Terriers can edge past Posh

Sunday’s League One play-off final sees two of the brightest young English managers go head-to-head at Old Trafford but who will come out on top between Lee Clark and Darren Ferguson as Huddersfield take on Peterborough for a place in the Championship next season?

Reading the respective managers’ pre-match quotes, it is clear both are fully focused and determined not to fall at the final hurdle but, ultimately, it will be disappointment for one or the other come Sunday evening although everything points to a tight affair in Manchester.

The final sees the sides who finished third and fourth in the table take each other on and Huddersfield are viewed as slight favourites (7/5) – unsurprisingly as they finished ahead of Peterborough (15/8) by eight points and the Terriers are likely to have the more fans at Old Trafford – something which may just give them the edge in what could be a cagey affair such are the nerves of the occasion.

This is their fourth meeting this season and, again, a quick check of the stats shows they are two evenly-matched sides.

Peterborough won their home league clash 4-2, they drew 1-1 in West Yorkshire but Huddersfield won 3-2 in the second round of the Johnstone’s Paint Trophy at the Galpharm.

Clark has said if his side win the achievement will beat anything he managed as a player – and that includes winning the Championship three times – so the 38-year-old is well aware just how big a game the final is for a side who have been out of the second tier of English football for 10 years.

They are a club with a proud history, however, winning the old First Division on three successive occasions – the first club to do so – in 1926, but, of course that counts for nothing on Sunday.

They look good value at 8/1 to win 2-1 in the correct score market and, with Jordan Rhodes and the on-loan Danny Ward set to lead the line, they will pose plenty of threat to the Posh defence.

Ferguson’s side are looking for an immediate return to the Championship after being relegated 12 months ago and will be very well organised and difficult to beat.

In Craig Makail-Smith they have a forward to worry any defence. He has been heavily linked with a move away over the summer and, if he does leave, will hope to finish on a high with a win. The striker will reach a 100 goals if he hits a brace on Sunday and is well worth a punt in totesport’s enhanced first goalscorer market (6/1).

So the stage is set for what looks like being a closely-fought contest but we see Huddersfield just edging it given their slightly better performance over the season although don’t rule out them needing extra time to do it (9/1).

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Posh too hot for Dons

There is much at stake when Peterborough host MK Dons at London Road on Thursday night, with a place in the League One play-off final at Old Trafford up for grabs and the chance to play Championship football next season.

Posh might consider themselves a little lucky to still be in the tie following Sunday’s 3-2 defeat at Stadium:MK, with Grant McCann’s late penalty ensuring the Dons advantage is a slender one going into the return leg.

Darren Ferguson’s men were second best for much of the match but they have been a different beast at London Road and look set to justify 4/5 favouritism in the match betting, with MK Dons priced at 16/5 and the draw at 11/4.

A draw is of course good enough to take Karl Robinson’s men through to Old Trafford so the onus is on Peterborough to attack – and attack they will.

Posh have smashed in an unbelievable league-high 69 goals at this home this season, losing just three League One games at London Road, although they were also beaten by Championship side Swansea in the Carling Cup.

Ferguson’s side do also ‘boast’ the league’s worst home defence after shipping in 40 goals so spectators look set to be treated to another goal-fest.

Although Thursday’s game may not be a repeat of the weekend’s five-goal thriller, goalkeepers look set to be in for a busy night with over 2.5 goals priced up at 8/13, while 4 or more goals is available at 7/4.

Given Posh’s record, backing them at 9/5 to score in both halves is worthy of consideration, as is a Peterborough win on the handicap (-1) at 21/10 with a one-goal victory only good enough to take the tie into extra time.

Craig Mackhail-Smith has been on fire this term, scoring his 33rd goal of the campaign in Sunday’s defeat, and he has got to be looked at in the goalscoring markets (3/1 First/Last, 2/3 Anytime).

However, an MK Dons goal cannot be ruled out – the Dons lost 2-1 in the league fixture at London Road – but anyone looking to back a clean sheet (Peterborough 5/4, MK Dons 16/5) has obviously got money to burn.

Joe Lewis has been ruled out of whatever remains of the Peterborough season after suffering a fractured knee-cap at the weekend, meaning Ferguson will have to turn to Paul Jones in goal.

Charlie Lee of course is also absent after being sent off in the first leg so Grant Basey or Tommy Rowe will deputise at left-back.

MK Dons have been boosted by the news that Stephen Gleeson’s red card – given for the foul that led to the penalty on Sunday – has been rescinded by the FA, while defender Gabby Zakuani and winger Luke Chadwick look set to play after shoulder and arm injuries respectively.

The Dons of course have the edge going into the match but that could work in Peterborough’s favour and they look to have the firepower to get the win to secure a trip to Old Trafford on May 29th, much to the delight of one of the game’s greatest – Sir Alex Ferguson, a more than interested observer.

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