Graham Hunter: Adopting the Groucho Marx position and how Ireland stole Scotland’s lovable losers crown

On behalf of Scottish football, just in case anyone in Ireland has thought about it, I reserve the Groucho Marx position.

Our marker is down, from now until the end of the qualification campaign in 2015 it’s ours. You can’t have it.

Which Groucho position? This one.

Groucho Marx

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“I sent my club a wire stating, ‘Please accept my resignation – I don’t want to belong to any club that will accept me as a member’ – Groucho.

Euro 2016 is the tournament that it’s ‘impossible’ not to qualify for, right?

No dress code, no age restrictions, never mind whether the bouncer has you on the guest list, not just for the in-crowd – if you’re not at this party it’s a guaranteed eternity of embarrassment.

Particularly, for Scotland, if elimination is at the hands of Ireland. Again.

And the most stylish way of pretending we never actually cared that much would be the Groucho position. ‘Better things to do in summer 2016′, grass to cut, handicap needs trimming – wouldn’t want to be part of a devalued Euro anyway..’

‘Twenty six teams? Ridiculous’
Aiden McGeady MBS

It left a Mark

What’s that I hear you asking? Why particularly embarrassing to exit to the Irish?

Well with all due respect, on behalf of my nation, we hold a grudge. A really big, nasty, festering, Friday night on Sauchiehall street after a good few bevvies one.

Never mind any gilding of the lily, Irish football really barely registered as a blip on anyone’s horizon before 1987. I’m nearly sure of that.

Mark Lawrenson playing for Ireland in 1987

LAWR CHANGER: Lawrenson’s winner against Scotland changed both country’s sporting fortunes (pic: Inpho)

It all started with THAT win at Hampden Park. Firstly, the free kick from which ‘Lawro’ scored should never have been taken – half our defence was still lying prostrate on the turf, the ball was played about a kilometre from where the foul had been given. The ball was never stationary. The dopey Dutch referee dropped a clanger the size of County Clare.

Secondly, you boys in green have never, ever admitted that qualification for Euro ’88 was solely down to us. Well, to Gary Mackay, actually.

His gorgeous goal away to Bulgaria [27 years ago this week] PLUS those two points (of which we were robbed by big Jack’s smash and grab merchants at Hampden would have put us through to Germany ’88) put Stoichkov and co out. Ray Houghton, Lawro, Stapo and big Paul McGrath through.

Any thanks? Any acknowledgement? Any sheepish acceptance that Hampden was daylight robbery.

Not a dicky bird.

Not So Bravehearted

Moreover, I can’t be the only Scot whose friends in Ireland have been gleefully ‘roasting’ him over the last few months.

Yeah, yeah. Seb Coe and co would say that ‘sport and politics don’t mix – should never mix’. But they do.

I’m quite certain that many in Scotland shared my Independence Referendum experience – admirably malicious texts, phone calls and emails from Irish pals in the build-up demanding to know whether the Scots would have the ‘cojones’ to seize their chance for freedom from the yolk of Westminster as Ireland once did.

Then, with equally gleeful malevolence, mocking our failure to put the ball in the net when the goal was gapingly open after Scotland narrowly voted ‘no’ in September.

And even though there’s a heat about this game because ‘it’s about the points, stupid!’ [to coin a phrase stolen from George Bush], a heat because two extremely self-confident and brutally confident ex-Celtic managers do battle – I think there’s a cultural-sporting context for it which vastly heightens the importance.

During Scotland’s slide into sporting mediocrity, independent-Ireland have not only neatly stolen our identity as the world’s favourite cheeky Celtic nation – the boys in green have become a better Scotland than we ever were.

From that moment in spring 1987 when Tiger Economy Ireland clawed Scotland at Hampden they’ve shown us how we should have done it when we were the top Celtic-cats

Billy Bremner misses against Scotland (1974)

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Once it was Scotland’s birthright to beat Sir Alf Ramsey’s England at Wembley in 1967 and declare ourselves world champions. To scare the bejaysus out of reigning world champions Brazil in the 1974 world cup and only let them escape with a 0-0 draw because Billy Bremner missed an open goal. To draw with Iran but then beat Holland [four years on from being finalists in 1974 and a fortnight away from reaching the final again in 1978]

Ireland took all that and topped it. That’s sore to admit.

