Graham Hunter: Real Madrid to win the derby, Barcelona to draw away and Ronaldo to make it 15 against Atletico

The Madrid Derby makes it’s first appearance of the season and Sevilla welcome Barcelona to the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. This weeks Bumper Banker is Madrid to win Ronaldo to score, Barca and Sevilla to play out a score draw and Villarreal to win away to Levante. Every week I call someone out and this week it’s Jackson Martinez the €36 million man who can’t score anymore.

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Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid:

  • Ronaldo has only scored one hat-trick against Atletico.
  • He has scored the first goal three times.
  • Atletico have won six times since Simone took over, including four last season.

Sevilla v Barcelona:

  • Barcelona are missing Iniesta, Messi and Bravo. Sevilla are missing Llorente, Vitolo and Pareja. 
  • There has been 24 goals in the last four meeting with Neymar, Banega and Gameiro all getting two.
  • Barcelona have scored five goals twice in the last four games.

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Graham Hunter: La Liga teams in the Champions League, Messi to outscore Ronaldo, Benitez’ to favour La Liga and a 14/1 correct score tip for this weekend

At the beginning of Primal Scream’s brilliant 1990 tune ‘Loaded’ when Frank Maxwell asks Peter Fonda: ‘Just what is it that you want to do?’ Fonda knows the answer.
“We wanna be free to do what we wanna do
“We’re gonna have a good time. “We’re gonna have a party”

And if you asked the Real Madrid fans that same question you’d get exactly the same answer.

Sick of being second best to Barcelona, sick of football they view as pragmatic they want their cake and to eat it.

With champagne, and golden spoons and second helpings.

florentinoperez

But if you asked the President, Florentino Pérez or Madrid’s debutant coach, Rafa Benítez the same ‘just what is it that you want to do?’ question the answer might be different.

Much more pragmatic.

Thursday’s Champions League draw gives them a group perfectly balanced not only for an assault on Europe but for the right kind of early season test.

Paris St Germain have shown over the last three seasons with Barcelona and Chelsea [ten games, two wins, four draws, four defeats] that they are on the rise and that they can threaten anyone on their day.

Not a side Madrid have to fear but one which will mean Los Blancos will need to focus and find top gear [no Primal Scream reference there] in order to subdue.

Madrid start at home, and their first away trip is far easier and less tiring than PSG’s.

Their final group game is at home and against, nominally, the weakest team. Even the schedule is on their side.

However, and this might be heretical, is winning the Champions League actually Benitez’s priority?

‘Just what is it you want me to do, Florentino?’ might well be Rafa’s question to the Madrid President.

RafaelBenitez

Los Blancos have won the Spanish title twice in the last eight years.

Their fans and some of their ‘cyclops-vision’ media not only crave it, they crave the opportunity to wave two fingers at their city neighbours, Atlético, who won the title more recently, and Barcelona, who’ve dominated La Liga for a decade.

More, Carlo Ancelotti was shown the door in the summer just 12 months after winning the Champions League so dramatically against Atleti.

A victory which, if you consider the alternative for Madrid, should really have earned him another five years of job safety at the Bernabéu. It didn’t.

Major League Concerns

So whatever the sheen of Madrid’s history says, whatever the threat of Barça closing the European Cup gap between them still further Rafa Benítez must prioritise doing something he’s not achieved since the last time he coached in Spain, eleven years ago – winning the title.

Will that undermine trying to win La undécima? Madrid’s eleventh Champions Cup?

The answer lies with Ronaldo. Whatever the club’s ambitions he wants more Champions Leagues, he wants to haul Messi back in the Ballon D’Or voting and, judging by his variety of sour looks in Monte Carlo on Thursday, he wants to win the UEFA Best Player In Europe back.

Ronaldo_Messi

Vitally, too, Ronaldo wants to edge ahead of Messi with whom he’s tied at 77 goals apiece at the top of the all-time Champions League scoring list.

With nine games of Rafa in charge Madrid have failed to score on five occasions, usually with Ronaldo absent.

So, I think there’s some fun in the Ronaldo-Messi betting.

The End of His Ron

Ronaldo has significantly outscored his rival over the last four Champions League seasons – by nine.

The last time Messi beat Ronaldo to UCL top scorer was in 2011/12 – coincidentally the last time he had a shot at Bayer Leverkusen or Bate, Barça’s new group rivals.

Against Bernd Leno, Leverkusen keeper, Messi scored six in two matches. In Borisov he put two past BATE.

Clues for this season?

Ronaldo hasn’t faced [and thus not scored against!] any of Madrid’s group rivals.

Lionel Messi

So, a priori, it might be worth an investment that Messi outscores Ronaldo this Uefa season, finishes Champions League top scorer and, thus, establishes the all-time lead.

Valencia, qualifiers, have a group in which Zenit and Lyon are both within Los Che’s orbit – beatable but, equally, capable of exploiting Nuno Espirito Santo’s team if they perform dozily.

The key to qualification is taking at least seven points from the first three games – home to Zenit, away to Lyon and then home to the weakest club, Gent.

In fact having home then away back-to-back matches with the Belgians is manna from heaven in terms of qualifying for the knockouts.

If you run a fantasy football team or like to look for less than obvious scorers then think about Sofiane Feghouli who just loves Uefa football and consistently rises to the challenge.

Their Group to Luis

Barcelona, who I think are capable of being the first to retain this competition, were given a draw that the naive think was wonderful but which will concern Luis Enrique.

Luis Enrique

Ex coach of Roma he’ll understand how hostile it is there and that starting at the Olympic Stadium in Italy’s capital is no ‘gimme’.

That their third fixture is also away, in Belorussia, means that the reigning champions need to start with concentration and hunger.

You’re laughing at me? BATE Borisov you splutter?

Beat Athletic Bilbao last season, thumped Bayern Munich the season before. BATE better than Barça, no. A niggly little test, yes.

And Now For Sevilla And Atlético

Which leaves the two sides who play at the Sanchez Pizjuan on Sunday night [19.30, Sky] – Sevilla and Atlético.

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Atleti catch Benfica [whose striker Jonas didn’t mind a goal or an assist against the Colchoneros during his time with Valencia] at a good time given their consistent sales policy and the loss of influential coach Jorge Jesus.

Galatasaray and Astana carry their levels of threat/difficulty but Diego Simeone’s side is so hard working, so well balanced and so bloody stubborn that they’ll win the group regardless.

Sevilla? Well aside from the €20m cash windfall of qualifying the Champions League has brought them the reality of fighting for elbow room at Europe’s elite table.

Manchester City, Juventus and Borussia Mönchengladbach [who Sevilla put out of Europe last season] may prove too much for qualification, especially after losing three key players in Vidal, M’Bia and Bacca and needing to integrate new guys like Immobile, Konoplyanka and Llorente.

But, could Sevilla surprise everyone again by qualifying? Might they even retain the Europa League for the second consecutive time if not?

This Weekend

As for Sunday, it’s now six Liga and Cup matches since Sevilla beat Atleti at home.

There’s ill feeling between the sides who jostle to be considered third best in Spain – nearly eight bookings per match, average, over the last four meetings if you are a card-counter.

A splurge of reds in the Copa a couple of seasons ago.

