Sharp Blades to edge Pompey

Monday night throws up one game in the Football League and it comes from League One as Sheffield United look to make it three wins on the bounce when they host Portsmouth at Bramall Lane (Sheffield United 4/5, draw 5/2, Portsmouth 7/2 Match Betting).

The Blades remain unbeaten in the third tier of English football under manager Danny Wilson and will go level with league leaders Tranmere if they can claim all three points on home soil. United (9/4 League One outright) have hardly been ripping teams apart with only one goal being the difference in their last five wins in League One.

But that won’t bother Wilson at all, as his side have shown themselves to be more than capable of getting a lead and doing enough to grind out wins, in what is a tough league to get promoted from.

Striker Nick Blackman (9/2 first goalscroer) has been key for the South Yorkshire outfit this season and with seven goals to his name so far, Wilson will be looking to the youngster the get on the scoresheet once again on Monday.

There are no fresh injury concerns for United following their 1-0 win over Walsall in their last outing and forward Dave Kitson (5/4 Anytime goalscorer) looks set to recover from a virus in time to take on his former club Portsmouth and he will be looking to add to just his three goals this term.

As for the visitors to Bramall Lane, Pomey have lost the services of loan man Wes Thomas who has returned to his parent club Bournemouth and manager Michael Appleton will have to consider a different partner for leading goalscorer Izale McLeod. Having scored nine goals this term, McLeod is going to be the main threat that the Blades will have to keep tabs on if they want to avoid an upset on home soil.

A big boost for Portsmouth is that keeper Mikkel Andersen has managed to recover from a knock on his hip to make the trip up to Yorkshire, although midfielder Darel Russell is again going to be an absentee through injury.

The South Coast outfit were on a decent run of form until their last game when they suffered a 2-1 defeat to Stevenage. However before that they were five games unbeaten in League One with four wins in that spell, which has seen the side start to climb the table.

Of course the financial restraints are going to limit what the side from Fratton Park can do this season but on current form they can certainly push up towards the playoff places.

Bramall Lane is going to be a tough place for any side to go to this season and it looks like United will be the ones celebrating the three points come the final whistle but again don’t expect the Blades to run away with it (7/1 Sheffield Utd 1-0 correct score).

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Welsh hoping to edge out Scots

Wales take on Scotland in a World Cup qualifying clash on Friday knowing that nothing less than three points will do. Chris Coleman’s side are currently bottom of Group A but victory will see them leapfrog the Scots and regain some pride (Wales 7/4, Scotland 17/10, draw 9/4 – Match Prices).

This was always going to be a vital match for Wales as they look to develop under new boss Coleman and a clash with their Celtic rivals will show just how they are progressing.

A 2-0 home defeat to Belgium and a 6-1 thrashing away to Serbia was not the ideal start but those two nations are arguably the strongest in a tough group and may well qualify for the finals in Brazil.

Scotland have not exactly been pulling up any trees themselves and, with two draws from their opening two games, will also have their work cut out to reach the South American showpiece.

A game between any of the home nations is always a feisty affair and this one should be no different, with vital points and bragging rights on offer.

It could be argued that the Welsh have nothing to lose as they are not expected to make it out of the group and victory over the Scots and Macedonia might be as good as it could get for the Principality outfit, with Croatia completing a formidable looking group (Belgium 6/4fav – Group A Winner).

Wales have clearly got problems in front of goal and a return of just one from their last five games must be a worry for the management.

Assistant coach John Hartson has played down the fact that their last goal in open play came nearly a year ago, suggesting that he would be more worried if they were not creating chances.

But the game is about putting the ball in the back of the net and unless they can find someone to do it on a regular basis, Wales are always going to struggle.

The men in red do have one ace in the pack in Tottenham’s Gareth Bale and reports claim that the left winger will shake off a heel problem to take his place in the starting line-up, while full-back Adam Matthews has also been tipped to recover in time to play.

But Coleman does have a number of absentees to deal with as Craig Bellamy, Neil Taylor, James Collins and Jack Collison are all missing.

A football nation the size of Wales can ill-afford to have too many of its best players absent and they will be up against it on Friday.

But they do have a decent record in this fixture as Scotland’s victory in the Carling Nations Cup in Dublin back in May 2011 was the first time they had triumphed over the Welsh since February 1984.

Of the two mangers on show, Craig Levein is possibly under the greater pressure as expectation north of the border is always huge despite the resources available to the coach.

Wales goalkeeper Jason Brown alluded to the fact that Levein’s decision to recall Steven Fletcher proves the stress that he is under to get results – and he has a valid point.