The Green Eyed Monster

Qualifying when we can’t. Beating England at Euro ’88. Absolutely rocking Italia ’90, beating Italy at USA 94, shame-free spot-kick losers to Spain in the Japan-Korea knockout stages. Recipients of the ‘we love you, you plucky victim’ award from the entire world outside France when Thierry Henry mistook football for basketball in that World Cup playoff.

That’s our gallant loser trophy you’ve stolen, that’s OUR ‘best fans in the world’ title you’ve shamelessly robbed. Identity theft is a serious issue.

And when we look around for solace – we can’t look at rugby or cricket any more either.

From just a couple of weeks after ‘Operation Lawro’ at Hampden in ’87 and for the next twelve years Scotland met Ireland at Murrayfield and Landsdowne road fourteen times losing only once.

Proper domination.

But of the next eighteen Ireland have won twelve. Torture. Six Nations titles, a bloody Grand Slam [and, yes, even we cheered when Ronan O’Gara dropped-kicked Ireland into an emerald heaven].

With bat and ball against the Irish Scotland’s ODI record is lost eleven of fifteen and in Twenty20 it’s an embarrassing played three lost three.

Ireland beating Scotland in cricket

ANOTHER BATTERING: Ireland are even dominating Scotland on the cricket field (pic: Inpho)

How the combined Shinty/Hurling contest is going I daren’t even look.

I don’t want to rope poor old Gordon Strachan into this rant of mine, he’s enough on his hands coping with street-smart Martin and the bragging-rights battle which [I have no doubt] is also at stake between the two former Celtic managers under whose swords, both as player and manager, the mighty have fallen.

But Gordon was in that team at Hampden in ’87 – watched his former Cup Winners Cup winning team mate Jim Leighton beaten by the ‘Lawro-goal’ which should never have stood.

He’ll want to put the world to rights. To put the cocky Celtic imposter back in it’s box. Then to send them a gilt-embossed card with the Groucho position beautifully printed on it so that, late next year, it’s the FAI who can post it on to Uefa and Michel Platini saying: ‘We never wanted to come to your party anyway’. Yours – The Boys In Green.

All together now: ‘You’ll never beat the Scottish’.

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Italy to continue Ireland blues

Like all the other groups at Euro 2012, there is still plenty to play for in Group C and Italy will be desperate to claim all three points to ensure their qualification for the knockout stages when they face the already-eliminated Republic of Ireland on Monday (Italy 2/7, draw 9/2, Ireland 11/1).

So far, all four games in the pool have been absolute crackers but, after both Croatia and Spain beat the Boys in Green, the Azzurri will be expecting a comfortable win.

After a disappointing build-up to the tournament, Cesare Prandelli’s men have quietly impressed in Poland and Ukraine with two solid defensive displays, but will be looking to showcase their attacking prowess when they step out in Poznan.

Italy have often built their success on firm foundations but under Prandelli they have displayed much more offensive tendencies and contain a number of flair players within their ranks.

The most notable of these is perhaps Udinese captain Antonio Di Natale (7/2 first goalscorer) who looks set to start at the Municipal Stadium due to the lingering doubts over the fitness of the enigmatic Mario Balotelli.

Di Natale has been the top Italian striker in Serie A for the last few seasons and despite being relatively small, has the pace and trickery to trouble any defence.

The 34-year-old scored in the 1-1 draw with Spain and with this likely to be his last major championships, he will be desperate to make an impact.

The Irish have had a torrid time at Euro 2012 and, after being easily outclassed by both Croatia and Spain, know that it is now impossible for them to qualify for the quarter-finals.

However, despite their lack of talent, they’re certainly not short of determination and will not be overawed against their illustrious rivals, especially after they won 2-0 in the two sides’ last meeting.

