Surprisingly Germany have not beaten Italy in their last seven competitive meetings but Die Mannschaft are in prime position to end that disappointing run in their Euro 2012 semi-final showdown on Thursday (Germany 10/11, draw 12/5, Italy 7/2 – Match Betting).
The Germans remain one of the favourites to win Euro 2012, having played better football than defending champions Spain, who have failed to get out of second gear in the tournament so far.
Head coach Joachim Low decided to field a relatively weakened attacking line-up in their 4-2 victory over Greece in the quarter-finals and that decision could prove to be a great move from the tactician.
Mario Gomez (4/1 – First Goalscorer), Lukas Podolski and Thomas Muller were are rested for the win over the Greeks and the trio look set to make a return to the side with fresh legs to face an Italian team who will be weary.
The Germans will have watched in the comfort of their hotel as the Azzurri slogged to a penalty shoot-out victory over England in Kiev.
Having battled for 120 minutes and gone through the drama of the 4-2 shoot-out win over the Three Lions, the match will have taken a lot out of the side who were considered dark horses before the competition.
The big question over the Italians has been where the goals will come from and Manchester City striker Mario Balotelli will be under serious pressure for his starting role after a disappointing showing against England.
Balotelli (7/1 – First Goalscorer) seemed off the pace and most of his shots found their way into the stadium car park rather than anywhere near the goal.
Manager Cesare Prandelli has been pretty loyal to the controversial figure but his patience will have been tested by the player’s below par quarter-final display.
Italy do have other options in attack, with the likes of Antonio Di Natale and Alessandro Diamanti pushing for a starting role to line up alongside Antonio Cassano.
The key man for the Azzurri will once again be their midfield general Andrea Pirlo, who was imperious against the English, who were guilty of giving the Juventus playmaker time and space on the ball.
It’s not the best kept secret in football that if you stop Pirlo you pretty much stop the Italians, so expect Low to have done his homework and have someone like Sami Khedira tracking him throughout the game.
Considering the extra time Germany have had to prepare for this game and the fact they saw off the Greeks in 90 minutes, the odds are really stacked up against the Azzurri (7/4 – To Qualify).
Italy will have to be at their best if they are to come close to beating one of the tournament favourites and it’s hard to see them edging the Germans in normal time, but anything can happen in extra-time and penalties.
However, with the returning firepower of Gomez, Muller and Podolski, Germany (13/8 – Euro 2012 Outright) should manage to book their place in yet another final of a major tournament.
Want £200 Free? Click here to visit Bet365 and claim your free money.