recapture some of that early season form which saw them beat Manchester United at home back in August.

Burnley have lost just six games at home so far this season with only Fulham the only side in the bottom half of the Premier League boasting a better record on their own turf.

Heading to Turf Moor on Sunday will be fourth place chasing Liverpool, looking to cut the gap on Tottenham to just two points after Spurs were beaten 3-1 by Manchester United.

The Reds (16/1 top four finish) also have just three games left to try and secure a spot in next seasons Champions League and are the current outsiders having played a game more than the other sides chasing fourth.

Reds manager Rafael Benitez will bring his side to Turf Moor having not seen them win away from Anfield since December and off the back of a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Atleticho Madrid (8/11 to beat Tenerife on the weekend Euro coupon) in the Europa League on Thursday.

Liverpool got to Spain via road and rail and it will be interesting to see how much the arduous journey has taken out of Benitez’s men.

They will once again be without star striker Fernando Torres while Reds fans will certainly be hoping Steven Gerrard ups his game having faltered to deceive in recent weeks.

Despite the wealth of talent up against his side on Sunday Elliott remains confident Burnley can win this game, and their next two against Birmingham and Tottenham, to secure another season in the Premier League.

“We know we are relying on people to do us favours now. We have to do the best we can in the final three games, see how far it takes us and hope someone helps us. Unfortunately, even the volcano eased up so Liverpool could fly back home,” said Elliott.

“I don’t know if we need a miracle but we need some big performances and a few favours. But there are precedents for it.”

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