English Premier League Prediction: Preview 2004/2005
The wait is over. English Premier League action is finally back. Despite
a soccer-filled summer with Euro 2004, Copa America and now the
Olympics, nothing can quite compare to the English game. This weekend
kicks off with a bang as Chelsea plays host to Manchester United in one
of the biggest matches of the year. Why they scheduled this one so early
is baffling, as it would be well worth saving for later in the season.
Nonetheless, there should be no complaints because this one promises to
be a dandy.
At this time of year, it's wise to turn our attention to the multitude
of props and futures available, from Premiership Winner to Top
Goalscorer. Here's what we like going into the new season:
Arsenal (+180): After going the entire season unbeaten last year,
there's only one direction for Arsenal to go: down. Make no mistake,
Arsenal will finish in the top three and most likely finish second
overall. They just won't be the dominant force of 2003/2004. Arsenal
will lose games – not many, but they definitely won't produce another
unbeaten season. The rumours surrounding captain Patrick Vieira's
would-be departure to Real Madrid will certainly not help. If he goes,
this team will be in serious difficulty. But until the Vieira affair
gets sorted, keep your money in your pocket. Thierry Henri is arguably
the best striker in the world, but should he get injured Arsenal will
pay the price for having all their eggs in one basket. While enormously
talented, Jose Reyes simply cannot replace Henri. Another worry is the
loss of defensive stalwart Sol Campbell, who is out for at least a
month. Arsenal cannot afford a slow start to the season with Chelsea
ho on their tails.
Chelsea (+225): Despite all the millions splashed out by Roman
Abramovich last year, Chelsea sorely lacked quality players in the most
important (and most expensive) positions. Now they have signed Didier
Drogba and Mateja Kezman, whose goalscoring abilities tore up the French
and Dutch leagues last season. As a natural goalscorer, Kezman's game is
perfectly suited to the Premiership. For Chelsea to have a striker like
Drogba as well just makes this team extremely dangerous. Plus, in Arjen
Robben, Chelsea now have a magnificent playmaker, who will feed Kezman
and Drogba with pinpoint accuracy and impeccable timing. And Chelsea
have improved coaching with Jose Mourinho, a manager who makes his
players work hard, instils discipline in them, and produces results.
Throw in a world class defender in Paulo Ferreira and it’s easy to see
that Chelsea have an excellent chance of winning the Premiership this
year.
Manchester United (+300): After a severely disappointing (by their
standards) third place finish last year, United will want to bounce back
hard. Smart summer acquisitions like Gabriel Heinze and the prolific
Alan Smith will help with the goal production. But question marks over
defence will continue to plague the team this year. With players missing
to injury and international duty, United face an uphill struggle in the
first month or two of the season. If they can get through it, the Red
Devils are capable of mounting a challenge for the title. A bigger price
than the London clubs, one might see value in Man United at 3:1. But
unless you like trading these markets as the season progresses, there's
really no sense in backing any of the top three teams to win outright.
If you fancy a punt on the top three, consider the FA Cup or Carling Cup
outright markets. Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United can each be
backed at around 6:1 in the FA Cup, and they are all available as high
as 12:1 to take home the Carling Cup. Liverpool, at 9:1, are also worth
consideration as potential FA Cup winners. Last year's Carling Cup
champions, Middlesbrough, are available at 15:1 to repeat the trick.
For top scorer, the market leaders Thierry Henri (+250) and Ruud van
Nistelrooy (+400) are best avoided. United fans are better off backing
Louis Saha (18:1) or even Alan Smith (80:1) instead of the injured RVN.
But the juiciest picks for us are Mateja Kezman (20:1), Didier Drogba
(12:1) and Djibril Cisse (20:1). Drogba scored two goals and Kezman
scored three in Chelsea's three exhibition games in North America. And
with Arjen Robben ceaselessly putting balls at their feet, Kezman and
Drogba will have no shortage of scoring opportunities. Another man to
watch is Liverpool’s new striker Djibril Cisse, who led the French
league in goals last season. The Premiership will suit his style well,
and with Michael Owen and Stephen Gerrard setting him up, Cisse won't
lack scoring chances. Drogba, Kezman, Robben and Cisse are also great
value to win the Player of the Year award, with prices ranging from
20:1-33:1.
Yours truly will be reporting from London, England every week in
September. I'll bring you the latest news, trends, scandals, and, most
importantly, all the key information to make you money during the
Premiership season. Next week, however, your correspondent will be in
Germany, compiling an in-depth preview of the upcoming Bundesliga. Stay
tuned.
This week's picks: We’ve got the call on one of the biggest games of the
year when Manchester United meet Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Sunday.
Don’t miss out as we get the season rolling with an easy winner.
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