The Premier League season is reaching its climax with issues still be sorted out and on Tuesday the race for Champions League qualification could finally be decided when Manchester City host Tottenham at Eastlands.
Roberto Mancini’s men are almost certain of finishing in the top four, holding a six-point cushion over Spurs and seven over Liverpool with three games to go – the Fat Lady is definitely warbling.
By the time the game kicks off, Liverpool could have closed the gap to four points following their clash at Fulham on Monday night but City will seal their berth if they were to win on Tuesday.
Goal difference is also very much with City at the moment and with Spurs also having to travel to Anfield on Sunday, the pressure is very much on the visitors to go for the three points at Eastlands.
History is with Spurs (14/5 in the match betting) going into the match as they have won 19 Premier League matches against City with only Arsenal having won more, while they have won 11 of the last 13 in the top flight and six of their last seven in Manchester.
But City (10/11 favourites to take the three points) are a much different proposition this time around under Roberto Mancini, especially with the money that has been invested in the squad, and Spurs’ season is in very real danger of ending with a whimper.
The Blues have lost only twice at home since Spurs won this fixture almost a year ago – against Arsenal, when down to 10 men, and Everton – and will be difficult to break down with a defence set to be boosted by the return of Micah Richards and Gareth Barry, who have recovered from hamstring injuries.
Spurs, on the other hand, look set to be without potent threat Gareth Bale for the remainder of the season and are in a hugely disappointing run of form.
Harry Redknapp’s men, who have won six times on the road this season, have emerged victorious in just one of their last 12 matches in all competitions, with six draws in the last eight games.
Rafael van der Vaart remains the club’s top scorer but his early, blistering form has tailed off while Heurelho Gomes is enduring the kind of run that would fill a blooper video all on its own.
City might have one eye on the FA Cup final against Stoke on Saturday but Mancini has made no secret of the fact Champions League football is the long-term aim of the club and is unlikely to let complacency slip in.
The Italian tactician is also likely to be conservative in his approach to the game as a point serves his club more than Spurs, so at 12/5 backing the draw is the best course of action to take.
A goalless affair is a bit of risk with the attacking talent available to both sides, but at 9/1 is certainly worth considering, depending on the team news – and the unpredictable nature of Gomes.
Carlos Tevez is set for a late fitness test to determine his availability for both this match and the Cup final – and has got to be looked at in the goalscoring markets (4/1 First/Last, Evens Anytime goalscorer) if he plays as he has scored more than Roman Pavlyuchenko, Jermain Defoe and Peter Crouch combined.
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