Sevilla are nobody’s mugs though having lost just once at home since March 2014 [2-3 to a Ronaldo hat trick in May]

Griezmann, Llorente and a Coke/Koke any time might pay.

Score draw. 2-2 at 14/1.

Atleti: Oblak; Juanfran, Godín, Gímenez, Felipe; Koke, Gabi, Tiago; Oliver; Griezmann, Torres/Jackson
Sevilla: Beto: Coke, Rami, Kolo, Tremoulinas: Banega, Krykowiak: Vitolo, Iborra, Reyes: Immobile/Llorente

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Graham Hunter La Liga: Barcelona are toughening up whilst Ronaldo will be toughing it out

Barcelona v Athletic Club, Saturday 3pm

Ten straight defeats at the Camp Nou and 27 goals conceded plus Leo Messi scoring against them in each of the last six times the sides have met in Barcelona doesn’t present a statistic which suggests there’s any real threat to the Catalans here.

But that ain’t how Luis Enrique sees it. The Barça playing legend hasn’t even tried to return this side to the brand of football it played under Pep Guardiola – their visions are similar but not identical.

However, like Guardiola did in his day, he has taken football’s equivalent of a cattle-prod and galvanised a completely different attitude around the Camp Nou and the Joan Gamper training ground. Not only is there a greater intensity and ferocity about daily work it’s beginning to show that everyone, Messi included, realizes that this coach will drop anyone who’s not fully committed and concentrated. Witness Messi racing back, robbing the ball and starting the move which led to him creating the goal-assist for Sandro two weeks ago in Villarreal.

Barcelona-800

More, Luis Enrique fears the FIFA/UEFA virus as much as Guardiola ever did. Most managers worry about injuries and jet lag being the main ‘hangover’ effects from the international break. Enrique and Guardiola view it differently. They fear that things are more relaxed with the national teams, that concentration and intensity can be reduced and those ‘lower’ standards can be brought back to the first Liga game after national team appearances. In the brief training sessions with all his forces re-united he’s hammered home the idea that victory against Athletic is utterly vital. The concept of a Madrid derbi draw and three more points for Barcelona to open a healthy lead over the pair of them is what’s on his mind.

Mascherano returns and while Vermaelen is close to playing Mathieu may miss out so that the Argentinian partners Piqué at the back. Andrés Iniesta’s two week break to help him recover from knee pain should leave him in optimum shape so that Barcelona line up: Bravo: Alves, Piqué, Mascherano, Alba: Rakitic, Busquets, Iniesta: Pedro, Messi, Neymar.

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid, Saturday 5pm

DerbiMadrileno
The fact that Madrid absolutely battered their city rivals three times last year may sink a little further into the background than would be normal ahead of a massive ‘Derbi Madrileño‘. That was in a brutal 5-0 aggregate Copa semi final win earlier this year – a tie which Álvaro Arbeloa’s attempt to physically intimidate Diego Costa probably cost the former his World Cup place once Vicente Del Bosque announced his displeasure at what he’d seen – plus the 4-1 Champions League final victory.

The reason all that might not be taken as the definitive guide is that Atleti, under Diego Simeone, have become a regular thorn in the side for Los Blancos. Jose Mourinho’s last game in charge was the Copa final, at the Bernabéu in May 2013 and Simeone’s men won 2-1. Last season the first Madrid derbi was at Madrid’s stadium and Atleti won 1-0 [Diego Costa scoring in both those triumphs] while this season a late Raúl Garcia goal, from yet another ball into the box which Madrid couldn’t defend, gave Los Rojiblancos the 1-1 platform to go on and win the Supercopa in the second leg at the Calderón [1-0] a couple of days later.

Post that defeat where Mario Mandzukic started what’s become something of a scoring run [two more for his country during the international break] of four in his last four games Sergio Ramos admitted that not only he but all the Madrid team went out [against Atleti!!!] not as focussed, not as ‘up for’ the opening minutes as they should have been. A shocker.

How Madrid cope in midfield, after being completely overrun there in the last hour at the Anoeta, last time out is a key. Will Gareth Bale be dropped back into a three with Kroos and Modric? Will Ancelotti opt for the 4-2-3-1 formation which his squad seems to be crying out for?

Ronaldo celebrates

Ronaldo missed the first half of the defeat to Atleti last month and was excused international duty because of knee pain. But his rehab work has included six hours a day every day and he’ll start, refreshed, for the European Champions. Carvajal is out and that may allow the potentially incendiary return of Arbeloa at right back. Atlético profile as: Moyá: Juanfran, Miranda, Godín, Siqueira; Tiago, Gabi; Koke, Raúl García, Arda; Mario Mandzukic

Ernesto Valverde (Athletic Coach):

“It’s great to have a team which believes it can go anywhere and win. We have all our guys who went away for internationals back fit and only [striker] Guillermo’s back pain is a problem for his fitness. Barcelona might be [as you say] a team which concedes goals from dead ball situations and we are good at scoring from them to the point that our keeper [Gorka] headed in from one this season! “But to score you have to win lots of corners and attacking free kicks which means playing well and earning them. “That’s our goal”.

The Best of the Rest

Celta Vigo v Real Sociedad, Saturday 9pm

La Real deserve to be the team on everyone’s lips this weekend. 2-0 down to 4-2 up against Real Madrid last time out … can they reproduce the last 60 minutes of form in that match at the Balaidos. They’ve lost there once in nine visits and drew 2-2 last season. Coach Jagoba Arrasate and several of his players have hinted sufficiently at a problem that it becomes the main theme. Over the last few days they’ve all talked about needing to show the confidence, aggressive mentality and intensity which can, by hook or by crook, bring away wins.

The idea is pressing high up the pitch and using a four-man ‘diamond’ midfield. Their big money summer signing, Alfredo Finnbogason, has recovered from his shoulder injury but won’t be ready for this match. Carlos Vela, in theory their star player, is finally training fully and is a likely starter in Vigo. Rising star David Zurutuza, superb both in their curtailed Europa League campaign and in the defeat of Madrid, and a valuable source of goals, has a knee problem and will be a doubt until just before the game.

michaelkrohndehli

Celta have only lost two of their 11 home games in 2014 so far and it’ll be interesting to see how new coach Eduardo Berizzo copes with the fact that [already missing Oubiña and Augusto] nine of his men are coming back to the club after international duties of one kind or another. A plus is that one of those, the Dane Martin Krohn-Dehli, trained fully and seems to have overcome knee pain stemming from his performance against Armenia.

Valencia v Espanyol, Sunday 4pm

Even during an international break we’ve had the chance to get to understand Los Che’s new coach Nuno Espírito Santo better. After his promotional visit to Singapore, with Rodrigo and Dani Parejo, to help new [nearly all signed now] owner Peter Lim promote the club the Portuguese insisted on a number of brutal training sessions. A week ago the Valencia squad put in a two hour shift which ended with bleep test sprints. Every last millilitre of water laid out for the training session was drained.

nunoespiritosanto

His concept is that Valencia must become La Liga’s most athletic team, in pressing and in the speed of their attacks. However Thursday’s session couldn’t start until 18.30 because of the 40 degree heat in Valencia and tactics, not stamina, were the priority. Rodrigo should return on the right in a 4-3-3 formation of Alves: Gayá, Otamendi, Vezo, Barragán: André, Fuego, Parejo: Rodrigo, Alcàcer, Piatti. Alcàcer should be on a high, debut goal for Spain and a new contract on the horizon, while Gayá was kicked a number of times on duty with Spain U21 and if he starts he may not play 90 minutes. There’s a real buzz of optimism around the Mestalla now and it’ll be a surprise if Los Che don’t win … although will the last period of match evidence some leg weariness?