Fletcher had been in the international wilderness for 18 months, after making himself unavailable for a match with Northern Ireland in early 2011, but will be back in the starting line-up in Cardiff on Friday as Levein knows he can bring goals to the party.

And the Scots certainly need his goalscoring prowess in the side as they have found the net just once in their first two qualification games.

Levein will also have to cope with a few missing stars after Jordan Rhodes and Robert Snodgrass were forced to withdraw through injury, while Grant Hanley pulled out on Monday.

Celtic winger Kris Commons has been called up to the squad having not played for the national side for more than a year, while striker Steven Naismith will miss the match and Tuesday’s clash with Belgium because of suspension.

Having been placed in such a strong group, it always looked likely that the British sides would have to play out of their skin to qualify for the World Cup, but victory over one of the great rivals would at least give both Scotland and Wales something to cheer about.

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Malaga to edge derby spoils

Monday’s Spanish Primera Division action sees Malaga bid to keep their push for a European place on track with a tricky derby trip to face struggling Andalusian rivals Granada.
Manuel Pellegrini’s big-spending Malaga outfit have stuttered of late, but he will hope last weekend’s first win in seven outings against Sevilla will mark the start of a good run of results given that they currently sit just four points behind Levante who occupy fourth spot in the standings.
However, their task will not be helped by the continued absence of Ruud van Nistelrooy, Julio Baptista and Joaquin as the trio continue to work their way back to full fitness following injury problems.
The loss of Joaquin in particular is significant given that he scored a brace, along with midfielder Santi Cazorla, in a comprehensive 4-0 victory at La Rosaleda in the corresponding clash earlier in the season.
However, defender Weligton is confident that Malaga will travel to face Granada in good heart looking to pick up as many points as they possibly can from the ‘important’ next five or six fixtures.
But he is expecting a tough encounter against a side which could be back in the relegation places by the time the match kicks off at Los Carmenes on Monday evening.
He said on the club’s website: “They’re playing at home with a new manager (Abel Resino) who’s motivating the team and it’s going to be a very difficult match.
“Everyone sets out their own objective, of being as high up as possible, but we know that we have to win the next match.
“It’s close, we have to be focused and we know the importance of getting the win.”
Granada benefitted from new manager syndrome in their previous outing after recording a valuable 2-1 win against Real Betis to end their own run of poor results.
Resino bolstered El Grana with a transfer deadline day loan swoop for Sao Paulo’s exciting 20-year-old Brazilian striker Henrique, who could well make his first-team debut in the encounter.
As we mentioned earlier, Malaga were comfortable winners in the most recent Andalusian derby in September, but the two sides’ overall Primera Division record is very even with both teams enjoying four wins apiece with five draws.
We expect a tight game with both sides desperate for points to help their respective targets for the remainder of the campaign, but Malaga should have just enough to edge the points.
Prediction: Malaga Away Win 90 Minutes @ 13/10
Value Bet: Malaga To Win 2-1 Correct Score @ 8/1

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Barca to edge El Clasico

Spain’s two giants, Real Madrid and Barcelona, meet again on Wednesday, this time in the Copa Del Rey, and both sides will be looking to get one over on their bitter rivals (Real Madrid 13/8, drew 23/10, Barca 13/10 – match prices).

Barcelona have once again dominated the ‘Clasicos’ this season coming out on top over two legs in the Super Cup in August before coming back from an early goal down to win 3-1 and silence the Bernabeu crowd in December.

However, despite their apparent weakness when it comes to facing Barca, Real Madrid certainly have the talent to beat them and possess arguably the world’s best squad. Furthermore, while other coaches sometimes demean certain competitions, Jose Mourinho always goes out to win every game and is sure to put out a strong side.

After so many disappointing displays against the Catalan club, it is surely time for Madrid’s talisman Cristiano Ronaldo (9/2 first goalscorer) to produce a world class performance against the ‘Blaugrana’. The Portuguese star seems to play well for his side every week but has hit the buffers against Barca. It often appears as if he trying too hard in these matches rather than playing his natural game but having scored the winner in last season’s Copa Del Rey final, he may feel less pressure and could finally show his class in possible the biggest club game in world football.

On the other hand, Barcelona will of course be full of confidence going into the match and after yet another stunning year in 2011, will be looking at Wednesday’s match as the perfect chance to get 2012 off in the same  vain.

Pep Guardiola has so many stars to pick from with world class players in defence, midfield and attack. However, three time Ballon D’Or winner Lionel Messi (9/2 first goalscorer) must surely be their one to watch. The little Argentine is undeniably the planet’s greatest talent and unlike Ronaldo always plays well on the big stage. He also has a superb scoring record against the Madristas and will be an almost certain bet to continue his run at the Bernabeu.