For a number of Giovanni Trapattoni’s players this may well be their international swansong, as the young side that almost beat Spain at their last major tournament appearance in 2002 is starting to look weary and tired.

As usual, their chances of success will probably revolve around the performance of captain and talisman Robbie Keane (10/1 first goalscorer) who has so far remained coy on his plans for the future.

Although he may be past his best, Keane still has the talent to muster something out of nothing and will be desperate to prove he can cut it on the big stage.

However, despite Ireland’s best efforts, Italy should be more than strong enough to overcome them and, although it may be tight early on, fatigue could play a part in the latter stages, which may open the floodgates (Italy 7/1 to win 3-0).

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Ireland ‘Czech’ out new talent

Republic of Ireland coach Giovanni Trapattoni will start his preparations for this summer’s Euro 2012 finals (66/1 – Outright) with a tricky international friendly test against the Czech Republic at the Aviva Stadium on Wednesday.

The Irish qualified for their first major tournament since the 2002 World Cup in Japan and South Korea thanks to a 5-1 aggregate victory over Estonia in the qualification play-offs.

And having been drawn in Group C alongside Croatia, Spain and Italy (Ireland 11/1 – Group C Winner), Trapattoni has been keen to organise testing friendly matches, starting against the Czechs who have also qualified for this summer’s European Championships in Poland and Ukraine.

However, the Italian tactician’s plans for the game have been disrupted by injury problems to key players after Richard Dunne and Darron Gibson were ruled out earlier in the week, while Stephen Kelly and Keiren Westwood have since withdrawn from the squad after suffering thigh and wrist problems respectively.

It paves the way for young Sunderland starlet James McClean to feature, while centre-back Shane Duffy is also in line for his debut.

Czech Republic, who are in a group with Poland, Russia, and Greece at Euro 2012, sit nine places below the Irish in 29th position in the FIFA rankings but boast a great record for qualifying for the European Championships having reached every one since their independence in 1992.

Therefore Michal Bilek’s men will no doubt arrive in Dublin looking to fine-tune their tactics and show their credentials ahead of the summer showpiece tournament.

Bilek does have injury problems to contend with too as Arsenal star Tomas Rosicky has been ruled out of the game after he suffered a back strain in the 5-2 north London derby win against Tottenham, while key defender Roman Hubnik has a foot injury.

Jiri Strajner and David Limbersky have been called up as their replacements and will no doubt aim to force their way into Bilek’s plans as the clock ticks down towards Euro 2012.

Despite the fixture being a friendly both sides are likely to look for a morale-boosting victory and it is sure to be a competitive affair.

Ireland have a good record against the Czech Republic in friendly internationals on home soil with respective victories in 2000 and 2004, while they drew 1-1 in their last European Championship qualifier in Dublin in 2006.

The Czechs have not won in Ireland since a 3-1 friendly victory in 1994, while they came out on top in the previous meeting between the sides when Marek Jankulovski scored the only goal of the Euro 2008 qualifier for the hosts in September 2007.

It is likely to be a close-fought encounter but expect Ireland, who have not lost since a 3-2 home defeat against Uruguay almost 12 months ago, to just edge it against a Czech side which has won their previous three games.

Prediction: Home 90 Minutes @ 13/10
Value Bet: Ireland To Win 2-1 Correct Score @ 8/1

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Ireland to seal Euro 2012 spot

Republic of Ireland grabbed a 4-0 win in Estonia on Friday night to all but guarantee their spot in the Euro 2012 tournament proper, ahead of Tuesday’s second-leg in Dublin (totesport – Euro 2012 coupon).

However, despite the fact the Irish enjoy such a commanding lead boss Giovanni Trapattoni will not be taking Estonia lightly and will be keen for his side to secure a win on Tuesday night.  Estonia will need to attack from the off, leaving them vulnerable at the back and with Ireland’s superior strength going forward they could blow their opponents away for a second time.  In the half-time/full-time market a Republic of Ireland/Republic of Ireland result is priced at 5/6, which represents better value than the 2/5 on offer for an Ireland victory.