Granada v Villarreal, Sunday 8pm

Granada_homeground

The absence of Uche up front for Villarreal is now compounded by the fact that Gio Dos Santos picked up an injury in a friendly with Mexico during the international break and will now miss up to seven games given that he’ll be out for three or four weeks. During the break The Yellow Submarine’s 22 year old Catalan striker Gerard Moreno hit a hat trick against Celtic in a charity friendly [4-2 win] and looks a shoe-in to make his La Liga debut. Unfortunately Granada have the same problem as striker El Arabi returned from Morocco duty injured – Ortuño is likely to be his replacement. While coach Caparrós has been working on correcting defensive errors with Dimitri Foulquier and Allan Nyom, the former missed training on Thursday with a high temperature. New signing Luis Martíns is a likely debutant so long as he passes his delayed club medical.

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Graham Hunter: Ronaldo v Zlatan – regardless of who prevails, we are dealing with true greats

Even using the most basic Abacus skills there are a handful of contests taking place in Lisbon on Friday night – despite the world simply wanting to call it ‘Zlatan v Ronaldo’. Just like ‘The White Album’ was actually titled ‘The Beatles’ this event also has a ‘real’ name – Portugal v Sweden for a place at next summer’s World Cup. And there are other interests at play.

In the white corner, Real Madrid. They just renewed their greatest star, the striker who looks set to eclipse every club record, Puskas, Di Stefano, Raúl, and they committed close to €100m in salary in doing so. One of the yardsticks used by Ronaldo’s management company in negotiating the deal was that he should receive more than Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s €17m annual salary with Paris St Germain.

Madrid want their returns in victories over Barcelona, Liga titles, victories over Manchester United and Bayern Munich, Champions League titles. But they also need Ronaldo to be an advertising and sponsorship magnet. They need him to draw money to the club. Success in Brazil next summer, albeit for Portugal, embellishes those chances – it will be a significant and extremely painful loss to his club if Ronaldo fails to make it to what remains football’s biggest global impact.

Then there is something more nebulous – Zlatan’s off field worth to the Qatar Investment Authority and his club President Nasser Al-Khelaifi is huge and it’s prestige-based. They want trophies, they are a genuine Champions League contender but they want much more. Their aim is visibility, credibility, awareness – for Qatar. Zlatan, whether he likes it or not, is one of their salesmen and were he not to make it to the World Cup with Sweden it would sting his paymasters. And there’s a little side match which you’d imagine may influence matters.

Up-sepp-ing the applecart

When Sepp Blatter stood up and did his Captain Mainwairing on magic mushrooms act at the Oxford Union last month he unwittingly put Italian referee Nicola Rizzoli under huge extra pressure. This was the ‘Blatter-moment’ when he also asked his audience if they thought he was: “… a ruthless parasite sucking the lifeblood out of the world and out of football.

The godfather of the FIFA gravy train. An out-of-touch, heartless schmoozer?” Answering a question about Leo Messi and Ronaldo he called the former a ‘nice boy’ and the latter a ‘commander’ before standing up, sucking in his girth and stomping about the stage to imitate a pompous military presence when demonstrating his view on the Portuguese.

He also committed the folly of pointing out that one of them ‘spend more on hairdressers’ and admitting a personal preference for Messi. NB: Just so that we are all clear the voting for the Ballon D’Or ends on November 15. So these two play offs can’t influence the vote positively in anyone’s favour – unless a handful of journalists and international team captains wait until the very last minute to email their votes and one or other of Zlatan or Ronaldo cut loose with a hatful of goals tonight.

Anyway because of Blatter’s words and deeds Madrid instantly sent off a communique stating their ‘repulsion’ at the ‘unjust’ actions and words and they stated, explicitly, their concern that Blatter had done enough to ‘condition some voters for the Ballon D’Or’ Ronaldo went further. On Twitter ‘he’ wrote: “This shows the respect and consideration that FIFA has for me, my club and my country. “Much is explained. “I wish Mr.Blatter health and a long life, with the certainty that he’ll continue to witness the successes of his favourite teams and players”

It reads as if there was legal advice before he posted it. But it also reads as if he suspects bias. In Portugal, ahead of a FIFA World Cup play-off there was furore. Every columnist, every news reporter, every fan will now become football’s version of the Witchfinder-General. They’ll sniff and hunt for any hint of bias and, worse, they’ll howl and roar for every decision to go their way with that passion of the unjustly wounded.

When Signor Rizzoli [or his mama] packed his whistle, notebook and hair gel for the Lisbon trip I hope he included a tin-hat and thick skin. Expect there to be penalty calls to be made by the officiating team. You just know it.

Zlat’s what you’d expect

ZLAT'S MAGIC - The ball isn't coming to earth due to the force of gravity, Zlatan is actually controlling it with his mind (pic: Inpho)

ZLAT’S MAGIC – The ball isn’t coming to earth due to the force of gravity, Zlatan is actually controlling it with his mind (pic: Inpho)

Obviously enough the two stars approach the main contest in sublime form – arguably the best each of them have ever played. Zlatan made that very point about his own game this week admitting:

“I evolve all the time and even if I’m 32 now, I have the feeling that I keep improving and that I’ve never played this well”.

Each man is carrying his team on his back, each is showing new levels of leadership and maturity. Both of them signed-off for their clubs with hat tricks at the weekend. If you have a long memory it takes you back to 2006.

Prior to the German World Cup Nike launched their Joga Bonito advert campaign in which Eric Cantona sticks a ‘tablet’ in front of the young Ronaldo, shows him his opponent’s tricks and says: “This is Zlatan. Can you beat this?” The two footballer’s show their divine technique, arrogance. confidence and elegance until, at the end of the extended advert, Cantona admits: ‘Ooo weens? I dohn know…’

Who you WANT to win depends on whether or not you like marmite players. Neither of them are exactly the houswives’ choice. They divide opinion via the way they look, how they act, what they say .. and their perceived arrogance. To my eyes they are both extraordinary and we are privileged to live in an era when they, plus Messi, adorn our television screens.

Who would the tournament miss most? That’s subjective and the picture can be clouded a little by lies, damn lies and statistics. For example – Ronaldo is in his plenitude, he’s scoring at his highest every rate in club terms and he’s consistently produced goals in semi finals or finals for Real Madrid plus a flood of Clásico goals too. Yet the World Cup finals themselves tell lies with their CR7 stats.

Those stats make him look like a dud. In ten World Cup final matches Ronaldo has scored precisely twice. Against North Korea and a penalty against Iran. You have to admire his stance against totalitarian states though.

Ronaldo’s Korea low?