However, for all their dominance, Barca may have one weak link on Wednesday and that will be in goal where Antonio Pinto is likely to star ahead of Victor Valdes. The veteran only plays in the Copa Del Rey and Guardiola appears to be loyal to him whoever they face in the competition. However, he is not in the same class as Valdes and has a habit of making big mistakes. His performance could prove vital and will undoubtedly have a bearing on the game.

With the game being played over two legs neither team will want to give too much away in the first meeting meaning it could be a tight encounter. However, with Xavi and Andres Iniesta in their side Barca can unlock any defence, however tight and should just nick it (Barcelona 9/1 to win 2-1).

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United to edge City thriller

It has been described as the most eagerly anticipated Manchester derby for many years, with the top two in the Premier League going head-to-head with both sides undefeated so far in the league.

Regardless of the opposition, it is not often you get odds against on Manchester United at Old Trafford, so we are going to take advantage by going with the home side to prevail against their city rivals at 21/20.

United have been ruthless so far, scoring 25 goals in eight games. Sir Alex Ferguson will be delighted with the way his summer purchases have settled into the side. Phil Jones looks like he has over 500 league appearances under his belt, whilst goalkeeper David De Gea is getting better with every game and was excellent in United’s 1-1 draw with Liverpool at Anfield last weekend.

There is no question that this will be the Reds’ biggest challenge of the season so far, but they are likely to respond to the big-game status, as they have done so often in the past. They are unbeaten in their last 25 Premier League home fixtures, with 19 victories coming in those games.

City have almost been as impressive. They do currently sit two points above their rivals at the top of the table and have scored 27 goals in their opening eight games.

Nobody can question that Roberto Mancini’s side are genuine title challengers this season, but their league charge may depend on their progression in Europe though.

The big difference between these two sides is the unity they have inside their camps.

Ferguson is a genius at creating a family at Manchester United, where every player plays for each other – if they don’t he is quick to show them the door.

However, on the other hand, Mancini has had problems dealing with morale amongst his squad this season. Carlos Tevez apparently refused to come off the bench against Bayern Munich last month, whilst both Edin Dzeko and Adam Johnson showed dissent recently after being substituted.

Usually in these types of fixtures it takes one star player to light up the game with a special piece of play, let’s not forget it was this fixture last season where Wayne Rooney scored the goal of the season with his spectacular overhead kick to win the match.

We are going with Rooney once again to score the opening goal of the game at 4/1. He was left out against Liverpool last week and will feel he has a point to prove on his return. The 25-year-old thrives on these kind of games and often saves his best form for the big fixtures.

It is unlikely that both sides will be able to keep clean sheets, considering the attacking quality that is on show in both line-ups.

Take Manchester United to edge the game by 2-1 at odds of 7/1 to lift them back to the top of the Premier League and inflict City’s first league defeat of the season.

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Uruguay to edge unlikely Copa final

Uruguay and Paraguay go head-to-head in an unlikely Copa America final in Buenos Aires on Sunday in what looks like being a bridge too far for underdogs Paraguay (Uruguay 4/11, Paraguay 2/1 – Outright winner).

Gerardo Martino’s side have actually yet to win a game in the whole tournament – having advanced through their group by drawing all three games before winning on penalties in both the quarter and semi-finals following goalless draws.

So, with that stat in mind, it is no surprise Uruguay, who have been the stand-out team in Argentina, are the hot favourites to lift the 42nd Copa America.

This has been an unpredictable competition though and Oscar Tabarez’s men will do well not to underestimate their opponents, who have built on last summer’s impressive showing at the World Cup and caught plenty of countries by surprise.

Built on a solid defence, which helped them past both Brazil and Venezuela in the knock-out stage, they know how to stifle more talented opposition.

The critics would say Paraguay also know how to stifle the game in general after successive 0-0 draws, but playing for penalties against a formidable Uruguay outfit could cost them dearly on Sunday.

They will certainly be hard to break down and Martino, who is forced to watch the game from the stands after being suspended following an on-field fracas in the aftermath of the semi-final win, will set them up with the emphasis firmly being on defence.

However, in Luis Suarez, Uruguay have a player who, on his day, can be unplayable and the Liverpool striker will be desperate for a goal to pick up the golden boot award as he sits tied with Sergio Aguero on three goals going into the final.

His strike-partner Diego Forlan has failed to hit the heights in Argentina so far, but he remains a top-quality striker and will be eager to show his true form in one of the biggest games in world football. Therefore, a punt on the Atletico Madrid man to score anytime at 11/8 is well worth a bet.