Montenegro slumped to a 2-0 loss in Czech Republic in the first-leg and it looks as if the Czechs will be able to secure a place at Euro 2012.  Montenegro offered very little going forward in the first-leg and could struggle again, despite enjoying home advantage.  Czech Republic are priced at 7/4 to win the match, while Montenegro are 8/5.  Arsenal’s Tomas Rosicky produced a fine display in the first-leg but his performance was not rewarded with a goal, the winger is priced at 10/1 to get his name on the score sheet and score first on Tuesday.

The most intriguing tie on Tuesday is Bosnia’s visit to Portugal as the first leg ended in a 0-0 draw.  Bosnia will progress if they can secure a score draw in Portugal on Tuesday, which would be a massive achievement.  A draw is priced at 10/3, while 1-1 is available at 6/1. Portugal should prove too strong for Bosnia but the visitors should not be dismissed lightly as they have quality amongst their ranks, including Manchester City striker Eden Dzeko. Bosnia are 13/2 to secure the win, while Portugal are 4/9 but the game could well be closer than the odds suggest and in the half-time/full-time market a draw/Portugal result is priced at 10/3.

Croatia host Turkey in a tie that already looks out of the visitors’ reach, thanks to Croatia’s 3-0 win in Turkey in the first-leg.  Turkey will be desperate to avenge that defeat and will look to throw everything at Croatia, which will leave them vulnerable on the counter-attack.  Croatia are 8/11 to secure the win, the draw is available at 13/5 but a small wager on Turkey at 4/1 could be a bet worth placing as they will be desperate to salvage some pride after their first-leg hammering.

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Ireland set for Tallinn test

Ireland will be hoping that luck is on their side this time as they begin their quest to qualify for their first major international tournament since the 2002 World Cup when they take on Estonia in their Euro 2012 play-off first leg in Tallinn on Friday.

Two years ago, the men in green were cruelly robbed in Paris when Thierry’s Henry handball was not spotted – and William Gallas was allowed to score the extra-time winner to send France to South Africa at the Republic’s expense.

The boot is on the other foot in this particular match-up with Ireland favourites to progress and the pressure, unlike against Les Bleus, will be on Giovanni Trapattoni’s men over the next few days.

Ireland did taste victory when they were involved in a play-off to qualify for the 2002 World Cup, beating Iran 2-1 on aggregate – although they lost the away leg, which came second, 1-0.

This time the Republic start on their travels with a trip to Tallinn on Friday night before the return leg in Dublin next Tuesday, and the Irish are 11/8 favourites to win tomorrow night’s encounter.

Estonia can be backed at 13/8 in the match betting to hold an advantage going into the second leg, while punters can get 11/5 about the draw.

Estonia surprised many to make it this far after being drawn in a group that contained Italy, Serbia and Slovenia – who all qualified for last year’s World Cup – but qualified as a runner-up when Slovenia beat Serbia in the last game.

The Blueshirts will be hoping that expectations have not got out of hand when they host the Irish on Friday night and that they can play with the freedom of a team which has nothing to lose.

If they can do that then they will cause problems, given the Republic’s struggle in their final Group B game, but both sides enjoyed better away performances to make the play-offs.

Estonia won 3-1 in Serbia and 1-0 in Slovenia, while Trapattoni’s side was unbeaten on the road, losing just one game in the entire group stage, 2-3 to group winners Russia at Dublin’s Aviva Stadium.

When the pressure was on, however, in the final group game against Armenia, Ireland struggled to cope with Armenia’s fluent passing game – and only made it through after a shocking decision by the referee to send off the visiting keeper Roman Berezovski and a comedy own goal to retain second spot – just winning 2-1.

Trapattoni has a number of injury worries to contend with as Shane Long and Leon Best have been ruled out, while Kevin Doyle is suspended after his red card against Armenia.