IT AIN'T HALF DIFFICULT - This goal against North Korea in 2010 represents precisely half of all Ronaldo's World Cup goals (pic: Inpho)

IT AIN’T HALF DIFFICULT – This goal against North Korea in 2010 represents precisely half of all Ronaldo’s World Cup goals (pic: Inpho)

Zlatan’s general tournament performances, if you take Euros into account, ain’t bad. A couple of ‘Best Goal’ winners one of which, the backheel against Italy in 2004, is amongst the most remarkable you’ll ever see. So, things to look for.

Before even trying to separate out whether Ronaldo or Zlatan might turn the tie in Lisbon it might be worth confronting the fact that goals are far from guaranteed. The last two meetings of these sides were nil-all draws, Portugal have fewer than a goal per game in the fifteen meetings with Sweden – let’s not go looking for champagne football here.

If one of the two Titans is to turn things it actually profiles as Zlatan. Ronaldo’s four goals in the last eight qualifying matches came against Luxembourg and Northern Ireland (a hat trick) whereas the Swede produces more regularly and against better opposition on current form. Where, perhaps, there might be a curveball is his notorious temperament.

Domestically, in Serie A, Signor Rizzoli likes a red card as much as the next man. One every three matches. Internationally he’s sent one player off in last 23 ties.

However Zlatan facing Portugal’s likely centre backs of Pepe and Bruno Alves (robust bucaneers the pair of them) looks like it might test the Italian’s liberal temperament.

Sepp Blatter will be watching events with anxiety. We can relax and pray for goals.

MATCH BETTING: DESKTOP | MOBILE

WORLD CUP 2014 ODDS: DESKTOP | MOBILE

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Graham Hunter exclusive: Keeping Ronaldo sweet post-Bale is Madrid’s biggest challenge

Graham Hunter byline

European football expert Graham Hunter on how Carlos Ancellotti can get the best from Cristiano Ronaldo and Gareth Bale to keep a star-studded Real Madrid purring.

Carlos Queiroz was a failure as coach of Real Madrid. But part of the solution to Gareth Bale starting his Bernabéu career well and in a positive environment actually lies in the work of the Portuguese former assistant to Sir Alex Ferguson.

During spring and summer 2007 Queiroz came up with the theory that Ronaldo would benefit United if he were played predominantly down the middle and that a sudden change of orientation would help challenge the already prodigious player.

Queiroz told more than one confidant:

He’s the kind of guy for whom the ceiling is always too low. Cristiano needs to be challenged, needs to be pushed out of a comfort zone because he’s so good that he’ll always respond to such a situation.

The Champions League, the Premier League, European Golden Boot, FIFA World Player, the Ballon D’Or and 42 goals later it didn’t seem like a bad piece of deduction and invention from Ferguson’s sidekick.

The one problem is that Ronaldo didn’t enjoy the experience. He often phoned one particular ally, ex-United fitness coach Valter Di Salvo, to unburden his blues about where he was being played.

Ronaldo

YOU WANT ME TO PLAY WHERE?  Keeping Ronaldo sweet is key to Madrid’s title ambitions

Flash forward to summer 2013.

Carlo Ancelotti knew when he signed up for duty at the Bernabéu that Bale was joining Madrid. Having mused over some ideas the Italian figured that one terrific way to accommodate a new signing in whose selection he’d played no part, was to use Ronaldo as a striker, not off the wing, and to use Bale either wide right or wide left.

On the blackboard it makes full football sense. Ronaldo was prolific last time he played there. Bale is a snug fit to this team if he’s raking down the left or the right and shooting on sight as is his signature – more pace, more power, more goals. Everybody’s happy.

Cue a deterioration in Real Madrid’s play, Ronaldo’s scoring rate and his demeanour. He didn’t like playing out-and-out striker then and he doesn’t now.

The cutest thing Ancelotti can do right now, so that Ronaldo looks upon the Welshman not a threat but a guy with similar talents, attitudes and athleticism who can help them all win big trophies – is to restore the Portuguese to his left-wing position.

It would mean, in all likelihood, an alteration to the formation – back to 4-2-3-1.

Carlo Ancelotti

MAN IN THE MIDDLE: Carlo Ancelotti must get the Bale/Ronaldo balance right (pic: Inpho)

 

What does this mean for Bale?

There is one clear, potentially very productive berth for Bale and that’s down the right. It would displace one of the stars of this early season, Angel Di Maria … but that’s life at Madrid.

Bale at full tilt down the right and either crossing to find Ronaldo’s head or, more likely, cutting in to shoot at goal off his devastating left foot – is an attractive prospect.

The only dilemma is how to keep Alonso [when fit again] Illarramendi [ €40m this summer], Khedira [German World Cup stalwart], Modric [fan favourite and Bale chaperone] plus Casemiro [bought this summer] happy when there is only a two-man midfield. Again, over to you Carlo.

But there is an option which would work, which would draw on Ancelotti’s successful past and which would accommodate Di Maria – a clever, old-fashioned winger who opens up tight defences.

When Ancelotti was at his most successful at Milan, Kaká was at his footballing and athletic peak.

He played in front of a hard-working midfield, Seedorf, Ambrosini, Gattuso, and was given license to power down the middle of the pitch using his Olympic acceleration, shooting from distance and/or laying the ball off to wide players and looking for the return into the box.

Remind you of anybody? Welsh? Name of Bale?

BALE FORCE: Gareth Bale tore Inter Milan a new one in the Champions League

BALE FORCE: The Welshman can tear it up in La Liga if given room to roam

There will be a myriad of games at the Bernabéu when Ancelotti’s Madrid face 10 men behind the ball and the frustration of trying to unpick massed-rank defences.

One extra solution, which Madrid have only been able to apply via the (now departed) Özil-Ronaldo connection until now is when they catch the opposition too high up the pitch, particularly at an attacking corner, allowing the then Jose Mourinho’s side to break at high pace. They’ll continue with that and Bale will thrive.

However, with Bale, there are scenarios now where Madrid can pick the ball up not far beyond the half-way line and, even if the opposition are not caught in disarray, allow Bale to run at them.

Most top technical departments around Europe have been left wondering this summer whether Bale’s excellence relies on him athletically powering past a slalom of players – rather than having the close skills ['a trick'] to jink past defenders from a static start.

One way to allow that debate to develop slowly, rather than to be immediately in the spotlight, is for Bale to take up different positions. This depends of course on how Ancelotti wants to play against certain rivals and whether Madrid are at home or away.

Away from home, with two holding midfielders and Bale on the right. Home with Di Maria wide right and Bale playing off one holding midfielder.

Equally, if Ronaldo is on the left and Bale playing down the middle then the prospect of Di Maria’s devastating crossing from the right adds a greater likelihood of headed goals.

Right foot for standing on?

Of all the times the Welshman has hit the net for club and country you can still count his right-footed goals on the fingers of one hand.

However, the percentage of times he hits the net with a header has been steadily increasing year on year.

Not something Ancelotti’s scouting team has missed in their analysis of the new boy.

Welcome to Spain Mr Bale. These are exciting times, not only for you but for those of us who wish that excellent British footballers would more often opt to better themselves and develop as individuals in some of the continent’s top clubs.

PS: Try to keep on Cristiano’s good side. Whether that’s the left, the right or … down the middle.