Paraguay may fancy their chances of keeping Uruguay at bay and taking the game to extra time when anything can happen but a narrow 1-0 win for Uruguay at 18/5 looks like a wise wager.

As has been the case with much of the tournament, don’t expect a cracker although, considering what’s at stake, neither of these two will be too concerned about that.

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USA on the edge of glory

The USA are bidding to win a third World Cup on Sunday when they take on Japan in the Women’s World Cup final in Frankfurt (Japan 12/5 draw 11/5 USA 20/21 after 90 minutes).

The US Women’s football team is historically strong and first won the competition in 1991 when they beat Norway 2-1 in the final in China before lifting the trophy as hosts with a win on penalties, this time against China in 1999.

They had to be content with third place finishes in 2003 and 2007 though before this year’s tournament in Germany.

The current side, coached by former Sweden international Pia Sundhage, qualified second in Group C behind Sweden before knocking out Brazil and England’s conquerors France to reach the showpiece event, safe in the knowledge they have never lost a World Cup final (5/1 to win 1-0).

USA forward Abby Wambach believes the entire squad deserves credit for reaching the final, saying “there are no substitutes” in this team.

Wambach scored the second goal in her sides’ 3-1 over France in the semi-final on Wednesday but the game was hugely influenced by the impact of two substitutes, Megan Rapinoe and Alex Morgan, the latter of whom scored the decisive third goal in Monchengladbach.

“There are no first-teamers and substitutes in this team,” said 31-year-old Wambach.

“There are no differences. Look at Alex Morgan, who came off the bench and scored her first World Cup goal. Mark my words. That’s the first of many Alex is going to score in the World Cup.

“Megan has a lot of quality and technique and a tremendous amount of confidence in herself. That’s her big asset. She didn’t get down about being made a substitute because she knew she had a lot to contribute in that role.”

Japan are seen very much as an up-and-coming-team in the Women’s game. They finished fourth in the 2008 Olympics, rose into the top five earlier this year and now look to go higher after a fairy tale run to their first World Cup final (Japan 10/1 to win 2-1).

They also qualified for the knock-out stages in second, this time behind England in Group B. But then dramatically beat Sweden, before most notably overcame footballing powerhouse Germany, who were not only hosts and holders but unbeaten in 16 World Cup matches stretching back to 1999.

Japan midfielder Nahomi Kawasumi hopes their appearance in Sunday’s final can bring some much needed publicity to the women’s game back home, where it struggles to compete with men’s football and baseball for media attention.

“Normally we don’t have a lot of media coverage for women’s football in Japan, but when we have good results such as here in Germany or at the Olympics; people get to know about women’s football. It is an important opportunity to promote the team and the game.

“The results at this tournament have given us a lot of confidence. We have momentum and always try to challenge teams, and now we want to try and beat the US.”

Verdict: USA win
Value bet : Draw/USA women HT/FT 18/5

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Barca edge closer to Fab deal

The worst-kept secret in football could unravel in the coming weeks if, as expected, Arsenal captain Cesc Fabregas completes his move back to Barcelona.

Barca have made no secret of their desire to return their former youth star to his homeland and club president Sandro Rossell told Catalan station TV3 this week that the Spain international is “doing everything he can to come”.

The north Londoners, priced at 7/1 in the Premier League outright market, are likely to take a dim view of Rossell’s assessment of their star midfielder but may now decide the time is right to cash in on a player who managed only three goals in 25 league appearances in an injury-interrupted 2010/11 season.

Fabregas has a contract at Arsenal which runs until 2015 so the club is under no pressure to sell but manager Arsene Wenger may take the view that a deal in the region of £30m would be difficult to turn down given that the emergence of Jack Wilshere and the return from injury of Aaron Ramsey leaves with him plenty of options.

If the Gunners also manage to keep hold of France international Samir Nasri then this would also represent a major shot in the arm.

For the 8/15 La Liga title favourites the signing of Fabregas is logical given that Camp Nou maestro Xavi is now the wrong side of 30 and his midfield partner in crime, Andres Iniesta, is into his peak years at the age of 27.

Pep Guardiola will be aware that good teams come in cycles and the signing of Fabregas – and coveted 22-year-old Udinese striker Alexis Sanchez – would help reduce the age of his La Liga and Champions League-winning squad.

Arsenal have been here before – think Thierry Henry and Patrick Vieira – and the potential loss of Fabregas would surely diminish their hopes of preventing a seventh season without a major piece of silverware.

It is looking increasingly likely that they will have to get over that hurdle without their captain and talisman.

