Spain to smash hoodoo

Spain’s impressive Euro 2012 final demolition job on Italy in Kiev on Sunday helped them create football history in major tournaments and has already got lovers of the game wondering if they can now overcome the challenge of being victorious on South American soil (World Cup 2014 outright).

The Spanish sides imperious performance in the 4-0 win against the Azzurri ensured they became the first nation to win three major tournaments in a row.

And, as the door to one tournament closes, then another one opens as all eyes are now firmly fixed on the 2012 World Cup finals in Brazil in two years’ time and the fresh challenge on the table not only for Spain, but all of Europe’s other top footballing nations.

In the history of World Cup tournaments since 1930 no team from Europe has managed to win the trophy on the American continent in seven attempts.

However, we feel there will be no better time for that hoodoo to come to an end in 2014 with Spain (4/1 World Cup 2014 Outright) leading the charge to put the record straight.

The Spanish have dragged European football on in leaps and bounds in the 18-years since the last World Cup finals across the Atlantic when Brazil defeated Italy in the final in the United States.

Spain’s tactics have become a huge talking point as their tiki-taka style of play, which involves slow build-up passages of play involving intricate passing, similar to the great Brazil sides of the past, which ultimately leads to fast attacking forays as their players exploit any gaps in the opposition’s defence.

The style had attracted some critics, who described it as boring throughout the championship in Poland and Ukraine, but the Spanish answered them with the perfect response when tearing Italy to shreds at times on Sunday evening.

Looking at the current Spain squad and this is not a collection of players that are approaching their sell-by date.

Current coach Vicente Del Bosque should be able to call upon the vast majority of the squad which triumphed in Euro 2012 and the 2010 World Cup with only possible doubts surrounding the likes of Carles Puyol, Carlos Marchena and Joan Capdevilla.

Xavi, at the age of 34, will no doubt still be able to command a place in the side, but the majority of the current midfield and forward line will be in what is regarded as a footballer’s prime years.

Throw into the mix the likes of strike duo Fernando Llorente and Roberto Soldado, who did not kick a ball at Euro 2012, and Spain have quality options to step in for any ageing players such as David Villa, who will only be 32.

It would be wrong to pin Europe’s hopes on just Spain as Germany (8/1 Outright) and Italy (20/1) were also technically strong and impressed throughout Euro 2012.

Therefore the signs are good that Europe’s flourishing nations can finally go and test South American big boys such as the hosts Brazil (7/2), Argentina (11/2) and Uruguay (20/1) – arguably the best side in the continent at the time of writing having lifted the Copa America last summer following a fourth-placed World Cup finish in 2010 – in their own back yard.

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Germany to end Azzurri hoodoo

Surprisingly Germany have not beaten Italy in their last seven competitive meetings but Die Mannschaft are in prime position to end that disappointing run in their Euro 2012 semi-final showdown on Thursday (Germany 10/11, draw 12/5, Italy 7/2 – Match Betting).

The Germans remain one of the favourites to win Euro 2012, having played better football than defending champions Spain, who have failed to get out of second gear in the tournament so far.

Head coach Joachim Low decided to field a relatively weakened attacking line-up in their 4-2 victory over Greece in the quarter-finals and that decision could prove to be a great move from the tactician.

Mario Gomez (4/1 – First Goalscorer), Lukas Podolski and Thomas Muller were are rested for the win over the Greeks and the trio look set to make a return to the side with fresh legs to face an Italian team who will be weary.

The Germans will have watched in the comfort of their hotel as the Azzurri slogged to a penalty shoot-out victory over England in Kiev.

Having battled for 120 minutes and gone through the drama of the 4-2 shoot-out win over the Three Lions, the match will have taken a lot out of the side who were considered dark horses before the competition.

The big question over the Italians has been where the goals will come from and Manchester City striker Mario Balotelli will be under serious pressure for his starting role after a disappointing showing against England.

Balotelli (7/1 – First Goalscorer) seemed off the pace and most of his shots found their way into the stadium car park rather than anywhere near the goal.

Manager Cesare Prandelli has been pretty loyal to the controversial figure but his patience will have been tested by the player’s below par quarter-final display.

Italy do have other options in attack, with the likes of Antonio Di Natale and Alessandro Diamanti pushing for a starting role to line up alongside Antonio Cassano.

The key man for the Azzurri will once again be their midfield general Andrea Pirlo, who was imperious against the English, who were guilty of giving the Juventus playmaker time and space on the ball.

It’s not the best kept secret in football that if you stop Pirlo you pretty much stop the Italians, so expect Low to have done his homework and have someone like Sami Khedira tracking him throughout the game.

Considering the extra time Germany have had to prepare for this game and the fact they saw off the Greeks in 90 minutes, the odds are really stacked up against the Azzurri (7/4 – To Qualify).

Italy will have to be at their best if they are to come close to beating one of the tournament favourites and it’s hard to see them edging the Germans in normal time, but anything can happen in extra-time and penalties.

However, with the returning firepower of Gomez, Muller and Podolski, Germany (13/8 – Euro 2012 Outright) should manage to book their place in yet another final of a major tournament.