Bale_ACCA

  • Betting: Villarreal v Real Madrid  
  • Read more Graham Hunter articles here 

Graham Hunter is the author of the award-winning book, Barca: The Making of the Greatest Team in the World. He is a regular contributor to the Paddy Power Blog on football and an all-round good guy. Follow him on Twitter here


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Graham Hunter: Will Ronaldo return to Manchester United? Here’s what you need to know…

Graham Hunter byline

Spanish football expert Graham Hunter reveals the role Chevrolet and Nike could play in Ronaldo’s transfer to Manchester United from Real Madrid, but suggests it still might not be enough, due to the influence of the great Zinedine Zidane…

Here is a stone cold fact. There is a much-better-than-evens chance that Cristiano Ronaldo will return to play for Manchester United.

In fact, right now, that idea is very much part of the plans of both the Old Trafford legend and his immensely powerful agent Jorge Mendes.

However, that’s only the ‘whether’. The ‘how’ and the ‘when’ very much remain subject to whim, vast sums of money, the player’s will and an absolutely fascinating battle – Sir Alex Ferguson v Zinedine Zidane.

Fergie, when he was young, had a much more elegant and cultured left foot than people now recall. It was WELL within his talents to exceed 1000 keepie uppies before the ball hit the ground.

But, Zizou he was not.

Ronaldo’s goal stats for Man United and Real Madrid

Ronaldo statsbomb

Why Ronaldo and Ferguson are bound forever

However Ferguson is patently the Zidane of modern football management. He also inspires trust, affection and respect from Ronaldo. As disparate are the two men’s attitudes as to how life is to be led, what constitutes ‘fashionable’ and whether conspicuous consumption is or isn’t the eighth deadly sin, the Portuguese and the Scot are unified by one thing above all else: an ability to dedicate themselves ruthlessly to winning.

Many talk about it, very few are capable of it.

Like MENSA members (or Masons), such people instantly recognize each other and either bond forever or become implacable enemies.

Ronaldo and Ferguson are bound forever.

United know, have known for a long, long time, that life at Real Madrid is NOT the dream ticket Ronaldo imagined it would be.

While they benefitted from an £80m transfer fee, the real reason Ferguson and United allowed Ronaldo to leave for the Spanish capital is directly equated to the reason Ferguson let Carlos Queiroz go there too.

Some, particularly in Iberia, don’t simply view, but feel in their soul, that Real Madrid is the most toweringly important club in the history of football.

His problems at Real Madrid

Yes, yes, okay. Ronaldo was going to earn shedloads of money for going there, as was his agent. But the trigger, the reason for yearning to go was not cash.

Ronaldo desperately wanted to play for Madrid, add his name alongside (even above) those of Gento, Di Stefano, Raúl, Figo and Zidane.

Ferguson understood.

Unless you get that concept, then you won’t get what’s going on in his mind right now.

While in Spain Ronaldo has seen his Ballon D’Or status evaporated by Messi and, professionally, he’s endured more frustration than elation.

His personal form doesn’t need discussing. He’s scored more than a goal per game, very nearly as many away as at home, and he’s certainly a more complete team player now, aged 28, than when he left Old Trafford.

But Real Madrid has been a let down. He has three medals from his four seasons, but only one that would rank of supreme importance to him (despite his brilliant winning header in the Copa Del Rey final of 2010), which is the exceptional Liga victory of 2011/12.

Zinedine Zidane

INFLUENCE: Ferguson, in his new role, is up against Real Madrid legend Zinedine Zidane

Internal politics rage in the Perez fiefdom

Was United under Sir Alex a fiefdom? Yes, in a wholly positive sense, it probably was. There Ronaldo felt protected, developed, trusted, backed in public with coruscating rhetoric – valued. United felt like a high performance organisation.

Madrid hasn’t. It’s currently Florentino Pérez’s fiefdom and, now, will be for a further four years given the uncontested Presidential elections earlier this summer.

But it’s a place where internal politics rage, where Jose Mourinho’s putsch to gain precisely the overall power which Sir Alex earned over the years at Old Trafford didn’t end up benefitting Ronaldo – it’s a high performance organisation, which is under performing.

It’s also a mirage that because Mourinho and Ronaldo share a nationality and an agent that all was sweetness and light between them. It wasn’t.

Ronaldo, coincidentally, is constructed the same way as Ferguson. Dominate opponents, thrash opponents when you can, play on the front foot all the time, add goals when the chance is there, entertain – adhere to the ruthless need to win, but do it via attacking football.

If you asked Ronaldo what Mourinho would have done on the touchline of the Camp Nou in 1999 when Teddy Sheringham equalised in the Champions League final against Bayern Munich and assistant Steve McClaren was urging closing the 90 minutes out so that extra time was a guarantee, he’d know the answer alright. And he’d disagree.

Mourinho got it wrong at Real

The sad thing for Madrid fans is that Ronaldo, while setting new standards of professionalism, dedication, excellence and scoring, has made it clear where he diverges from the party line at Madrid.

It was Ronaldo waving his team forward, against team orders, when they went on to lose 0-2 at home to Barca in the 2010 Champions League semi final.

His idea was right, it was the Madridista idea – Mourinho proved to have got it wrong.

When he admitted he was ‘sad’ last Autumn he underlined with complete sincerity, that he wasn’t asking for more money, for a better contract.

It was true.

He was making it clear that a) he didn’t feel that there was the right unity and desire at the club b) that Real Madrid was repeatedly guilty of not ‘protecting’ him in public, (even the President not accompanying him to institutional events) and c) he yearned for more spectacular football.

Ronaldo v Barcelona calm down

The options for Ronaldo now

Ronaldo has two more years on his Madrid contract.

Now, right now, is the red ‘danger’ zone for the club if they don’t renew him. IF they cannot convince him to renew before the end of the season then…

  • a) The summer will be eaten up by the World Cup and then holidays and he’ll return for duty just a few months from being able to sign for anyone he pleased on January 1 2015. For free.
  • b) They will be faced with the thorny choice of selling him cut price in late summer 2014 or taking the ‘Hail Mary’ approach of letting him enter his last year of contract in the hope of persuading him to stay – but with the risk of needing to sell.

Their main weapons, now, are not only new coach Carlo Ancelotti (whose words “we need to play spectacularly, this is Real Madrid” won’t have displeased Ronaldo) and Zidane.

Zizou is assistant coach to Ancelotti but he’s also someone who is now guiding the President, talking to the players, influencing who signs for them (Varane, Isco) and attempting to return grandeur to the nine time European Champions.

Zidane can, in theory, begin to sculpt the kind of Real Madrid Ronaldo always wanted.

However at United, Sir Alex Ferguson can still, from his new role, do the same for Ronaldo.

The fact that he is still involved, not fully retired, is a bonus to the Reds as far as Ronaldo is concerned.

Their kit sponsors, Nike, want Ronaldo back and are willing to financially influence that.

Their shirt sponsors, Chevrolet, view Ronaldo as not only a huge boost to the football operation but a massive marketing magnet all over the planet – but most particularly in the US.

Florentino would be lynched for selling CR7

If Real Madrid can be convinced to sell before the end of this market, I’ll be amazed. The fans now adore him, he’s the club’s best player by a zillion miles and he’s someone around whom a charge for la Decima, the tenth European Cup, can be mounted.