Good news for the men in green is the fact that talismanic skipper Robbie Keane is available again and warmed up for this clash with a goal in LA Galaxy’s 3-1 win over Real Salt Lake at the weekend.

The 31-year-old has been a fantastic servant for his country, leading their scoring charts with 51 goals in 112 appearances, and is the 5/1 favourite in the First/Last Goalscorer betting.

With so much at stake, it is difficult to see it being a free-flowing open game of football with plenty of goals, but the Republic’s experience may just tell in the end and Draw/Rep Ireland is on offer at 9/2 in the Half-time/Full-time market, while a 1-0 win for the away side is priced at 5/1.

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Ireland aim for points in Skopje

By the time the Republic of Ireland kick off their latest Euro 2012 qualification game in Macedonia on Saturday evening, they will know exactly what is required as the race to reach the Ukraine and Poland next year is turning into a four-way fight.

Giovanni Trapattoni’s men arrive in Skopje full of confidence after they lifted the Carling Nations Trophy last Sunday courtesy of a 1-0 win against Scotland, having seen off Wales and Northern Ireland in the previous games without conceding a goal in the process.

But the pressure on their shoulders could be intensified by the time kick-off arrives as Slovakia and Russia, who are level on 10 points with the Irish, will have already finished their respective matches against Andorra and Armenia.

Slovakia’s game is a 1/80 home banker with Totesport as Andorra are pointless from their opening five games, while Ireland will possibly look for Armenia, who are fourth in Group B and just two points off the leading trio, to do them a favour and hold the Russians to a point (11/2 Draw).

In that scenario a win against Macedonia, who have drawn and lost their opening two qualifiers on home soil, could take Ireland two points clear in second spot behind the Slovaks on 13 points.

Trapattoni will be delighted with his defence’s recent solidity and will expect them to keep the Macedonian’s at bay after their exploits against the Scots, Welsh and Ulstermen, despite the absence of the suspended Richard Dunne.

It is the Italian’s attack that could give him some concern as 30-year-old star striker Robbie Keane is battling to shake off a groin injury he suffered in training in order to play.

And with Macedonia’s own defensive record not looking to shabby with only six goals conceded from five matches, the game could require a moment of magic from somebody of Keane’s calibre to ensure they take the maximum points haul they desperately need.

West Brom?s Simon Cox (13/2 First/Last Goalscorer) appears to be the man who will step into the attack should Keane fail to make it and, having recently got his first goal for his country, he will prove to be a very able deputy.

Therefore, we anticipate a tight game (2/1 1 or Less Total Goals) between two teams that are strong in defence, but with Ireland’s superior strike-force, they should have just enough to come out on top.

Prediction: Ireland To Win 90 Minutes @ 23/20
Value Bet: Simon Cox 1st goal Ireland To Win 1-0 Scorecast @ 25/1

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Republic of Ireland v Wales

Bet on footballGary Speed will take charge of his first full international as Wales manager on Tuesday night when his side travels to the Aviva Stadium in Dublin to face Ireland (Republic of Ireland v Wales to end as a draw – 13/5).

This is the opening fixture of the inaugural Carling Nations Cup which sees Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland battle it out for supremacy amongst the home nations.

Speed will be without ten of his players for the opening fixture as he looks to turn things around for his nation ahead of further Euro 2012 qualifiers. Wales are currently ranked 116th in the FIFA world rankings and have long suffered on the international stage.

Three of Speed’s key men who will be missing for the game are Cardiff’s Craig Bellamy, Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey and Tottenham’s Gareth Bale.

However, former captain Bellamy will be travelling to Dublin to be around the camp to add support to the team. Bellamy and Speed were team-mates at Newcastle and the current Wales manager does not want to push Bellamy into playing.

Speed said: “I am sure everyone is aware of Craig’s situation and it would be wrong of me to ask him to play on Tuesday after playing on Sunday. The last thing we want is players going back to their clubs injured.”

Wales will look to striker Robbie Earnshaw to provide them with firepower up front and he believes that their current FIFA ranking does not do them justice. The Nottingham Forest hitman is also looking forward to life under Speed.

