UEFA Champions League Group Stage: Part I
Some call it the hardest competition to win in soccer, more difficult
than even the World Cup. Europe’s finest clubs, with the world’s best
players, go head-to-head in the Champions League this week. In the group
stage, 32 teams compete in groups of four. The top two teams advance to
the first knockout round. The third-placed team moves to the UEFA Cup
competition, and the fourth-placed team is eliminated. There’s plenty to
glean from this round from a handicapping perspective. This week we’ll
look at groups A though D:
Group A (Monaco, Liverpool, Olympiacos, Deportivo):
Monaco (+140) lead the pack in this tight group, but they still have
their work cut out to make the next round. They are a mere shadow of
last year’s Champions League finalists, having waved goodbye to such
figures as Fernando Morientes, Jerome Rothen and Ludovic Giuly. Monaco
will struggle to progress much further against much stronger opposition,
but they are well-placed for qualification. Liverpool (+225) have failed
to impress so far, with an embarrassing loss to Olympiacos and a 0-0
draw at Anfield with Deportivo. Although they will likely take second
place in this group, Liverpool would be better served competing for the
UEFA Cup. Manager Rafael Benitez knows the European game and striker
Djibril Cisse is knocking in the goals, but this team must improve if
they are to have any hope in the knockout stages. Olympiacos (+330) is
the surprise team, which is making this the most competitive group. If
they can stay in form and frustrate the struggling Liverpool and
Deportivo, this Greek side has a fantastic opportunity to qualify.
Deportivo (+550) are largely unchanged from last year, but a slow start
has cost them and the Spaniards have to make up for lost ground.
Relegation to the UEFA Cup is the best they can hope for.
Group B (Real Madrid, Leverkusen, Dynamo Kiev, Roma):
In what has become a tight and dramatic group, three teams are sharing
the points at Roma’s expense. Real Madrid (-125) would be devastated
with anything short of winning this group, but they have yet to prove
consistent enough to make that a foregone conclusion. Leverkusen (+225)
have taken advantage of Real and Roma, and will be forced to improve
their defending to keep pace near the top. A third-place finish is more
likely for the Germans. Dynamo Kiev (+300) have impressed most in this
group. They deserve a qualifying spot and could likely win the group
outright. The Ukrainians have been outstanding defensively and are
particularly dangerous at home, where they rarely lose. Roma (100:1) are
disgraceful and their fans have only themselves to blame. Against
Dynamo, a projectile thrown by a Roma ‘fan’ hit referee Anders Frisk in
the head, sending him to hospital and forfeiting the match. As
punishment, the Italians will face Leverkusen inside an empty Olympic
Stadium. Their cup run is over.
Group C (Juventus, Bayern, Ajax, Maccabi Tel-Aviv):
Juventus (-250) are the class acts of both the Champions League and
Serie A this season. New manager Fabio Capello has worked wonders at the
Delle Alpi, and the Bianconeri now own a perfect record in this
competition. Expect a cakewalk through this group and don’t be
surprised if Juventus lifts the cup. Bayern (+190) are a much-improved side under
Felix Magath this year and will doubtless finish second in this
predictable group. Ajax (16:1) are a solid, but decidedly second-rate
team that will end up chasing the UEFA Cup. The Israeli minnows Maccabi
Tel-Aviv (500:1) will be content with scoring a goal in this round.
Group D (Manchester United, Lyon, Fenerbahce, Sparta):
A depleted and struggling Manchester United (-200) are fortunate to have
a decent start to this round. Ordinarily, their group opponents would be
in another class, but this year all three are capable of frustrating the
Red Devils. This is anyone’s group, and Lyon (+150) look good with two
home games left. Fenerbahce (22:1) are less threatening than usual, and
are dreadful on defence. But the Turks remain deadly at home and have
every chance of taking full points from Man United. Sparta (100:1) and
Fenerbahce will most likely contest third place. If they can score more
goals, expect the Czechs to grab a spot in the UEFA Cup at the Istanbul
club’s expense.
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