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Real can end Lyon hoodoo

Lyon hold the Indian sign over Real Madrid going into Wednesday night’s Champions League last-16 second-leg clash at the Bernabeu (Real 3/10, Draw 4/1, Lyon 8/1 – match betting) but now the time is right for Los Galacticos to justify favouritism and earn their first win against the French giants.

Real had been closing in on a first win at the Stade de Gerland three weeks ago after former Lyon striker, Karim Benzema (7/2 to score the first goal on Wednesday), scored what could be a vital away goal in the 65th minute, just 60 seconds after coming on as a substitute.

However, Lyon were able to salvage a draw thanks to Bafetimbi Gomis’s goal seven minutes from time and they do have history on their side going into the return fixture.

Lyon have made three previous trips to the Spanish capital and on each occasion the match has finished all square, although they will know that they need to score at least one goal to stand any chance of progression to the quarter-finals (Real 5/6 to keep a clean sheet).

The clubs were drawn in the same group in both the 2005/06 and 2006/07 seasons with Lyon dominating at home, winning 3-0 and 2-0, with the reverse fixtures finishing 1-1 and 2-2.

And at this stage last year, a 1-1 draw at the Santiago Bernabeu ensured Lyon’s progress following a 1-0 home win in France.

Cristiano Ronaldo scored Real’s goal last term and has been in sensational scoring form for the nine-times winners of Europe’s elite competition, but he remains a doubt for tomorrow’s clash after suffering a thigh injury in the 7-0 win over Malaga in La Liga.

However, the Portugal ace’s availability is not the deciding factor in this contest as Real, who have been eliminated at this stage in the last six seasons, have become a different beast under new boss Jose Mourinho.

This time of course Real take the French side back to the Bernabeu on level terms and on their own soil they have a hugely impressive record.

Real have won all 14 games they have played at the Bernabeu in the Spanish top-flight this season, a home record even Barcelona have to envy, while they won all three group games in the Champions League without conceding a goal.

By contrast Lyon, who are not the dominant domestic force they once were, have struggled on the road in Europe this term, losing their last two after a 3-1 victory at Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Benfica edged a seven-goal thriller before Schalke dominated in a 3-0 rout, while Lyon have also failed to progress from six previous European ties when they have drawn the first-leg at home.

Mourinho also has a great record against French opposition with eight previous wins and only one defeat in 11 meetings, including a 4-2 aggregate win over Lyon as Porto boss in 2003/04.

Lyon do have a great historical record against Wednesday’s opposition but given their record this season and the fact they have to score, Real can use their dominant home form to reach the quarter-finals quite comfortably (Over 2.5 goals 4/6).

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Baggies out to end Stoke hoodoo

It has been a painful weekend for West Bromwich Albion as they have had to sit back and watch Black Country rivals Wolves and West Ham both win to leave them in second-bottom spot in the Premier League table.

Wolves thrashed Blackpool 4-0 at Molineux, while Avram Grant’s Hammers pulled off a surprise 3-1 win against a resurgent Liverpool to boost their battle to beat the drop.

Roy Hodgson’s men will get their opportunity to jump back out of the bottom three at Stoke on Monday evening, but the omens are not good as the Baggies have not won in the Potteries since 1982, while they have lost all three Premier League matches against Tony Pulis’ side to date without scoring a goal (Stoke 10/11 To Win).

Albion should be boosted by the return of key men Marek Cech and Youssef Mulumbu from respective groin and hamstring problems for the trip to the Britannia Stadium.

And Hodgson will hope they can inspire his team to a first win (3/1 Away Win) in five games as they could move up to 16th with three points, while a fourth draw (5/2 Draw) in their last five league outings would be enough to get them out of the relegation places.

Stoke will not have any sympathy for the Baggies’ plight and Pulis will be looking for his side to make it eight wins from nine in their last nine league meetings.

A win for the hosts will move them into the top ten, eight points clear of the relegation places and within touching distance of safety for another season.

Winger Matthew Etherington is rated doubtful for the game as he struggles to overcome a back injury, while Abdoulaye Faye is struggling with a hamstring strain.

Jon Walters is expected to keep his place in the side if he fails to recover in time while striker Mamady Sidibe will miss the rest of the season after rupturing his Achilles tendon last week.

John Carew snubbed West Brom to join Stoke on loan from Aston Villa in January and the Norwegian hitman will no doubt look to show the Baggies what they missed out on by grabbing a goal (9/2 First Goalscorer).

Looking at the game, everything points to a fifth successive home win for Stoke in all competitions and an eighth straight away defeat for West Brom.

However, if Hodgson can get his men fired up from the word go, they may profit from the fact Stoke are consistently slow starters to games, which is reflected by the statistic that they have yet to score a goal in the opening 15 minutes of a game so far this term.

The Potters are much stronger in the second half of games and have scored six goals later than the 90-minute mark – more than any other team in the Premier League.

Therefore, it could be that West Brom start well but are pushed on the back-foot as the game progresses, which is worth considering when pondering the outcome.

Prediction: Stoke 2 West Brom 1 @ 7/1
Value Bet: Half Time/Full Time: WBA/Stoke @ 25/1

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