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Terriers can edge past Posh

Sunday’s League One play-off final sees two of the brightest young English managers go head-to-head at Old Trafford but who will come out on top between Lee Clark and Darren Ferguson as Huddersfield take on Peterborough for a place in the Championship next season?

Reading the respective managers’ pre-match quotes, it is clear both are fully focused and determined not to fall at the final hurdle but, ultimately, it will be disappointment for one or the other come Sunday evening although everything points to a tight affair in Manchester.

The final sees the sides who finished third and fourth in the table take each other on and Huddersfield are viewed as slight favourites (7/5) – unsurprisingly as they finished ahead of Peterborough (15/8) by eight points and the Terriers are likely to have the more fans at Old Trafford – something which may just give them the edge in what could be a cagey affair such are the nerves of the occasion.

This is their fourth meeting this season and, again, a quick check of the stats shows they are two evenly-matched sides.

Peterborough won their home league clash 4-2, they drew 1-1 in West Yorkshire but Huddersfield won 3-2 in the second round of the Johnstone’s Paint Trophy at the Galpharm.

Clark has said if his side win the achievement will beat anything he managed as a player – and that includes winning the Championship three times – so the 38-year-old is well aware just how big a game the final is for a side who have been out of the second tier of English football for 10 years.

They are a club with a proud history, however, winning the old First Division on three successive occasions – the first club to do so – in 1926, but, of course that counts for nothing on Sunday.

They look good value at 8/1 to win 2-1 in the correct score market and, with Jordan Rhodes and the on-loan Danny Ward set to lead the line, they will pose plenty of threat to the Posh defence.

Ferguson’s side are looking for an immediate return to the Championship after being relegated 12 months ago and will be very well organised and difficult to beat.

In Craig Makail-Smith they have a forward to worry any defence. He has been heavily linked with a move away over the summer and, if he does leave, will hope to finish on a high with a win. The striker will reach a 100 goals if he hits a brace on Sunday and is well worth a punt in totesport’s enhanced first goalscorer market (6/1).

So the stage is set for what looks like being a closely-fought contest but we see Huddersfield just edging it given their slightly better performance over the season although don’t rule out them needing extra time to do it (9/1).

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Boro can edge League Two finale

The League Two season comes to a climax at Old Trafford as Stevenage and Torquay battle for promotion in the play-off final. It is a battle of two over-achieving teams and here is our guide to Saturday’s game.

Stevenage (6/4 to win) have had an incredible first season in the Football League and back-to-back promotions would be some achievement for their ambitious boss Graham Westley.

If you look back to January they sat 18th in the League Two and it has been some turnaround since then. A run of nine wins in 11 games catapulted them up the league as they timed their run to perfection and secured a sixth-placed finish.

Boro then won both legs against Accrington Stanley and looked assured in both games – though Stanley were reduced to nine men in the second half to make life a little easier for Stevenage as they were leading the tie 2-0 on aggregate by that point.

Substitute Chris Beardsley (7/1 to be first goalscorer at Old Trafford) got the only goal of the second leg to continue Boro’s impressive recent form and make it 11 wins from 13 games over recent months.

Torquay (13/8 to win the game) were many people’s picks to be relegated before the start of the season so it is a major shock to see them 90 minutes away from playing League One football come September.

Paul Buckle worked wonders to get the Gulls into the play-offs, as they sneaked in by the skin of their necks on goal difference on the final day of the season. A failure to win in their final five league games and a one-point deduction for errors with Jake Robinson’s registration threatened to ruin their play-off chances but they sneaked in.

Even then they were not given much chance against a Shrewsbury side that finished 11 points ahead of them in the table and were very unlucky not to go up automatically – themselves only missing out in the final game.

Goals from Chris Zebroski (11/2 to score the first goal) and Eunan O’Kane gave Torquay an advantage at Plainmoor and then a second-leg stalemate secured a long trip to Old Trafford for their most famous fan, Soccer AM’s Helen Chamberlain, and the rest of the Gulls’ West Country faithful.

It is a clash of two of the most respected managers in League Two at Old Trafford as both Westley and Buckle have achieved big things on tiny budgets this season. Both bosses have led their respective sides out of the Blue Square Premier in recent years and you have to wonder if League One might be a step too far for both Stevenage and Torquay.

The records show that Stevenage have never beaten Torquay in the six previous clashes between the sides. Four wins for the Gulls and two draws mean Torquay sit in pole position going into the game and the most recent meeting between them saw Buckle’s side record a 2-0 win at Plainmoor in March. (11/1 for Torquay to win final 2-0).

It should be an entertaining clash at Old Trafford between two teams that play attractive football by League Two standards, but Torquay are just likely to have the edge on Boro and should be celebrating promotion on Saturday afternoon.

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