He said: “There is a freshness about the place with Gary taking over, everybody wants to do well for themselves and the new manager.”

Earnshaw, who has scored 14 goals for Wales, will hope to add to that tally in Dublin (Earnshaw to score anytime – 9/4).

However, it is not just Wales who are resting key players due to injuries and club schedules. The Irish side will also be without certain key figures which will make this a tough game to call. Captain Robbie Keane has withdrawn from the squad, along with Leon Best, Liam Lawrence and James McCarthy.

Ireland manager Giovanni Trapattoni will be downcast at the prospect of not having the charismatic Keane leading his troops. Keane has recently found form again since making the switch from Spurs to West Ham and would have given Ireland a real boost going into this fixture.

Trapattoni will have the services of Wolves forward Kevin Doyle (Doyle to score a hat-trick – 33/1 joint favourite) at his disposal and he comes into this fixture full of confidence after scoring the winner against Manchester United at the weekend.

The Italian has also promised to give Seamus Coleman and Ciaran Clark their Republic of Ireland debuts. Both youngsters will no doubt be relishing their first international caps after excelling in the Premier League this season.

Neither side comes into the game with a good record. Ireland are without a win in their last three games whilst Wales head to Dublin on the back of three straight defeats.

Both sides will be keen to get a victory and gain some momentum ahead of their Euro 2012 qualifying games in March.

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Paraguay suffer Ireland defeat

Kevin DoyleParaguay’s preparations for the World Cup in South Africa received a setback when they were beaten 2-1 by the Republic of Ireland (Paraguay 66/1 – Outright).

Kevin Doyle and Liam Lawrence were on target for the Irish, before Lucas Barrios reduced the arrears 13 minutes into the second half.

Ireland would have been going to the World Cup themselves, but for France’s controversial goal in their qualification play-off.

And they showed that they were worthy of making it to South Africa with an assured performance which left the Paraguayans with plenty to think about before they board the plane to South Africa. The World Cup betting suggests they should make it out of their group, but they could be in for a tough time.

The South Americans had plenty of the ball in the first half but could not break down their hosts until the final seconds of the half.

Midfielder Cristian Riveros, who has signed for Sunderland, was instrumental in much of Paraguay’s best moves but they rarely managed to get sight of goal.

Ireland had Roque Santa Cruz (100/1 – World Cup 2010 Top Goalscorer) to thank for their opening goal after seven minutes.

Damien Duff and Lawrence worked a free-kick move before Duff delivered the ball into the box, where defender Paul McShane attempted and failed to execute an overhead kick.

But the ball reared up off the turf and Santa Cruz instinctively headed it on to his own crossbar, allowing Doyle to pounce on the rebound and score.

Paraguay might have hit back within two minutes but midfielder Jonathan Santana’s rising shot sailed over Keiren Westwood’s crossbar.

Ireland went 2-0 up when Doyle chested down Stephen Kelly’s cross to Lawrence, who thumped it past goalkeeper Aldo Bobadilla with the help of a deflection off defender Denis Caniza.

Westwood was called on for the first time in injury time when he tipped Antolin Alcaraz’s speculative effort around the post, but he was otherwise untroubled.

Ireland might have killed the game off within minutes of the restart after creating two good chances in quick succession. Doyle saw his left foot shot on the turn test Bobadilla, then the keeper blocked a shot from Duff.

The South Americans halved the deficit when Gamarra and Claudio Morel played their way around McShane for Gamarra to slide a pass to Barrios, who sent it right-footed past Westwood.

Both managers made changes as Trapattoni handed senior international debuts to Cillian Sheridan, Paul Green and Keith Fahey, while opposite number Gerardo Martino dispensed with three-quarters of his starting midfield.

In the meantime, Westwood was grateful to see Gamarra’s teasing 70th-minute cross run harmlessly out of play and Lawrence intercept substitute Aureliano Torres’ superb pass to Gamarra with the visitors making a late push.

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