Euro 2004 Tips: Props, Part I
Euro
2004 kicks off on Saturday and we’ll have picks for each day
of the tournament. Who will be crowned European Champions?
Here’s a short guide to help you find out.
France
(7:2): No
team has won back-to-back Euros. But the sheer quality of this
French side renders that statistic meaningless. Their depth
and skill in midfield is unrivalled. In fact, this is a better
team than France fielded in 2000 and 2002. But at these odds,
there’s no real value in backing them to win this
tournament. If you fancy a wager on France, take them to win
Group B (-125)
Italy
(5:1):
Unusually for the Italians, they are in good form coming into
Euro 2004. This team is hungry for revenge after narrowly
losing to France at Euro 2000. Italy have a stronger roster
and remain capable of winning this tournament. But as a
world-class team they control their own destiny. If they fail,
the Italians have only themselves to blame. These outright
odds are a bit short. Take Italy to win Group C (-125)
Portugal
(7:1): As
hosts, the Portuguese have a great chance to win Euro 2004.
Home advantage is huge at competitions like these and cannot
be overemphasized. Luiz Felipe Scolari, one of the world’s
best coaches, is a proven winner. The only worry is
Portugal’s long break from competitive soccer (as hosts they
automatically qualified). Although these odds are shorter than
we’d hoped, Portugal remains decent value to win this
tournament.
Czech
Republic (14:1):
The Czechs have enormous depth up front, combined with a solid
midfield and dependable defence (not to mention a world-class
goalkeeper in Petr Cech). They play as a perfect unit, not a
just a bunch of talented individuals. And they are very well
coached. It’s no surprise they dominated the qualifying
round. This team’s mental strength alone can take them far.
At these odds, the Czech Republic is an excellent bet.
Germany
(20:1):
Unlike many teams at Euro 2004, Germany’s edge is their
mental strength. Perennially written off as unskilled or out
of shape, the Germans always turn it up a notch when it really
counts. The key for them this year is Kevin Kuranyi, their
first real striker in years. He can propel the Germans to
victory in this competition. At this price, Germany is
outstanding value.
Avoid Spain
(8:1), the Netherlands (8:1) and England (9:1).
Spain are weak mentally and prone to choke at these kinds of
tournaments. The Netherlands have dressing room issues, and
can’t be expected to play as a coherent unit. And England
simply lack the quality to win this competition.
Other
fun props we like:
Czech
Republic to qualify from Group D (-175)
Germany to qualify from Group D (-138)
Netherlands not to qualify from Group D (+225)
Russia not to qualify from Group A (-283)
Russia to finish bottom of Group A (+163)
Croatia to finish second to France in Group B (+600)
Switzerland not to qualify from Group B (-400)
Switzerland to finish bottom of Group B (-110)
Czech
top goalscorer: Jan Koller (+275)
England top goalscorer: Wayne Rooney (+550)
Germany top goalscorer: Kevin Kuranyi (+333)
Total
tournament own-goals under 2.5 (-150)
No goal in the first 3 minutes of any match (+141)
Latvia total team goals over 3 (+400)
Total yellow cards over 117.5 (-125)
|