Florentino would be lynched for selling. But can the deal be constructed and put in place for next summer: Yes.

Would United be the leading candidate to sign him if he left for free in 2015: Yes.

Hundreds of millions of pounds are involved in this, share prices are involved in this, Presidential ego is involved. Predict with a voice of total certainty  how it will play out at your own risk.

But there is a race to convince Ronaldo about how he spends most of the next five years of his playing life. And United are right in it.

  • Betting: Can Manchester United win the Premier League title race without Ronaldo?

Graham Hunter is the author of the award-winning book, Barca: The Making of the Greatest Team in the World. He is a regular contributor to the Paddy Power Blog on football and an all-round good guy. Follow him on Twitter here

Dive into Hunter’s archives on the Paddy Power Blog here


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Graham Hunter exclusive: Find out who is Real Madrid’s most important player (Hint: It ain’t Ronaldo!)

Graham Hunter byline

European football expert Graham Hunter thinks Real Madrid will struggle without their most influential player, but they should still make the Champions League semi-finals.

Galatasaray v Real Madrid

Although there are some who, incorrectly and unfairly, judge him harshly because of his naked desire to win everything all the time and because his match-face shows every emotion in its starkest form (joy, frustration, anger, self recrimination and, yes, even arrogance) I’m a serious Cristiano Ronaldo fan.

He’s phenomenally gifted, he’s an utterly outstanding professional and off the pitch he’s both bright and articulate. There’s not a great deal more to ask for.

His goal-to-game ratio is redefining, exploding really, what we think the very best striker should be producing and were it not for Leo Messi we’d already be arguing where Ronaldo fits in the all-time pantheon.

As such, the Portuguese is Real Madrid’s most important player – at least when it comes to winning matches.

However he’s not the most important of José Mourinho’s squad when it comes to ensuring that Madrid don’t lose. That’s Xabi Alonso.

XABI ALONSO: The most important member

XABI ALONSO: Without him Jose Mourinho’s Real Madrid are disjointed

Particularly when Mourinho uses his preferred formation (preferred as Madrid coach at least) of 4-2-3-1 the importance of the two organising, distributing, defending midfielders who pair in front of the back four is enormous.

Moreover, Alonso is very good there. Without him Madrid consistently look like a puppet with one of its six strings cut – in motion, possibly entertaining, but disjointed.

Order diminishes, confidence drops, decision making becomes less clinical and the tempo often decreases.

He, Sergio Ramos and, quite possibly, Pepe are all going to miss out tonight at the Türk Telecom Arena and I think it’ll cost Madrid. I doubt it will cost them progression to the semi final but it might just cost them a win on the night.

Madrid’s stats against Turkish teams aren’t ample but it’s a fact that they’ve still to win against a Turkish side, Galatasaray or Besiktas, apart from in Spain.

Diego Lopez and Rafa Varane have been standouts in recent months but with a denuded back four (likely no Arbeloa, Ramos or Pepe) and with Alonso absent I think it’s reasonable to take Galatasaray to score – and why not Didier Drogba? So, Madrid to suffer, Madrid to go through, Ronaldo to score, Drogba to score and, I have a sneaking feeling, one of Diego Lopez’s more testing nights.

  • Betting: Galatasaray v Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund v Malaga

What of Málaga in Dortmund? Well, if you take mood to be as important an initial guide to their chances as the suspensions they suffered in the first leg then it’s decent news.

Most of the key players were rested in the 4-2 defeat at Real Sociedad at the weekend, man after man told me in the Mixed Zone last week after the 0-0 draw against the recently deposed German champions that they were 100% confident of getting a score draw at the Signal Iduna Park.

And one more little note about mood. It was very sad to hear of the death of Manuel Pellegrini’s father on Saturday. The Chilean hid the news from his players, coached the match, flew to Chile for the funeral and should be on the bench tonight. His players, and I mean this word, adore him. Their respect for him as a man and a coach is infinite. With what looks like a 30/70 chance of qualification in front of them their effort for Pellegrini will give them an extra jag.

But they’ll need it. Málaga, like Madrid, have an organising central midfielder, Manuel Iturra, and a centre-back, Weligton, suspended. Dortmund score heavily at home, should have won the first leg and have a superior squad. But  Málaga have only conceded 13 times in 27 Uefa matches and have seven clean sheets in their 12 Champions League outings this season.

IF, and I do mean IF there’s a major shock coming then I’d look to Roque Santa Cruz (a great record of wins and draws against Dortmund for Bayern Munich plus the winner at Signal Iduna back in September 2001) to nick a goal for Málaga. Referee Craig Thomson averages precisely four bookings per Champions League match and wouldn’t have a single red card in the competition had Alonso and Ramos not famously forced  orderings-off against Ajax to ‘clean’ their booking count two seasons ago.

Enjoy your football.

  • Betting: Borussia Dortmund v Malaga


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El Clasico betting preview: I’m tipping Ronaldo to score but Barca won’t lose

Graham Hunter byline

If any of the maths teachers I inadvertently tortured at Cults Academy are either still alive or not in the padded cell of a warm, caring asylum, driven there in foaming rage by my inability to assimilate basic numeric rules, they’ll be shocked rigid that this week’s column centres on numbers. Or at least statistics. Make of them what you will.

There are human stories aplenty ahead of the 83rd La Liga ‘Clasico’ at the Camp Nou when Barcelona entertain Real Madrid this Sunday night.

  • Sergio Ramos is sticking long, sharp knitting needles in a wax effigy of Jose Mourinho while the Special One is affecting nonchalance.
  • Carles ‘Robocop’ Puyol has suffered his third major injury of the season (fractured cheek, knee ligaments and now dislocated elbow)
  • Gerard Pique’s ankle is (at the time of writing) making him look as stable as Bambi on ice skates.

This means Barca will take to the field at the Camp Nou with a pair of central defenders who are as quick on the turn as a ‘Thatcher at a Party Political Conference‘ (it’s a technical football term).

Good luck Javi Mascherano and Alex Song. Win, lose or draw, have two aspirins and a wee brandy waiting for you in the dressing room at full time.

Carles Puyol in hospital after his freak injury in the Champions League

IRON MAN: But Puyol misses El Clasico after his freak Champions League injury

We’ve had two classic Clasicos already

Already this term we’ve savoured two classic Clasicos. I defy anyone to argue that the explosive cocktail of brilliant football, errors, passion, noise, red cards and bookings wasn’t utterly seductive during Madrid’s 4-4 away-goals trophy win back in August.

Now, here we are again.

This first Clasico is weeks earlier than normal (more than two months earlier than last season) to allow the second league meeting to take place before the crucial moment in April. Then, both clubs want to be competing in the UEFA Champions League semi-finals but don’t want to be left looking like the cast of Dad’s Army (something which cost each of them dearly against Chelsea and Bayern Munich six months ago).

That, in itself, tells you something about the degree to which the vast economic attraction of success in Europe is beginning to edge ahead of the absolute need for domestic supremacy.

So it’s even more surprising that we hit this ‘early bird’ Clasico with Barcelona already enjoying an eight-point cushion over their rivals. Just 26 times in the 83 Liga Clasicos at Camp Nou have Barcelona kicked off with any points advantage at all over Madrid.

Ronaldo

MANE MAN: Cristiano Ronaldo has a formidable record against Barcelona

Barcelona on top in recent derbies

Of the last 17 Clasicos (2008-now), at either stadium, Barcelona have won 10 and only lost three. That’s a remarkable statistic which might point to pundits and punters alike backing the home side on Sunday – particularly given that a victory would put Barça a massive 11 points clear of, traditionally, their most dedicated rival for the Spanish title.

Whether establishing that double-figure gap as early as October could feasibly rule Madrid out of repeating their Liga win of last season (I’d say ‘yes’) remains to be seen. However, the only precedent for Barcelona taking an exact eight-point advantage into the first Clasico is from 1990/91. Then, the Catalans won 2-1 and did indeed go on to lift the title.

Nevertheless, what that positive win-ratio for Barça over the last 17 meetings hides is the equally remarkable fact that Los Blaugrana have regularly tied their hands behind their back before, often, going on to inflict damage on Los Blancos.

For example, on nine of those occasions Madrid have scored first. If you add the missed penalty by Samuel Eto’o in Pep Guardiola’s first ‘derbi’ against Madrid as Barcelona coach when the score was 0-0, it’s evidence that Barca like to do things the hard way.

Obviously there was a long spell when that didn’t matter. It became as if Barça either chose to, or needed to handicap themselves before kicking into action. Now things have changed. Even across the first few meetings when Jose Mourinho was in charge, Madrid mostly played Barcelona without any clear conviction that they were going to win… nor even to compete to win. That has been shrugged off, particularly at Camp Nou where there is no impetus for Real Madrid to make the play, where they can inflict their rapid transitions from either defence when a Barca attack breaks down or when they rob the ball in midfield, Madrid are once again clear in what they need to do and confident in their ability to do it.

Andres Iniesta

HE’S COME A LONG WAY: Iniesta (pictured in 2003) has yet to lose a Clasico in which he’s scored

If Los Blancos are allowed a lead these days, they are likely to convert it. Just at this moment they are patently only beginning to approach their very best. There has been a gradual return towards pace, precision, focus, aggression and efficacy but the champions spent some weeks a distance off their ‘A’ game.

For Barcelona Leo Messi is playing frustratingly deep and doesn’t look as crisp as usual. Messi has still produced 10 goals this season and has conjured his team’s last four assists. He’s different gravy. Equally, Andrés Iniesta, who is still to lose any match for Spain or Barcelona where he has scored, is only just back after injury – can he be a determining factor?

The balance of probabilities is  that the pattern of the last five Camp Nou Clasicos offers a good guide.

Results of the last five Camp Nou games between Barcelona and Real Madrid

  • 1-1 (Champions League)
  • 3-2 (Supercopa)
  • 2-2 (Copa)
  • 1-2 (Liga)
  • 3-2 (Supercopa)

Tight games, single goal winning margins. This game isn’t only called El Clasico, it’s also known as ‘El Derbi‘ and, like all great derby matches, totally remarkable things can happen.

But having said that, Ronaldo now has four goals in his last four Camp Nou visits. He also has two consecutive hat-tracks – against Deportivo La Coruna and Ajax. Ronaldo is beginning to re-establish the partnership he most enjoys at Real Madrid, with Karim Benzema.

I’d pick CR7 to score again, for there to be at least one red card, Barcelona not to lose and the league to go to them if they win. There, that’s that sorted. Now all you need to do is stock up on the beer, the chorizo nibbles, get your  punt sorted, then relax and watch all of that come true word for word.

Hasta Domingo!

El Clasico

  • More Graham Hunter columns 

Graham Hunter is a Barcelona-based, British soccer writer whose passionate insight on La Liga can regularly be seen and heard on TV and radio. He also writes for the Paddy Power Blog on Spanish football. Follow Graham on twitter here.


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Ronaldo and Real Madrid are pound for pound better than Manchester United. Here’s why…

Graham Hunter byline

The Champions League is back and Real Madrid take on Manchester United at the Bernabeu on Wednesday. Graham Hunter writes for the Paddy Power Blog on why United are going to find it hard to cope with former hero Cristiano Ronaldo

When Steve McManaman produced the name of Manchester United to face Real Madrid during the Champions League knockout round draw back in December there must have been many United fans who thought the Liverpool legend had done them the first favour of his career.

Not only were Spain’s champions languishing in third place in La Liga they immediately went out and lost 3-2 at Málaga to drop 16 points behind league leaders Barcelona.

The mighty Santiago Bernabéu stadium, which Sir Alex Ferguson’s team visit on Wednesday night for the third time under the Scot’s management, had been brewing its unhappiness

Against Espanyol the match-announcer, for the first time in the ‘Special’ One’s reign, didn’t read out the phrase “… and coach, José Mourinho” at the end of the team announcement.

Why? To avoid the booing, jeering and whistling which had been growing week by week.

When Mourinho’s name was re-introduced for the next home league game, Real Sociedad, it received easily the most hostile ‘bronca’ (abuse) of his reign.

Real Madrid were in disarray

Perhaps still more encouragingly for United aficionados, one of the biggest running themes in the never-ending Real Madrid soap opera was Cristiano Ronaldo’s ‘unhappiness’.

They would have easily been forgiven for thinking: ‘what better time to receive an old friend, applaud him for days of wine and roses and then spank his team’s backside?”

Ronaldo announced his nose was out of joint and that the club ‘knew why’ and he was hammered by Leo Messi in the Ballon D’Or voting having expected to win. Then came potentially the best news for United fans.

In short succession Ronaldo suffered a further twist to his troublesome right ankle, strained a leg muscle in the defeat to Granada and, most interestingly of all, had a massive blow up with Mourinho.

It came directly after the vital 2-0 home Copa del Rey win over Valencia in mid-January. Towards the end of the hard-fought victory where the visitors had scorned a hatful of chances to score, Mourinho was visibly unhappy with Ronaldo’s decision-making and positioning in the final few minutes. He shouted, he gesticulated, he returned to the dugout with steam emanating from both ears.

In the dressing room it was all off at Ludlow. Mourinho criticised Ronaldo’s work ethic, commitment to closing down the game at 2-0 and the fact that he hadn’t paid attention to the coach’s forcefully yelled instructions.

The player hit back with justified comments about the nerve it took to hammer him when he stepped up to support his beleaguered manager on every possible occasion – on the pitch, in the media and during some notable goal celebrations – when powerful journalists and growing number of fans were attacking him.

But however attractive all these details are to those at United who yearn to return to Wembley, scene of the club’s first European Cup in 1968 and a place which now needs some reparation after the most comprehensive defeat of Sir Alex’s entire 26-year reign, against Barcelona in 2011, the fact is that all that glitters is not gold.

Against this backdrop of confusion, aggression, doubt and a title weakly defended Ronaldo has been utterly and absolutely sublime. The worse things get, the better he performs.

Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates

In the 10 games since the Champions League draw was made in Nyon Ronaldo has scored 13 times, including three hat-tricks.

What is most admirable is that while others have let their form peak and trough like the graph on a lie detector in the manager’s office at a horsemeat plant, Ronaldo has always led from the front.

At Granada in a 1-0 defeat his team stunk the house out. But his work ethic and his attitude proved that he’s unwilling to accept the vagaries of form or fitness.  Even when literally nothing is going for him he’s still up for it.

For a player of that talent, wealth and achievement to be in a side so fractured that they barely even got one effort on goal against a team which was nearly relegated last season must have been frustrating beyond words.

But his attitude, play and goal record is extremely reminiscent of that 2007/8 season at United when he won the title, the Champions League, Ballon D’Or and FIFA World Player.

Ronaldo is carrying Madrid

Some months before Ronaldo banged out 42 goals during that amazing season Carlos Queiroz told a friend of mine that United planned to use Ronaldo as a central striker a great deal in the coming 12 months.

Partly because Sir Alex Ferguson and Queiroz thought he could become an effective new weapon, partly to free Wayne Rooney to play on the left but partly because ‘Cristiano needs to have the ceiling raised, he needs a challenge because he’s so, so talented that, otherwise, he’ll get bored or hit a comfort zone’.

It proved to be a dazzling idea. Ronaldo carried an ankle problem all that season, often phoned his friend and former fitness coach Walter Di Salvo to vent his frustration at having to carry an injury and at having to play ‘out of position’.

But adversity was his stimulus. The tougher the going, the more he produced.

So it is at the moment. His form is such that he’s carrying the team. No question.

His determination, his goals and his naked ambition to win Real Madrid the ‘Decima’ (their 10th Champions Cup) have converted the Bernabéu faithful, previously a little chilly and underwhelmed by his manner, into an adoring public.

His name is now, finally, chanted, the front cover of Marca proclaims him the new Alfredo Di Stefano, his overall team play is superior to that at United and the goal flow is prodigious.

The three which destroyed Sevilla at the weekend take him beyond the legendary Paco Gento (six European Cup winners’s medals) to sixth in Real Madrid’s all-time scoring list – after three and a half seasons!

He has 182 goals in 179 competitive matches and now only Hugo Sánchez, Ferenc Puskas, Santillana, Di Stéfano and Raúl are ahead of him – but nobody on that list has scored at a better goal per appearance rate.

‘The fact that the Bernabéu is finally singing my name, that the ‘feeling’ has changed is a dream come true for me’, Ronaldo told AS last week.

‘The support has taken note that I give body and soul for this club and the amount of affection and appreciation I now get on the street, at the games and from fans in the media touches me. I can really feel that the Bernabéu has taken me as one of ‘their own’ now.

‘It still surprises me that I was viewed and treated differently before because I’ve not changed. It’s just that more people have focussed on how much I give to the team, how determined I am to win the ‘Decima’ and set aside other, less important things.

‘I’m even noticing fewer insults and fewer chants of ‘Cristiano we hope you die’ at other grounds around the country. I can’t please all the people all the time – not even God manages that. It’s part of a big change since I told the President that I was unhappy here. I’m enjoying my football, I like playing with these team mates and I swear on my son’s life that when I was sad it was never, under any circumstances, to do with money.

‘As for what happened with the manager, the things which happen in the dressing room stay there. “It’s a personal matter which is now all sorted out – everything’s fine’.

Jose Mourinho

As for the utter nonsense people used to trot out about Ronaldo not being a ‘big game’ player it’s worth noting that he’s made scoring against Barcelona a personal domain in recent Clásicos, he perpetually puts Atlético Madrid to the sword in derby matches, he hit two goals and an assist while Madrid were knocked out of the Champions League semi-final by Bayern Munich last season and this term he’s the competition’s leading scorer.

In a variety of interviews Ronaldo has made it clear that he thinks Madrid, pound for pound, are better than United but that they have to ‘go out and prove it’.

Fair point.

The loss of a world class keeper like Iker Casillas who has yet to taste defeat in four games against United, is a negative. But Diego López, signed from Sevilla, was once a very firm target for United themselves after playing them twice in the Champions League for Villarreal and not conceding a goal.

Equally, part of Ronaldo’s assertion may stem from his manager’s record against Sir Alex. Mourinho, with Porto, Chelsea and Inter has gone head to head with the United boss in 13 League, Champions League, Cup or League cup matches winning six, drawing five and losing only twice.

One key element for United, in this evenly balanced tie, is how they attack in Madrid. Any team, literally anyone, who is caught upfield and allows even this rather fractured version of Mourinho’s Madrid to break at speed will be punished.

Ronaldo, too, is at his absolute best when careering away upfield in a one v two or two v three battle just like 2007/8 at United.

If England’s champions-elect can defend, press and keep possession with calm and intelligence and not be caught on the counter then it’ll be over to Ronaldo to produce something special in order for Madrid to take an advantage to Manchester.

On his current form you might be wise not to bet against that happening.

Betting: Real Madrid v Manchester United
[Web bet click here | Mobile bet click here]

United v Madrid MBS


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Ronaldo v Spain

Real Madrid superstar Cristiano Ronaldo has worked wonders to carry Portugal to the semi-finals of Euro 2012 but he faces his biggest challenge when his side meet defending champions Spain on Wednesday night (Portugal 7/2, draw 12/5, Spain 10/11 Match Betting).

It’s not often at this level of football that you will see such a game resolve purely around the performance of one individual, but the chance of a scalp for the Portuguese does rest on Ronaldo (5/1 first goalscorer) and whether he is on the top of the game at the Donbass Arena in Donetsk.

The former Manchester United forward notched up 46 goals in La Liga this term, so he has no qualms in facing Spanish opposition, but the national side will prove a completely different prospect all together.

Ronaldo (2/1 Euro 2012 top goalscorer) has bagged himself three goals in the European Championships so far and could have had plenty more, having hit the woodwork on a host of occasions.

The 27-year-old’s ability to score goals from 30 yards, three yards, with his head, or either feet, mean he is a nightmare to defend against – especially when you add to that his blistering pace.

His Real team-mate Alvaro Arbeloa is the man who has been given the unenviable task to keep Ronaldo quiet on Wednesday night and the defender will be hoping that Spain’s ability to keep hold of the ball will give him some respite from the striker’s attacks.

Portugal do have some other stars who must play a strong supporting role if they are to reach the final, to face either Germany or Italy, with United winger Nani set to add another attacking string to the Portuguese bow.

The former Sporting Lisbon player has not been at the peak of his powers in the tournament so far but on his night he can cause defenders serious problems, as he has shown in the Premier League.

Midfielder Raul Meireles must play a disciplined role in the middle of the park, whilst Joao Moutinho is set to add another creative spark in behind Ronaldo.

But Spain are European and world champions for a reason and their ability to work just has hard off the ball as they do with it makes them such a difficult opponent.

The Spanish have not reached top gear in the competition so far, but they have not really had to at this stage, and the fact they have seemed to have got this far without starting a recognised striker in some of their outings has shown the quality of their personnel.

Goals can come from all over the pitch with Spain – which makes choosing a first goalscorer for the defending champions difficult.

Chelsea’s Fernando Torres (11/8 anytime goalscorer) will be determined to play a role but it’s uncertain whether head coach Vicente del Bosque will select the Blues striker.

If Spain (13/8 Euro 2012 outright) can keep tabs on Ronaldo and frustrate the world-class front man, then they could win this game by a couple of goals and they should be able to string enough attacks of their own, to book their place in the final on July 1.

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